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Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-127
28-31 20-38 39-31 30-27
Position#20
Record32-33
FormLWLLL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#10
Record40-26
FormWWLLL
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game115.1
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves
27 Dec 2026
GSW v MIN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
GSW117
MIN127
12 Dec 2025
GSW120
MIN127
12 May 2025
GSW110
MIN117
10 May 2025
GSW97
MIN102
08 Dec 2024
GSW114
MIN106
06 Dec 2024
GSW90
MIN107
14 Nov 2023
GSW101
MIN104
12 Nov 2023
GSW110
MIN116
26 Mar 2023
GSW96
MIN99
26 Feb 2023
GSW109
MIN104
27 Jan 2022
GSW124
MIN115
10 Nov 2021
GSW123
MIN110
27 Jan 2021
GSW123
MIN111
25 Jan 2021
GSW130
MIN108
23 Dec 2019
GSW113
MIN104
10 Dec 2018
GSW116
MIN108
02 Nov 2018
GSW116
MIN99
25 Jan 2018
GSW126
MIN113
08 Nov 2017
GSW125
MIN101
04 Apr 2017
GSW121
MIN107
26 Nov 2016
GSW115
MIN102
05 Apr 2016
GSW117
MIN124
11 Apr 2015
GSW110
MIN101
27 Dec 2014
GSW110
MIN97
14 Apr 2014
GSW130
MIN120
24 Jan 2014
GSW120
MIN121
09 Apr 2013
GSW105
MIN89
24 Nov 2012
GSW96
MIN85
19 Mar 2012
GSW93
MIN97
13 Mar 2011
GSW100
MIN77
14 Dec 2010
GSW108
MIN99
09 Nov 2009
GSW146
MIN105
08 Apr 2009
GSW97
MIN105
11 Nov 2008
GSW113
MIN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
110-121
110
121
-11
99avg 106
H20/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
128-117
128
117
+11
132avg 106
H22/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
109-113
109
113
-4
103avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
101-129
101
129
-28
95avg 106
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
101-114
101
114
-13
86avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
109avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 106
A08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
116-119
116
119
-3
107avg 106
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-130 OT
124
130
-6
113avg 106
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-36
19-38
22-28
37-19
39-27
37-40
19-34
33-16
19-31
20-15
33-31
37-36
34-31
40-22
22-23
37-36
20-33
27-32
25-34
29-30
31-19
25-23
23-35
22-37
30-20
21-27
30-35
20-19
28-34
26-33
29-19
14-18
27-29
28-30
29-32
32-28
30-26
21-31
32-32
35-29
230.6Avg total
113.4Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)115.2114.2229.4+1.049%
Season at home (33)118.0115.3233.2+2.758%
Season away (32)112.3113.2225.5-0.841%
Last 10 (10)113.4117.2230.6-3.830%
Last 5 (5)110.6116.0226.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)118.6117.6236.2+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.2111.2218.3-4.031%
vs Weaker (9)124.7116.8241.4+7.967%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
122-111
122
111
+11
115avg 110
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
108-135
108
135
-27
104avg 110
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
124-121
124
121
+3
118avg 110
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 110
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
117-108
117
108
+9
116avg 110
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-110
117
110
+7
111avg 110
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
110avg 110
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
92-119
92
119
-27
72avg 110
H07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
106-120
106
120
-14
99avg 110
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
128-153
128
153
-25
127avg 110
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-25
29-32
27-31
26-23
26-35
32-33
20-26
30-41
33-27
29-32
34-35
28-27
29-27
15-11
19-30
31-20
22-31
36-19
32-32
27-26
23-32
34-30
32-20
28-28
31-27
24-27
35-22
25-31
30-27
20-33
28-30
14-29
21-16
24-29
23-39
38-36
27-38
38-36
33-35
30-44
229.5Avg total
112.3Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)118.6115.1233.7+3.461%
Season at home (34)114.8110.8225.6+4.065%
Season away (32)122.6119.7242.3+2.956%
Last 10 (10)112.3117.2229.5-4.960%
Last 5 (5)111.6121.8233.4-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)116.7113.3230.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (18)114.7115.7230.4-1.156%
vs Weaker (9)123.0116.6239.6+6.456%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
Golden State WarriorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
51-74
51
74
-23
H20/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H22/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H11/03
NBA
113.1Avg total
55.4Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.957.6114.6-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.060.9120.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (12)52.352.7105.0-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)55.457.7113.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)53.454.4107.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.863.9125.6-2.162%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.853.6105.5-1.846%-
