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Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 121-112
33-36 25-34 27-23 36-19
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game102.7
Golden State Warriors 🏆
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
Position#24
Record12-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game102.2
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks
22 Jan 2027
GSW v MIL
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
GSW120
MIL113
18 Mar 2025
GSW104
MIL93
06 Mar 2024
GSW125
MIL90
11 Mar 2023
GSW125
MIL116
12 Mar 2022
GSW122
MIL109
06 Apr 2021
GSW122
MIL121
08 Jan 2020
GSW98
MIL107
08 Nov 2018
GSW111
MIL134
29 Mar 2018
GSW107
MIL116
18 Mar 2017
GSW117
MIL92
18 Dec 2015
GSW121
MIL112
04 Mar 2015
GSW102
MIL93
18 Jul 2014
GSW74
MIL79
20 Mar 2014
GSW115
MIL110
09 Mar 2013
GSW93
MIL103
16 Mar 2012
GSW98
MIL120
03 Feb 2011
GSW100
MIL94
15 Jan 2010
GSW104
MIL113
10 Dec 2008
GSW119
MIL96
17 Oct 2008
GSW109
MIL108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
135-116
135
116
+19
A28/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-101
120
101
+19
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
116-99
116
99
+17
A03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A05/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
114-98
114
98
+16
A06/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
131-123
131
123
+8
A09/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
124-119 OT
124
119
+5
A12/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
95-108
95
108
-13
A13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
128-103
128
103
+25
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-27
31-30
28-24
32-35
30-29
26-17
36-25
28-30
26-20
27-28
30-29
23-26
32-23
28-28
33-21
23-27
32-21
27-28
24-30
29-30
30-16
27-38
30-26
27-18
44-28
35-32
32-23
20-40
26-25
31-28
25-22
21-28
28-30
20-29
29-21
18-28
26-28
33-18
46-19
23-38
226.0Avg total
118.1Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)113.1102.7215.8+10.485%
Season at home (14)112.796.9209.6+15.893%
Season away (19)113.4107.0220.4+6.479%
Last 10 (10)118.1107.9226.0+10.290%
Last 5 (5)118.4110.2228.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)114.5102.4216.8+12.190%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
95-102
95
102
-7
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
106-91
106
91
+15
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
95-109
95
109
-14
H10/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
108-95
108
95
+13
H13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
95-113
95
113
-18
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
18-21
21-16
25-14
21-28
17-20
17-28
15-19
16-17
24-34
19-16
36-35
29-24
23-24
29-21
25-22
25-16
17-17
18-29
30-26
26-25
22-22
20-28
27-34
17-24
14-25
29-21
23-20
30-28
29-20
21-29
28-18
25-30
21-25
20-31
29-27
21-29
22-25
23-24
24-25
188.4Avg total
92.4Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)96.4102.2198.6-5.836%
Season at home (16)99.9100.1200.0-0.156%
Season away (17)93.0104.2197.2-11.218%
Last 10 (10)92.496.0188.4-3.640%
Last 5 (5)94.2102.0196.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)91.9100.4192.2-8.529%
vs Similar (14)101.1103.2204.3-2.143%
vs Weaker (2)93.0100.0193.0-7.050%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
Golden State WarriorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A28/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H29/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A05/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A06/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A09/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/12
NBA
112.6Avg total
60.3Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.451.6111.0+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.046.7106.7+13.392%-
Last 30 away (18)59.154.8113.9+4.272%-
Last 10 (10)60.352.3112.6+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)60.054.4114.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)59.451.6111.0+7.980%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H10/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A17/12
NBA
92.2Avg total
44.5Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.151.6100.7-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.850.0101.8+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)46.453.299.6-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.792.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.450.696.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)44.949.093.9-4.136%-
vs Similar (14)53.754.4108.1-0.750%-
vs Weaker (2)46.550.096.5-3.550%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.028.2
51.3%
49.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.4
45.1%
35.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws25.318.5
73.1%
75.5%18.5
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀72%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 72% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.633.1
46.9%
49.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.14.0
30.5%
35.3%12.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.5%
75.5%14.2
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 16% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWWLLW
#1
League position
#24
+9.8
Net rating
-3.8
113.3
Offensive rating
96.4
103.5
Defensive rating
100.1
57.3%
Effective FG%
46.7%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
45.1%
3-point %
30.5%
64.6%
Assist %
62.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 96.4Defence103.5 · 100.1Shooting57.3% · 46.7%3-point %45.1% · 30.5%Ball care15.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 22.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Golden State Warriors wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
13/12/15Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors108-95
29/03/15Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors95-108
05/03/15Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks102-93
18/07/14Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks74-79
21/03/14Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks115-110
08/01/14Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors80-101
16/07/13Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors72-84
10/03/13Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks93-103
27/01/13Milwaukee Bucks v Golden State Warriors109-102
17/03/12Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks98-120
Golden State Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/15HPhoenix Suns128-103
13/12/15AMilwaukee Bucks95-108
12/12/15ABoston Celtics124-119 OT
09/12/15AIndiana Pacers131-123
06/12/15ABrooklyn Nets114-98
05/12/15AToronto Raptors112-109
03/12/15ACharlotte Hornets116-99
01/12/15AUtah Jazz106-103
29/11/15HSacramento Kings120-101
28/11/15APhoenix Suns135-116
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/15ALos Angeles Clippers90-103
16/12/15ALos Angeles Lakers95-113
13/12/15HGolden State Warriors108-95
12/12/15AToronto Raptors83-90
10/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers95-109
08/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers90-88
06/12/15HNew York Knicks106-91
05/12/15ADetroit Pistons95-102
03/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs70-95
01/12/15HDenver Nuggets92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %85%93%79%
Points / game113.1112.7113.4
Allowed / game102.796.9107.0
Point differential+10.4+15.8+6.4
Avg total215.8209.6220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%64%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %36%56%18%
Points / game96.499.993.0
Allowed / game102.2100.1104.2
Point differential-5.8-0.1-11.2
Avg total198.6200.0197.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3328585%113.1102.7+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs3425974%100.690.1+10.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder31211068%106.999.7+7.2
4 Charlotte Hornets33221167%101.896.3+5.5
5 Indiana Pacers32211166%103.598.4+5.0
6 Toronto Raptors35221363%98.894.7+4.1
7 Orlando Magic33201361%100.798.5+2.2
8 Chicago Bulls32191359%100.9100.5+0.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers31181358%100.097.1+2.9
10 Miami Heat33191458%96.194.8+1.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers33191458%101.8101.2+0.6
12 Atlanta Hawks35201557%99.498.8+0.6
13 Boston Celtics32181456%102.498.4+4.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies34191556%94.497.2-2.8
15 Detroit Pistons36191753%102.099.2+2.9
16 New York Knicks32161650%98.098.8-0.9
17 Sacramento Kings32151747%104.1105.6-1.5
18 Houston Rockets35161946%104.9106.7-1.8
19 Phoenix Suns33151845%104.4104.6-0.2
20 Denver Nuggets33151845%98.2101.2-3.0
21 Dallas Mavericks34151944%98.4100.4-2.0
22 Utah Jazz32141844%97.197.3-0.2
23 Washington Wizards30131743%102.7105.8-3.1
24 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%101.9102.1-0.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves33122136%100.6104.0-3.4
26 Milwaukee Bucks33122136%96.4102.2-5.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans32102231%102.1107.6-5.5
28 Brooklyn Nets3192229%96.4102.0-5.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers3362718%96.9106.2-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers353329%92.2104.3-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors33252736121
Milwaukee Bucks36342319112
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