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Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 97-102
21-21 21-19 31-29 24-33
Position#11
Record54-37
FormLLWWL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game110.1
vs
Position#7
Record54-35
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game108.5
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Chase Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves
27 Dec 2026
GSW v MIN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
GSW117
MIN127
12 Dec 2025
GSW120
MIN127
12 May 2025
GSW110
MIN117
10 May 2025
GSW97
MIN102
08 Dec 2024
GSW114
MIN106
06 Dec 2024
GSW90
MIN107
14 Nov 2023
GSW101
MIN104
12 Nov 2023
GSW110
MIN116
26 Mar 2023
GSW96
MIN99
26 Feb 2023
GSW109
MIN104
27 Jan 2022
GSW124
MIN115
10 Nov 2021
GSW123
MIN110
27 Jan 2021
GSW123
MIN111
25 Jan 2021
GSW130
MIN108
23 Dec 2019
GSW113
MIN104
10 Dec 2018
GSW116
MIN108
02 Nov 2018
GSW116
MIN99
25 Jan 2018
GSW126
MIN113
08 Nov 2017
GSW125
MIN101
04 Apr 2017
GSW121
MIN107
26 Nov 2016
GSW115
MIN102
05 Apr 2016
GSW117
MIN124
11 Apr 2015
GSW110
MIN101
27 Dec 2014
GSW110
MIN97
14 Apr 2014
GSW130
MIN120
24 Jan 2014
GSW120
MIN121
09 Apr 2013
GSW105
MIN89
24 Nov 2012
GSW96
MIN85
19 Mar 2012
GSW93
MIN97
13 Mar 2011
GSW100
MIN77
14 Dec 2010
GSW108
MIN99
09 Nov 2009
GSW146
MIN105
08 Apr 2009
GSW97
MIN105
11 Nov 2008
GSW113
MIN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
121-116
121
116
+5
114avg 107
H16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
95-85
95
85
+10
87avg 107
A21/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 107
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 107
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
109-106
109
106
+3
98avg 107
H29/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
116-131
116
131
-15
100avg 107
A30/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
107-115
107
115
-8
96avg 107
H03/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
96avg 107
A05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 107
A07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
93-117
93
117
-24
87avg 107
A09/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
36-30
27-36
27-25
18-21
29-13
22-26
26-25
18-28
28-32
25-27
23-22
18-22
28-27
23-22
35-22
28-26
22-31
32-23
27-26
24-40
25-36
31-31
36-24
21-25
27-28
36-33
23-29
23-19
28-20
19-23
33-27
18-20
26-11
36-29
19-28
15-29
24-27
26-29
28-32
209.0Avg total
104.1Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)113.0110.1223.1+2.959%
Season at home (45)112.3110.0222.3+2.360%
Season away (46)113.7110.2223.8+3.559%
Last 10 (10)104.1104.9209.0-0.860%
Last 5 (5)103.6108.0211.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)108.0107.2215.2+0.862%
vs Weaker (9)121.0108.1229.1+12.978%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
141-125
141
125
+16
139avg 106
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
117-91
117
91
+26
120avg 106
H12/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
116-105
116
105
+11
107avg 106
H13/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
117-95
117
95
+22
116avg 106
A20/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
85-94
85
94
-9
66avg 106
A23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-104
116
104
+12
103avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-113
116
113
+3
103avg 106
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
103-96
103
96
+7
96avg 106
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 106
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-93
117
93
+24
114avg 106
H09/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-31
30-41
52-25
22-28
28-16
36-36
34-21
19-18
30-24
20-25
40-28
26-28
21-28
38-20
35-30
23-17
15-34
28-24
22-23
20-13
32-26
22-32
32-26
30-20
28-32
33-26
23-36
32-19
31-22
28-27
22-31
22-16
20-18
11-26
29-36
28-19
29-15
27-24
29-26
32-28
213.1Avg total
111.6Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)113.6108.5222.1+5.161%
Season at home (45)115.2108.1223.3+7.162%
Season away (44)112.1108.9221.0+3.259%
Last 10 (10)111.6101.5213.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)108.0101.0209.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.3108.6221.9+4.760%
vs Weaker (15)120.1106.3226.3+13.887%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.8+4.8
Golden State WarriorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A21/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H29/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A30/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A09/05
NBA
99.7Avg total
48.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.852.8107.6+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.354.1110.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)53.351.5104.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)48.751.099.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.251.097.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.853.0105.8-0.148%-
