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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 115-116
12-34 30-21 36-32 37-29
Position#7
Record21-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#11
Record19-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 105
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
112-110
112
110
+2
102avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-113
105
113
-8
102avg 105
A01/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
115-118
115
118
-3
114avg 105
H03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
105-119
105
119
-14
91avg 105
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 105
H07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
104-97
104
97
+7
99avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
104-89
104
89
+15
95avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
125-127
125
127
-2
130avg 105
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
120-106
120
106
+14
116avg 105
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
35-31
19-32
37-28
25-33
32-12
25-37
30-28
24-21
28-25
23-43
30-24
35-28
16-34
34-29
30-27
28-33
15-22
38-41
24-23
16-27
30-26
31-23
31-30
34-33
20-21
29-21
21-22
29-18
23-21
26-23
26-27
33-35
32-29
38-35
22-28
25-20
26-27
31-32
38-27
220.8Avg total
111.1Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)109.6107.6217.3+2.054%
Season at home (18)110.2107.9218.1+2.356%
Season away (21)109.1107.4216.5+1.752%
Last 10 (10)111.1109.7220.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)112.2105.0217.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3112.7221.0-4.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.1105.4212.5+1.754%
vs Weaker (14)108.1107.2215.4+0.957%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
92-102
92
102
-10
78avg 110
A28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
109-105
109
105
+4
98avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
95-113
95
113
-18
78avg 110
H31/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
139-105
139
105
+34
149avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
121-113
121
113
+8
114avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
99-129
99
129
-30
88avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
98-114
98
114
-16
91avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
107-104
107
104
+3
106avg 110
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
96-108
96
108
-12
85avg 110
A11/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
101-104
101
104
-3
90avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-30
19-32
30-21
34-27
27-38
21-22
27-18
27-26
11-20
27-37
30-30
35-19
33-33
35-26
36-27
30-29
28-25
34-32
29-27
21-36
30-39
24-30
24-24
23-29
25-32
30-23
20-30
25-23
32-24
25-27
25-30
24-27
21-23
25-30
26-28
26-28
24-24
28-23
23-29
215.4Avg total
105.7Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)111.6111.2222.7+0.450%
Season at home (20)111.5111.3222.8+0.250%
Season away (18)111.6111.0222.6+0.650%
Last 10 (10)105.7109.7215.4-4.040%
Last 5 (5)100.2111.8212.0-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.7111.3219.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.2113.8221.0-6.639%
vs Weaker (8)112.5108.0220.5+4.550%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A01/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A14/01
NBA
104.5Avg total
52.8Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.951.4104.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.955.7107.6-3.838%-
Last 30 away (17)53.648.1101.8+5.565%-
Last 10 (10)52.851.7104.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)53.651.4105.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.754.3106.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.251.2103.4+0.962%-
vs Weaker (14)53.950.9104.8+2.950%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H31/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H03/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H05/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H06/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H08/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A11/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A14/01
NBA
107.0Avg total
51.9Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.155.6108.7-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.657.7113.4-2.135%-
Last 30 away (13)49.852.8102.6-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)51.955.1107.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)50.257.0107.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.055.3106.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.756.7108.4-5.128%-
vs Weaker (8)59.254.5113.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.8
53.1%
54.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.015.8
39.5%
35.9%47.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
77.8%16.1
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 105.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.225.7
52.2%
54.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.814.0
33.5%
35.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
77.8%12.3
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLLLWW
Golden State Warriors
LLWLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#11
+1.4
Net rating
-4.0
112.7
Offensive rating
105.7
111.2
Defensive rating
109.7
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.19
39.5%
3-point %
33.5%
60.9%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 105.7Defence111.2 · 109.7Shooting56.0% · 51.3%3-point %39.5% · 33.5%Ball care15.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AWashington Wizards120-106
12/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies125-127
10/01/25AOrlando Magic104-89
08/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans104-97
07/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers108-106
05/01/25ADetroit Pistons105-119
03/01/25HBoston Celtics115-118
01/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-113
30/12/24HSan Antonio Spurs112-110
28/12/24AHouston Rockets113-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AToronto Raptors101-104
11/01/25AIndiana Pacers96-108
10/01/25ADetroit Pistons107-104
08/01/25HMiami Heat98-114
06/01/25HSacramento Kings99-129
05/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies121-113
03/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers139-105
31/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers95-113
29/12/24HPhoenix Suns109-105
28/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers92-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeLWLWL56%
AwayLLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %54%56%52%
Points / game109.6110.2109.1
Allowed / game107.6107.9107.4
Point differential+2.0+2.3+1.7
Avg total217.3218.1216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%28%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)62% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game111.6111.5111.6
Allowed / game111.2111.3111.0
Point differential+0.4+0.2+0.6
Avg total222.7222.8222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3934587%122.3111.4+10.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3731684%116.3103.5+12.7
3 Houston Rockets37261170%114.7107.7+7.0
4 Boston Celtics40281270%117.5108.7+8.8
5 New York Knicks41271466%117.9111.0+6.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies41261563%123.0115.2+7.8
7 Denver Nuggets40241660%120.0116.0+4.0
8 Orlando Magic41231856%104.4103.4+1.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers38211755%108.9108.1+0.8
10 Dallas Mavericks40221855%115.9112.0+3.9
11 Milwaukee Bucks37201754%113.4111.4+2.0
12 Los Angeles Lakers37201754%111.6114.3-2.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves39211854%109.6107.6+2.0
14 Indiana Pacers41221954%115.3115.2+0.0
15 Miami Heat38201853%110.8109.3+1.5
16 Atlanta Hawks38201853%117.8119.9-2.1
17 Detroit Pistons40211952%112.4113.3-0.9
18 Sacramento Kings40202050%116.1113.9+2.2
19 Golden State Warriors38191950%111.6111.2+0.4
20 San Antonio Spurs39192049%111.7112.0-0.2
21 Phoenix Suns39192049%112.5113.9-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls41182344%117.5120.5-3.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers39152438%107.6111.2-3.6
24 Brooklyn Nets40142635%107.9113.7-5.8
25 Portland Trail Blazers39132633%108.4116.8-8.5
26 Utah Jazz39102926%110.9117.6-6.7
27 Toronto Raptors41103124%111.0118.2-7.3
28 Charlotte Hornets3792824%106.5112.4-5.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans42103224%108.3117.0-8.8
30 Washington Wizards3863216%108.3122.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves12303637115
Golden State Warriors34213229116
← all games of the day
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