vs Weaker (9)60.057.9117.9+2.144%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A12/03
NBA
113.0Avg total
56.3Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.0113.9+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.255.6113.8+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)57.556.4113.9+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)56.356.7113.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.459.0113.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.758.0107.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.855.7112.6+1.156%-
vs Weaker (9)62.855.8118.6+7.067%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.1
55.5%
54.8%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.916.4
34.2%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
78.1%12.0
They take 94.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.228.3
57.5%
54.8%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.112.1
34.5%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws26.319.9
75.7%
78.1%19.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLLWLLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWWWWLW
#20
League position
#10
-3.8
Net rating
+0.0
112.4
Offensive rating
111.4
116.2
Defensive rating
111.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
34.5%
73.6%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 111.4Defence116.2 · 111.4Shooting53.4% · 55.1%3-point %34.2% · 34.5%Ball care12.9% · 14.3%Off. rebounds29.1% · 23.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HChicago Bulls124-130 OT
10/03/26AUtah Jazz116-119
08/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder97-104
06/03/26AHouston Rockets115-113 OT
03/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers101-114
01/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers101-129
26/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies133-112
25/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans109-113
22/02/26HDenver Nuggets128-117
20/02/26HBoston Celtics110-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers128-153
11/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers106-120
07/03/26HOrlando Magic92-119
06/03/26HToronto Raptors115-107
04/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies117-110
01/03/26ADenver Nuggets117-108
27/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers94-88
25/02/26APortland Trail Blazers124-121
23/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers108-135
21/02/26HDallas Mavericks122-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL49%
HomeLWLLL58%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %49%58%41%
Points / game115.2118.0112.3
Allowed / game114.2115.3113.2
Point differential+1.0+2.7-0.8
Avg total229.4233.2225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)50% (4)38% (13)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL61%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %61%65%56%
Points / game118.6114.8122.6
Allowed / game115.1110.8119.7
Point differential+3.4+4.0+2.9
Avg total233.7225.6242.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)60% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder65511478%118.4108.0+10.4
2 Detroit Pistons66481873%117.4109.6+7.7
3 San Antonio Spurs64461872%118.8111.9+6.9
4 Boston Celtics66432365%114.3107.1+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers65412463%116.3114.9+1.4
6 New York Knicks66412562%116.7110.7+6.1
7 Houston Rockets66412562%114.1109.9+4.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers67412661%119.1114.6+4.4
9 Denver Nuggets67412661%120.6116.5+4.1
10 Minnesota Timberwolves66402661%118.6115.1+3.4
11 Phoenix Suns66392759%112.9110.8+2.1
12 Miami Heat66382858%120.7116.5+4.1
13 Orlando Magic63362757%115.5113.8+1.7
14 Toronto Raptors65372857%113.7111.9+1.9
15 Atlanta Hawks66353153%117.7116.9+0.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers66353153%115.8116.5-0.7
17 Los Angeles Clippers65333251%113.4112.6+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets67343351%115.7112.3+3.4
19 Golden State Warriors65323349%115.2114.2+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers66313547%115.1117.8-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks65273842%111.0115.9-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls66273941%115.9120.2-4.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies66234335%115.7118.4-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks67224533%112.9118.0-5.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans68224632%115.4119.8-4.4
26 Utah Jazz66204630%117.4125.0-7.6
27 Brooklyn Nets66174926%106.9115.8-8.9
28 Washington Wizards65164925%112.8123.9-11.0
29 Sacramento Kings67165124%110.6120.9-10.2
30 Indiana Pacers67155222%111.0119.7-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors28203930117
Minnesota Timberwolves31383127127
← all games of the day
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