vs Weaker (9)59.452.3111.8+7.156%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H12/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H13/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A20/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/05
NBA
107.1Avg total
54.4Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.752.9108.6+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.353.1109.5+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)55.052.7107.7+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)54.452.7107.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)52.249.6101.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.753.6106.3-0.940%-
vs Weaker (15)58.752.2110.9+6.580%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 104.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.0
50.5%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.915.0
35.8%
35.9%45.0
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
77.8%15.1
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.028.1
56.2%
54.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.012.5
33.8%
35.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.9
77.2%
77.8%17.9
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWWLLWWLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLWWWW
#11
League position
#7
-0.8
Net rating
+10.6
109.7
Offensive rating
117.2
110.6
Defensive rating
106.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.2%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.8%
3-point %
33.8%
67.0%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 117.2Defence110.6 · 106.6Shooting52.0% · 53.9%3-point %35.8% · 33.8%Ball care12.7% · 12.2%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves93-117
07/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves99-88
05/05/25AHouston Rockets103-89
03/05/25HHouston Rockets107-115
30/04/25AHouston Rockets116-131
29/04/25HHouston Rockets109-106
27/04/25HHouston Rockets104-93
24/04/25AHouston Rockets94-109
21/04/25AHouston Rockets95-85
16/04/25HMemphis Grizzlies121-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HGolden State Warriors117-93
07/05/25HGolden State Warriors88-99
01/05/25ALos Angeles Lakers103-96
27/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-113
26/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-104
23/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers85-94
20/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers117-95
13/04/25HUtah Jazz116-105
12/04/25HBrooklyn Nets117-91
11/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies141-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914546
Win %59%60%59%
Points / game113.0112.3113.7
Allowed / game110.1110.0110.2
Point differential+2.9+2.3+3.5
Avg total223.1222.3223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)69% (13)44% (9)
Overtime %2%2%2%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894544
Win %61%62%59%
Points / game113.6115.2112.1
Allowed / game108.5108.1108.9
Point differential+5.1+7.1+3.2
Avg total222.1223.3221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (27)40% (15)67% (12)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder87711682%120.7107.7+13.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers89692078%122.0111.7+10.3
3 Boston Celtics90662473%115.3106.1+9.2
4 New York Knicks90573363%114.8111.1+3.7
5 Indiana Pacers90563462%117.3115.0+2.3
6 Houston Rockets87543362%113.9109.5+4.4
7 Denver Nuggets92563661%119.5116.4+3.1
8 Minnesota Timberwolves89543561%113.6108.5+5.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers89533660%112.5108.2+4.3
10 Golden State Warriors91543759%113.0110.1+2.9
11 Los Angeles Lakers87513659%112.6111.9+0.7
12 Memphis Grizzlies88493956%120.7116.9+3.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks85473855%115.3113.5+1.8
14 Detroit Pistons88464252%114.9113.2+1.7
15 Orlando Magic87434449%104.9105.4-0.5
16 Sacramento Kings83404348%115.6115.3+0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks83404348%114.3115.3-1.0
18 Atlanta Hawks82394348%118.2119.7-1.5
19 Chicago Bulls83394447%117.5119.2-1.8
20 Miami Heat88394944%110.0110.6-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers82364644%110.9113.9-3.0
22 Phoenix Suns82364644%113.6116.6-3.0
23 San Antonio Spurs82344841%113.9116.7-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors82305237%110.9115.2-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets82265632%105.1112.2-7.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers82245829%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans82216126%109.8119.3-9.4
28 Charlotte Hornets82196323%105.1114.2-9.1
29 Washington Wizards82186422%108.0120.4-12.4
30 Utah Jazz82176521%111.9121.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors2121312497
Minnesota Timberwolves21192933102
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