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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 108-83
21-20 32-18 22-19 33-26
Position#10
Record27-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game115.0
vs
Position#20
Record26-21
FormWWLLW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game113.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 110
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 110
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-103
104
103
+1
93avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
139-106
139
106
+33
142avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 110
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-126
123
126
-3
112avg 110
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
122-127
122
127
-5
109avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
115-120
115
120
-5
110avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
85-111
85
111
-26
75avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
24-31
18-24
29-30
33-18
38-20
38-25
30-33
33-28
34-29
21-24
27-28
23-29
22-21
22-48
40-27
39-30
34-29
24-30
38-25
26-43
32-26
29-34
29-33
25-27
19-24
27-23
17-38
22-26
234.5Avg total
118.0Scored
116.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)119.2115.0234.2+4.259%
Season at home (23)114.6110.1224.7+4.565%
Season away (23)123.9120.0243.8+3.952%
Last 10 (10)118.0116.5234.5+1.540%
Last 5 (5)110.0118.8228.8-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)114.7111.4226.1+3.371%
vs Similar ◀ (11)116.6118.2234.8-1.545%
vs Weaker (12)123.0115.5238.5+7.558%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
137-103
137
103
+34
139avg 107
H10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
111-124
111
124
-13
107avg 107
H12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
119-97
119
97
+22
114avg 107
H14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
126-113
126
113
+13
119avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
136-116
136
116
+20
135avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
135-112
135
112
+23
136avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
127-145
127
145
-18
116avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
115-123
115
123
-8
101avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
111-85
111
85
+26
104avg 107
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
33-22
34-29
22-31
34-29
29-30
34-25
40-19
28-27
25-32
25-35
33-30
38-24
29-17
28-30
24-26
30-35
32-24
37-28
27-26
39-28
30-29
43-37
24-22
36-34
34-32
34-27
31-19
28-41
22-29
44-38
33-37
27-24
23-31
39-29
26-39
24-19
23-27
38-17
26-22
236.8Avg total
123.7Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)116.7113.5230.3+3.255%
Season at home (24)120.2112.9233.1+7.271%
Season away (23)113.1114.2227.3-1.039%
Last 10 (10)123.7113.1236.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)124.8116.2241.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)116.7118.8235.5-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (16)115.2112.4227.6+2.944%
vs Weaker (8)124.8110.5235.2+14.288%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-69
44
69
-25
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/01
NBA
114.3Avg total
57.1Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.157.7113.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.857.9112.7-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)57.357.5114.8-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)57.157.2114.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)52.857.6110.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.158.1108.3-8.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)55.558.3113.7-2.836%-
vs Weaker (12)60.156.9117.0+3.258%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H20/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H21/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/01
NBA
116.0Avg total
59.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.4114.2+1.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)60.158.1118.2+1.968%-
Last 30 away (11)54.053.4107.4+0.664%-
Last 10 (10)59.556.5116.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)57.258.8116.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.059.0117.0-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.955.6111.5+0.462%-
vs Weaker (8)61.556.0117.5+5.575%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.028.6
55.0%
54.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.015.1
39.7%
35.8%45.3
🏀 Free throws22.215.5
69.8%
78.1%15.5
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 123.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers55.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.327.4
61.9%
54.8%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.918.4
38.4%
35.8%55.2
🏀 Free throws16.913.7
81.1%
78.1%13.7
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLLWWLWW
Golden State Warriors
WLLWWWWLWW
#10
League position
#20
+1.4
Net rating
+10.3
113.6
Offensive rating
120.6
112.2
Defensive rating
110.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
59.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
11.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.18
39.7%
3-point %
38.4%
61.1%
Assist %
69.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 120.6Defence112.2 · 110.2Shooting56.9% · 59.7%3-point %39.7% · 38.4%Ball care13.9% · 11.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 21.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HGolden State Warriors85-111
23/01/26HChicago Bulls115-120
21/01/26AUtah Jazz122-127
18/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-126
17/01/26AHouston Rockets105-110
14/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks139-106
12/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs104-103
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-85
23/01/26ADallas Mavericks115-123
21/01/26HToronto Raptors127-145
20/01/26HMiami Heat135-112
18/01/26HCharlotte Hornets136-116
16/01/26HNew York Knicks126-113
14/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-97
12/01/26HAtlanta Hawks111-124
10/01/26HSacramento Kings137-103
08/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks120-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL59%
HomeWWWLL65%
AwayLWLLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %59%65%52%
Points / game119.2114.6123.9
Allowed / game115.0110.1120.0
Point differential+4.2+4.5+3.9
Avg total234.2224.7243.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%35%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)67% (9)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %55%71%39%
Points / game116.7120.2113.1
Allowed / game113.5112.9114.2
Point differential+3.2+7.2-1.0
Avg total230.3233.1227.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (3)33% (9)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4536980%120.7108.3+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons44331175%117.4110.1+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets46311567%120.7116.2+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs44291566%117.2112.3+4.9
5 Houston Rockets44281664%116.7110.5+6.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers44281664%116.2115.9+0.3
7 Boston Celtics46291763%116.6109.9+6.7
8 Toronto Raptors47291862%114.3111.8+2.5
9 Phoenix Suns45271860%114.7111.2+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves46271959%119.2115.0+4.2
11 Cleveland Cavaliers48282058%119.0116.5+2.5
12 New York Knicks43251858%117.5113.8+3.7
13 Golden State Warriors47262155%116.7113.5+3.2
14 Miami Heat46252154%120.0118.1+1.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers45242153%116.1115.8+0.3
16 Orlando Magic43222151%114.9115.2-0.3
17 Chicago Bulls46232350%117.9119.9-2.0
18 Portland Trail Blazers47232449%115.6117.5-1.9
19 Atlanta Hawks48232548%117.8118.7-0.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers45212447%112.6113.0-0.4
21 Dallas Mavericks46192741%114.3116.5-2.3
22 Memphis Grizzlies44182641%115.2116.4-1.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks44182641%111.9115.5-3.6
24 Charlotte Hornets47192840%116.3115.0+1.3
25 Utah Jazz46153133%119.0127.8-8.8
26 Brooklyn Nets44123227%107.9115.1-7.2
27 Sacramento Kings47123526%111.0121.2-10.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans48123625%114.8121.5-6.7
29 Indiana Pacers47113623%110.2118.5-8.3
30 Washington Wizards44103423%112.2123.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves21322233108
Golden State Warriors2018192683
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