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Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 117-92
27-29 36-15 31-26 23-22
Position#1
Record60-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game104.8
vs
Position#14
Record37-37
FormWWLWW
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game103.6
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks
22 Jan 2027
GSW v MIL
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
GSW120
MIL113
18 Mar 2025
GSW104
MIL93
06 Mar 2024
GSW125
MIL90
11 Mar 2023
GSW125
MIL116
12 Mar 2022
GSW122
MIL109
06 Apr 2021
GSW122
MIL121
08 Jan 2020
GSW98
MIL107
08 Nov 2018
GSW111
MIL134
29 Mar 2018
GSW107
MIL116
18 Mar 2017
GSW117
MIL92
18 Dec 2015
GSW121
MIL112
04 Mar 2015
GSW102
MIL93
18 Jul 2014
GSW74
MIL79
20 Mar 2014
GSW115
MIL110
09 Mar 2013
GSW93
MIL103
16 Mar 2012
GSW98
MIL120
03 Feb 2011
GSW100
MIL94
15 Jan 2010
GSW104
MIL113
10 Dec 2008
GSW119
MIL96
17 Oct 2008
GSW109
MIL108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
119-108
119
108
+11
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
108-112
108
112
-4
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
112-105
112
105
+7
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
119-111
119
111
+8
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
102-103
102
103
-1
A11/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-104
106
104
+2
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
122-92
122
92
+30
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
27-25
34-24
26-28
26-40
23-21
36-24
23-27
26-19
25-28
22-32
14-15
29-18
20-32
35-26
28-29
35-42
26-24
33-24
25-21
28-25
22-21
24-26
12-27
24-34
29-28
23-26
26-15
22-33
22-31
19-22
22-21
35-34
23-25
20-31
28-14
34-20
33-30
36-21
19-21
208.1Avg total
104.6Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)115.9104.8220.6+11.180%
Season at home (35)119.1102.3221.4+16.989%
Season away (40)113.0107.0220.0+6.172%
Last 10 (10)104.6103.5208.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.2101.0201.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)114.5104.3218.9+10.273%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
98-110
98
110
-12
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
112-98
112
98
+14
A07/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H09/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H12/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
93-113
93
113
-20
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
107-103
107
103
+4
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
22-31
29-23
32-24
34-19
32-28
19-29
27-25
12-19
41-23
27-25
21-27
27-19
33-24
31-25
21-30
32-30
23-26
21-17
28-20
23-27
22-23
29-18
25-17
23-19
25-29
28-27
26-20
24-30
27-31
23-24
19-28
28-20
18-26
21-23
30-27
31-24
30-22
23-31
23-26
201.3Avg total
102.5Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)103.6103.6207.2-0.150%
Season at home (39)106.1103.3209.4+2.756%
Season away (35)100.8104.0204.8-3.243%
Last 10 (10)102.598.8201.3+3.780%
Last 5 (5)99.698.4198.0+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)104.7109.0213.7-4.333%
vs Similar (18)100.1102.8202.8-2.744%
vs Weaker (9)112.0110.6222.6+1.456%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Golden State WarriorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A11/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/03
NBA
110.2Avg total
54.1Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.554.2111.8+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.352.5112.8+7.862%-
Last 30 away (17)55.455.6111.0-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)54.156.1110.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)54.456.2110.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)57.554.2111.8+3.357%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
37-63
37
63
-26
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A07/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H09/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A18/03
NBA
102.4Avg total
52.2Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.255.2107.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.754.9106.5-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)52.755.6108.3-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)52.250.2102.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)50.250.2100.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.356.0108.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (18)49.354.1103.4-4.822%-
vs Weaker (9)57.957.2115.1+0.756%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.929.2
50.4%
50.2%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.5
32.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.7
76.3%
77.0%17.7
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.328.3
52.1%
50.2%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.0
36.7%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.9
82.5%
77.0%18.9
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWLLLWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#14
+1.1
Net rating
+4.0
104.4
Offensive rating
109.7
103.3
Defensive rating
105.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
36.7%
68.0%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 109.7Defence103.3 · 105.8Shooting49.7% · 53.0%3-point %32.1% · 36.7%Ball care14.3% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 21.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/17HOrlando Magic122-92
15/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers106-104
12/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs85-107
11/03/17AMinnesota Timberwolves102-103
09/03/17HBoston Celtics86-99
07/03/17AAtlanta Hawks119-111
05/03/17ANew York Knicks112-105
03/03/17AChicago Bulls87-94
01/03/17AWashington Wizards108-112
28/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers119-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers107-103
16/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers97-96
14/03/17AMemphis Grizzlies93-113
12/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves102-95
11/03/17HIndiana Pacers99-85
09/03/17HNew York Knicks104-93
07/03/17APhiladelphia 76ers112-98
05/03/17HToronto Raptors101-94
04/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers112-101
02/03/17HDenver Nuggets98-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW80%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLWWLL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753540
Win %80%89%72%
Points / game115.9119.1113.0
Allowed / game104.8102.3107.0
Point differential+11.1+16.9+6.1
Avg total220.6221.4220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (3)45% (11)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743935
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game103.6106.1100.8
Allowed / game103.6103.3104.0
Point differential-0.1+2.7-3.2
Avg total207.2209.4204.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)40% (10)70% (10)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors75601580%115.9104.8+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs74561876%105.698.1+7.5
3 Houston Rockets76522468%115.4108.6+6.9
4 Boston Celtics76492764%107.2104.4+2.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers74472764%109.5106.2+3.4
6 Utah Jazz76463061%100.196.2+3.9
7 Washington Wizards76463061%108.6106.0+2.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers76443258%106.5104.5+2.0
9 Memphis Grizzlies76443258%101.9100.5+1.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder73423158%106.7105.7+1.0
11 Toronto Raptors75433257%106.3103.1+3.2
12 Atlanta Hawks76423455%103.1103.4-0.3
13 Indiana Pacers74383651%104.5104.9-0.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks74373750%103.6103.6-0.1
15 Miami Heat77383949%103.0101.6+1.5
16 Denver Nuggets77374048%110.4110.0+0.4
17 Detroit Pistons75363948%100.9101.2-0.3
18 Chicago Bulls77364147%102.0103.0-1.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers75354047%107.6109.3-1.7
20 Minnesota Timberwolves75334244%104.5104.2+0.3
21 Charlotte Hornets76334343%103.6103.8-0.2
22 Dallas Mavericks75314441%97.6100.4-2.8
23 New York Knicks75314441%105.6108.5-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings74294539%102.9106.1-3.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans75294639%103.5106.3-2.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers75274836%101.7107.6-5.8
27 Orlando Magic77275035%99.8106.4-6.6
28 Phoenix Suns75264935%107.1111.7-4.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers77225529%104.5111.2-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets74146019%105.4113.7-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors27363123117
Milwaukee Bucks2915262292
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