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Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#14
Record7-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves
27 Dec 2026
GSW v MIN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
GSW117
MIN127
12 Dec 2025
GSW120
MIN127
12 May 2025
GSW110
MIN117
10 May 2025
GSW97
MIN102
08 Dec 2024
GSW114
MIN106
06 Dec 2024
GSW90
MIN107
14 Nov 2023
GSW101
MIN104
12 Nov 2023
GSW110
MIN116
26 Mar 2023
GSW96
MIN99
26 Feb 2023
GSW109
MIN104
27 Jan 2022
GSW124
MIN115
10 Nov 2021
GSW123
MIN110
27 Jan 2021
GSW123
MIN111
25 Jan 2021
GSW130
MIN108
23 Dec 2019
GSW113
MIN104
10 Oct 2019
GSW143
MIN123
10 Dec 2018
GSW116
MIN108
02 Nov 2018
GSW116
MIN99
29 Sep 2018
GSW110
MIN114
25 Jan 2018
GSW126
MIN113
08 Nov 2017
GSW125
MIN101
05 Oct 2017
GSW95
MIN111
04 Apr 2017
GSW121
MIN107
26 Nov 2016
GSW115
MIN102
05 Apr 2016
GSW117
MIN124
11 Apr 2015
GSW110
MIN101
27 Dec 2014
GSW110
MIN97
14 Apr 2014
GSW130
MIN120
24 Jan 2014
GSW120
MIN121
09 Apr 2013
GSW105
MIN89
24 Nov 2012
GSW96
MIN85
19 Mar 2012
GSW93
MIN97
13 Mar 2011
GSW100
MIN77
14 Dec 2010
GSW108
MIN99
09 Nov 2009
GSW146
MIN105
08 Apr 2009
GSW97
MIN105
11 Nov 2008
GSW113
MIN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
118-123
118
123
-5
94avg 104
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
85avg 104
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
101-89
101
89
+12
67avg 104
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
101avg 104
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
L
105-127
105
127
-22
72avg 104
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
108-111
108
111
-3
69avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 104
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 104
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 104
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
19-21
36-29
32-37
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
228.6Avg total
115.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.2110.8226.1+4.458%
Season at home (5)116.6105.6222.2+11.080%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)115.8112.8228.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.0232.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.3116.6221.9-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker (10)119.8116.4236.2+3.470%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
122-104
122
104
+18
114avg 108
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
106-128
106
128
-22
95avg 108
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
116-133
116
133
-17
83avg 108
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
116avg 108
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
231.0Avg total
118.4Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2113.1231.3+5.254%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (9)119.2114.2233.4+5.056%
Last 10 (10)118.4112.6231.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)118.8112.4231.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.9115.7230.6-0.843%
vs Weaker (10)122.0111.1233.1+10.980%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
Golden State WarriorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.7Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.657.2112.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.756.9115.6+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)53.657.3110.9-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.4114.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.8112.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.156.6108.7-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker (10)58.458.8117.2-0.450%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.256.8115.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.957.4115.4+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.3116.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.4114.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.857.6115.4+0.243%-
vs Weaker (10)63.855.4119.2+8.490%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.3%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.4
51.5%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.614.4
39.3%
34.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws30.322.0
72.6%
76.3%22.0
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWWLLW
#8
League position
#14
+2.9
Net rating
+2.5
102.7
Offensive rating
107.1
99.8
Defensive rating
104.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
7.4%
Off. rebound %
43.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.1%
3-point %
39.3%
68.4%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 107.1Defence99.8 · 104.7Shooting54.3% · 54.6%3-point %38.1% · 39.3%Ball care16.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds7.4% · 43.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106
08/10/26APortland Trail Blazers118-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game115.2116.6114.3
Allowed / game110.8105.6114.6
Point differential+4.4+11.0-0.3
Avg total226.1222.2228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %54%50%56%
Points / game118.2116.0119.2
Allowed / game113.1110.5114.2
Point differential+5.2+5.5+5.0
Avg total231.3226.5233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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