PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 107-116
27-29 22-29 23-34 35-24
Position#2
Record54-20
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#15
Record39-35
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Milwaukee Bucks
22 Jan 2027
GSW v MIL
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
GSW120
MIL113
18 Mar 2025
GSW104
MIL93
06 Mar 2024
GSW125
MIL90
11 Mar 2023
GSW125
MIL116
12 Mar 2022
GSW122
MIL109
06 Apr 2021
GSW122
MIL121
08 Jan 2020
GSW98
MIL107
08 Nov 2018
GSW111
MIL134
29 Mar 2018
GSW107
MIL116
18 Mar 2017
GSW117
MIL92
18 Dec 2015
GSW121
MIL112
04 Mar 2015
GSW102
MIL93
20 Mar 2014
GSW115
MIL110
09 Mar 2013
GSW93
MIL103
16 Mar 2012
GSW98
MIL120
03 Feb 2011
GSW100
MIL94
15 Jan 2010
GSW104
MIL113
10 Dec 2008
GSW119
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
110-107
110
107
+3
104avg 113
H09/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
108-125
108
125
-17
98avg 113
A10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
103-109
103
109
-6
94avg 113
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
117-106
117
106
+11
118avg 113
H15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
93-98
93
98
-5
83avg 113
H17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
124-109
124
109
+15
118avg 113
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
64avg 113
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
106-94
106
94
+12
100avg 113
H24/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
91-110
91
110
-19
79avg 113
H26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
74avg 113
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-29
32-37
32-20
27-33
25-28
31-26
25-38
24-34
38-21
22-29
19-25
26-23
29-32
34-27
28-24
36-29
23-28
16-18
18-23
30-34
22-26
42-25
30-24
21-30
20-19
22-12
12-28
16-18
27-33
36-23
27-20
22-18
25-35
18-36
26-21
27-18
21-21
22-29
11-24
204.7Avg total
100.8Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)114.0107.0221.0+7.073%
Season at home (38)113.0104.7217.7+8.374%
Season away (36)115.0109.4224.4+5.672%
Last 10 (10)100.8103.9204.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)95.498.8194.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)104.0110.8214.8-6.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)113.1106.5219.6+6.671%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
99-110
99
110
-11
88avg 96
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
120-112
120
112
+8
123avg 96
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
121-103
121
103
+18
127avg 96
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
117-126
117
126
-9
105avg 96
A14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
122-117
122
117
+5
121avg 96
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
117-124
117
124
-7
107avg 96
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
120-127
120
127
-7
114avg 96
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
118-105
118
105
+13
110avg 96
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
106-103
106
103
+3
98avg 96
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
98-105
98
105
-7
91avg 96
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-34
30-29
23-23
26-22
34-33
31-34
29-23
32-24
32-26
26-23
31-30
20-36
32-25
28-30
37-35
26-31
30-19
39-37
27-30
25-26
32-38
28-29
32-31
24-38
33-26
26-33
37-30
24-34
37-27
29-21
28-23
27-15
20-32
41-28
18-28
29-35
27-27
26-16
16-27
227.0Avg total
113.8Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)105.9106.2212.1-0.353%
Season at home (38)106.8106.1212.9+0.761%
Season away (36)104.9106.4211.3-1.444%
Last 10 (10)113.8113.2227.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)111.8112.8224.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)108.0110.0218.0-2.060%
vs Similar (17)104.4106.1210.5-1.635%
vs Weaker (8)113.1106.0219.1+7.188%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Golden State WarriorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H09/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H24/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/03
NBA
103.5Avg total
50.5Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.956.5112.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.454.2109.6+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)56.459.2115.6-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)50.553.0103.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.250.496.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)53.359.3112.7-6.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)56.555.8112.3+0.746%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A28/03
NBA
112.8Avg total
55.6Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.053.8107.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.154.5108.6-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)53.953.2107.1+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)55.657.2112.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)55.659.6115.2-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)56.260.2116.4-4.040%-
vs Similar (17)53.052.9105.9+0.147%-
vs Weaker (8)54.851.8106.5+3.038%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.330.2
49.3%
51.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.7
34.5%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.414.3
82.2%
76.5%14.3
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.933.8
56.4%
51.0%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
36.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
76.5%17.4
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLWLWLWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#15
-3.2
Net rating
+0.6
103.5
Offensive rating
113.8
106.7
Defensive rating
113.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.5%
3-point %
37.4%
60.9%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 113.8Defence106.7 · 113.2Shooting50.0% · 56.3%3-point %34.5% · 37.4%Ball care13.0% · 12.8%Off. rebounds22.9% · 20.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/18HIndiana Pacers81-92
26/03/18HUtah Jazz91-110
24/03/18HAtlanta Hawks106-94
20/03/18ASan Antonio Spurs75-89
18/03/18APhoenix Suns124-109
17/03/18HSacramento Kings93-98
15/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-106
11/03/18AMinnesota Timberwolves103-109
10/03/18APortland Trail Blazers108-125
09/03/18HSan Antonio Spurs110-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/18ALos Angeles Clippers98-105
25/03/18HSan Antonio Spurs106-103
24/03/18AChicago Bulls118-105
22/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers120-127
19/03/18ACleveland Cavaliers117-124
17/03/18HAtlanta Hawks122-117
14/03/18AOrlando Magic117-126
13/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies121-103
10/03/18HNew York Knicks120-112
08/03/18HHouston Rockets99-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL73%
HomeWLWLL74%
AwayWLLWL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743836
Win %73%74%72%
Points / game114.0113.0115.0
Allowed / game107.0104.7109.4
Point differential+7.0+8.3+5.6
Avg total221.0217.7224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)57% (7)86% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLWWLW61%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743836
Win %53%61%44%
Points / game105.9106.8104.9
Allowed / game106.2106.1106.4
Point differential-0.3+0.7-1.4
Avg total212.1212.9211.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)79% (14)25% (8)
Overtime %5%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets75611481%113.6104.2+9.4
2 Toronto Raptors75552073%112.5104.4+8.1
3 Golden State Warriors74542073%114.0107.0+7.0
4 Boston Celtics75522369%104.1100.1+4.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers75462961%106.0103.3+2.7
6 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%110.7110.0+0.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers74443059%108.9105.5+3.4
8 Indiana Pacers76453159%105.6103.9+1.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder76443258%107.1104.0+3.1
10 San Antonio Spurs76443258%102.599.4+3.1
11 New Orleans Pelicans75433257%111.3111.0+0.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves76433357%109.9107.7+2.2
13 Utah Jazz75423356%103.4100.1+3.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers75413455%109.5108.4+1.1
15 Washington Wizards75413455%106.9105.9+1.0
16 Miami Heat76413554%103.3102.6+0.6
17 Denver Nuggets75403553%109.7108.5+1.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks74393553%105.9106.2-0.3
19 Detroit Pistons75354047%103.1103.6-0.5
20 Charlotte Hornets76344245%107.8107.8+0.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers74334145%108.4109.8-1.4
22 New York Knicks76274936%104.5108.1-3.6
23 Brooklyn Nets75245132%106.5110.5-4.0
24 Chicago Bulls75245132%103.0110.1-7.1
25 Sacramento Kings76245232%99.4106.7-7.3
26 Dallas Mavericks75235231%102.6105.2-2.6
27 Orlando Magic74225230%104.3109.1-4.8
28 Atlanta Hawks75215428%103.7109.2-5.5
29 Memphis Grizzlies75215428%98.9104.7-5.8
30 Phoenix Suns76195725%103.8113.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors27222335107
Milwaukee Bucks29293424116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.