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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-110
28-30 22-28 25-16 12-36
Position#6
Record25-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game124.1
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Position#12
Record18-21
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.4
Allowed / game119.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-112
135
112
+23
139avg 115
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-131
130
131
-1
133avg 115
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
133avg 115
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
126-127
126
127
-1
126avg 115
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
123-147
123
147
-24
116avg 115
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 115
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
92avg 115
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 115
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 115
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 115
A08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-15
29-31
34-38
32-28
27-41
29-25
47-37
27-28
32-29
25-26
35-23
23-37
31-23
31-25
31-36
33-43
29-41
34-22
36-47
24-37
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
24-28
35-34
38-26
11-25
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
245.6Avg total
122.4Scored
123.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)124.1118.1242.1+6.068%
Season at home (15)126.1118.1244.3+8.067%
Season away (22)122.7118.0240.7+4.768%
Last 10 (10)122.4123.2245.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)113.6115.4229.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)121.6119.9241.4+1.771%
vs Weaker (16)126.1118.4244.5+7.662%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
150-152
150
152
-2
144avg 112
H21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
123-126
123
126
-3
118avg 112
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
111-126
111
126
-15
106avg 112
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
125-128
125
128
-3
120avg 112
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
129-140
129
140
-11
119avg 112
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
122avg 112
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-99
111
99
+12
108avg 112
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
117-134
117
134
-17
109avg 112
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-118
100
118
-18
93avg 112
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
117-100
117
100
+17
111avg 112
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-38
35-45
42-33
35-36
36-30
32-25
37-37
18-34
32-32
19-31
33-27
27-36
27-33
28-35
34-30
36-30
38-35
36-35
29-43
26-27
33-26
37-23
28-24
28-29
33-30
27-17
34-23
17-29
29-35
41-42
36-30
11-27
26-31
23-30
24-25
27-32
37-26
28-27
24-13
28-34
243.4Avg total
120.9Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)118.4119.4237.8-0.946%
Season at home (18)117.4119.8237.3-2.439%
Season away (21)119.3119.0238.2+0.352%
Last 10 (10)120.9122.5243.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)114.2110.6224.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)114.2123.6237.9-9.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)118.6119.4238.1-0.857%
vs Weaker (8)126.8118.2245.0+8.562%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -6.1-6.1
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
116.6Avg total
59.7Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.157.1118.2+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (11)62.755.2117.9+7.582%-
Last 30 away (19)60.158.2118.3+1.942%-
Last 10 (10)59.756.9116.6+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.2116.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.258.8117.0-0.636%-
vs Weaker (16)63.655.6119.2+7.975%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H08/01
NBA
126.1Avg total
63.5Scored
62.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.660.9121.5-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.660.1119.6-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)61.561.7123.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)63.562.6126.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)62.857.4120.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.064.1121.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.259.5118.7-0.329%-
vs Weaker (8)66.660.2126.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 122.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.827.0
54.2%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.316.1
42.0%
35.8%48.3
🏀 Free throws24.620.1
81.7%
78.1%20.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 120.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.127.6
54.0%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.016.6
39.5%
35.8%49.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
78.1%15.9
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWLLWLW
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWWLLLLL
#6
League position
#12
-0.8
Net rating
-1.5
119.8
Offensive rating
112.8
120.6
Defensive rating
114.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
11.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
42.0%
3-point %
39.5%
66.8%
Assist %
74.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 112.8Defence120.6 · 114.3Shooting58.1% · 56.4%3-point %42.0% · 39.5%Ball care11.8% · 12.8%Off. rebounds21.7% · 19.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127
03/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-113
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
30/12/25AMiami Heat123-147
28/12/25AOrlando Magic126-127
26/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves142-138 OT
24/12/25ADallas Mavericks130-131
23/12/25HUtah Jazz135-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans117-100
06/01/26AToronto Raptors100-118
04/01/26AToronto Raptors117-134
03/01/26ANew York Knicks111-99
31/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves126-102
30/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder129-140
28/12/25HNew York Knicks125-128
27/12/25HMiami Heat111-126
24/12/25HChicago Bulls123-126
21/12/25HChicago Bulls150-152

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371522
Win %68%67%68%
Points / game124.1126.1122.7
Allowed / game118.1118.1118.0
Point differential+6.0+8.0+4.7
Avg total242.1244.3240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)40% (5)56% (9)
Overtime %11%13%9%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW46%
HomeLLLWW39%
AwayLLWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %46%39%52%
Points / game118.4117.4119.3
Allowed / game119.4119.8119.0
Point differential-0.9-2.4+0.3
Avg total237.8237.3238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3731684%121.2108.7+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons3728976%118.5111.6+6.9
3 San Antonio Spurs35241169%118.9113.3+5.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers34231168%116.3116.1+0.1
5 Denver Nuggets37251268%124.1118.1+6.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves38251366%119.9114.3+5.7
7 Boston Celtics37241365%117.8110.7+7.0
8 Houston Rockets34221265%118.9110.7+8.1
9 New York Knicks35221363%119.4115.3+4.1
10 Phoenix Suns36221461%115.5111.7+3.8
11 Toronto Raptors38231561%114.4112.1+2.4
12 Philadelphia 76ers36211558%117.2115.5+1.7
13 Miami Heat36201656%120.4117.4+3.0
14 Orlando Magic37201754%115.8114.6+1.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers39211854%119.3117.2+2.1
16 Golden State Warriors38201853%115.0113.6+1.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers38182047%116.5119.1-2.6
18 Atlanta Hawks39182146%118.4119.4-0.9
19 Chicago Bulls37172046%117.1121.2-4.1
20 Milwaukee Bucks37162143%113.3115.6-2.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies38162242%115.2116.7-1.4
22 Los Angeles Clippers37142338%112.3114.2-1.9
23 Dallas Mavericks38142437%113.1116.9-3.8
24 Utah Jazz37132435%119.6126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets38132534%115.4117.2-1.8
26 Brooklyn Nets35112431%109.1114.2-5.0
27 Washington Wizards37102727%113.3124.3-11.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans4093122%114.8122.3-7.5
29 Sacramento Kings3782922%109.9121.6-11.7
30 Indiana Pacers3873118%110.8119.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2822251287
Atlanta Hawks30281636110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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