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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 92-74
28-23 18-21 21-16 25-14
Position#23
Record6-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game105.0
vs
Position#22
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
83-99
83
99
-16
72avg 88
H11/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
102-103
102
103
-1
98avg 88
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
91avg 88
H15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
86-115
86
115
-29
75avg 88
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
100-115
100
115
-15
88avg 88
A20/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
86-123
86
123
-37
77avg 88
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
109-88
109
88
+21
110avg 88
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
118-129
118
129
-11
110avg 88
H26/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
90-114
90
114
-24
83avg 88
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
76avg 88
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
18-22
17-30
24-23
32-25
32-28
16-34
22-16
23-23
27-21
20-17
18-27
29-27
17-37
20-21
20-30
23-28
25-35
31-23
21-29
25-28
26-27
16-35
19-33
25-26
33-22
30-14
21-26
33-40
33-29
26-27
26-33
22-22
21-27
22-37
25-28
28-22
9-23
22-20
23-22
204.2Avg total
96.4Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.9105.0201.9-8.135%
Season at home (8)101.6104.2205.9-2.650%
Season away (9)92.8105.7198.4-12.922%
Last 10 (10)96.4107.8204.2-11.420%
Last 5 (5)97.0108.2205.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)94.2103.4197.6-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (18)96.6103.3199.9-6.739%
vs Weaker (4)96.893.0189.8+3.875%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
103-102
103
102
+1
97avg 87
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
107-98
107
98
+9
102avg 87
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
81-105
81
105
-24
49avg 87
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
113avg 87
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
87avg 87
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
107-114
107
114
-7
94avg 87
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-118
105
118
-13
93avg 87
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 87
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 87
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
81-92
81
92
-11
73avg 87
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
28-32
34-16
16-22
30-23
29-28
23-23
25-24
13-27
15-33
26-28
27-17
31-21
20-32
32-22
32-23
24-31
34-34
21-28
19-16
29-17
34-32
21-31
23-34
23-34
35-30
21-27
26-27
26-25
19-26
27-32
22-28
16-16
26-30
17-24
21-21
25-22
27-26
5-25
24-19
200.9Avg total
97.1Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)97.8103.7201.5-5.935%
Season at home (9)96.2103.2199.4-7.033%
Season away (8)99.6104.2203.9-4.638%
Last 10 (10)97.1103.8200.9-6.730%
Last 5 (5)93.4105.2198.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)102.2115.2217.5-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)101.8100.1201.9+1.760%
vs Weaker (2)102.5104.0206.5-1.550%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A20/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H26/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/11
NBA
104.1Avg total
50.5Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.552.3101.8-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.651.8101.4-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)49.352.8102.1-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)50.553.6104.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)51.053.2104.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.451.097.4-4.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)50.553.2103.7-2.739%-
vs Weaker (4)51.050.8101.8+0.275%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/11
NBA
106.0Avg total
50.9Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.456.0107.4-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.053.4104.4-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)51.858.5110.3-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)50.955.1106.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)52.051.6103.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.359.7110.0-9.415%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.153.1105.3-1.053%-
vs Weaker (2)53.053.0106.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.729.7
48.1%
49.0%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.6
38.4%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
75.5%15.0
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.428.8
46.9%
49.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
75.5%17.0
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
LLLLLLWLWW
#23
League position
#22
-8.1
Net rating
-6.9
102.1
Offensive rating
100.2
110.2
Defensive rating
107.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
32.2%
62.5%
Assist %
59.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 100.2Defence110.2 · 107.1Shooting50.4% · 47.3%3-point %38.4% · 32.2%Ball care16.0% · 14.9%Off. rebounds24.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Milwaukee Bucks wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/15ACharlotte Hornets82-87
28/11/15AOrlando Magic90-114
26/11/15HSacramento Kings118-129
24/11/15HDetroit Pistons109-88
22/11/15AIndiana Pacers86-123
20/11/15ACleveland Cavaliers100-115
18/11/15AWashington Wizards86-115
15/11/15HCleveland Cavaliers108-105 OT
12/11/15ADenver Nuggets102-103
11/11/15HBoston Celtics83-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/15ADallas Mavericks81-92
28/11/15HSan Antonio Spurs80-91
25/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers94-111
23/11/15HGolden State Warriors105-118
21/11/15HPhoenix Suns107-114
19/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs98-109
18/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
15/11/15APhoenix Suns81-105
14/11/15HHouston Rockets107-98
12/11/15HMilwaukee Bucks103-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game96.9101.692.8
Allowed / game105.0104.2105.7
Point differential-8.1-2.6-12.9
Avg total201.9205.9198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game97.896.299.6
Allowed / game103.7103.2104.2
Point differential-5.9-7.0-4.6
Avg total201.5199.4203.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors18180100%115.899.8+16.0
2 San Antonio Spurs1714382%99.489.7+9.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1713476%103.196.5+6.5
4 Indiana Pacers1611569%101.895.6+6.2
5 Oklahoma City Thunder1711665%109.4102.8+6.6
6 Chicago Bulls149564%99.498.9+0.4
7 Miami Heat1610662%96.292.5+3.8
8 Toronto Raptors1811761%100.296.4+3.8
9 Charlotte Hornets1710759%102.598.8+3.7
10 Dallas Mavericks1710759%100.199.1+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks1911858%102.2100.3+1.9
12 Boston Celtics1810856%102.097.5+4.5
13 Memphis Grizzlies1810856%96.299.5-3.3
14 Utah Jazz158753%95.593.2+2.3
15 Orlando Magic179853%101.9100.0+1.9
16 Los Angeles Clippers179853%103.5102.6+0.9
17 Detroit Pistons189950%96.696.6+0.0
18 Phoenix Suns178947%106.2105.2+1.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves178947%101.2101.4-0.2
20 New York Knicks1881044%96.998.8-1.9
21 Washington Wizards146843%99.2105.1-5.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers1771041%100.8100.9-0.2
23 Houston Rockets1871139%101.8107.9-6.1
24 Denver Nuggets1761135%97.8103.7-5.9
25 Milwaukee Bucks1761135%96.9105.0-8.1
26 Sacramento Kings1861233%104.9109.1-4.2
27 Brooklyn Nets1741324%95.8102.6-6.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans1741324%101.5108.9-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers1621412%97.1106.0-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers180180%90.8102.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2818212592
Denver Nuggets2321161474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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