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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 114-110
18-27 28-27 32-27 36-29
Position#4
Record48-22
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Position#15
Record36-33
FormLWLWL
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game116.9
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
88-89
88
89
-1
88avg 108
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
119-114
119
114
+5
116avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-111
113
111
+2
101avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
104-113 OT
104
113
-9
92avg 108
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
109-120
109
120
-11
95avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
118-100
118
100
+18
112avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-100
119
100
+19
114avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 108
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
100avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
100avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
16-31
22-18
20-22
28-26
27-22
33-34
31-32
33-23
27-26
23-34
30-28
23-25
27-29
30-25
17-18
28-32
40-37
24-22
17-29
21-34
34-29
29-15
34-22
19-19
29-29
34-24
37-28
25-37
28-22
30-24
31-21
28-35
27-35
29-17
28-28
25-20
21-29
26-17
32-25
215.7Avg total
110.0Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)113.1106.5219.6+6.769%
Season at home (33)111.5103.0214.5+8.573%
Season away (37)114.6109.6224.2+5.165%
Last 10 (10)110.0105.7215.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)113.4102.0215.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)110.8102.7213.5+8.155%
vs Weaker (19)114.0106.4220.4+7.668%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-140
88
140
-52
76avg 113
A03/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
125-90
125
90
+35
131avg 113
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
122-125
122
125
-3
115avg 113
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
113-126
113
126
-13
102avg 113
H10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
112-102
112
102
+10
106avg 113
A12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
99-109
99
109
-10
82avg 113
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
128-121
128
121
+7
128avg 113
A17/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
112-119
112
119
-7
105avg 113
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
137-116
137
116
+21
143avg 113
H21/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-123
111
123
-12
101avg 113
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-44
16-38
24-33
26-25
40-32
38-26
15-23
32-9
31-25
28-38
30-36
33-26
27-32
16-30
36-34
34-30
29-37
29-23
32-18
22-24
27-27
15-21
28-28
29-33
30-36
37-30
35-27
26-28
22-30
34-32
32-37
24-20
33-32
35-26
40-32
29-26
38-38
29-28
21-36
23-21
231.8Avg total
114.7Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)118.5116.9235.3+1.652%
Season at home (37)117.9117.5235.5+0.449%
Season away (32)119.1116.1235.2+3.056%
Last 10 (10)114.7117.1231.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)117.4117.6235.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.0140.0228.0-52.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)120.6116.0236.6+4.650%
vs Weaker (13)121.2112.1233.3+9.277%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
NBA
109.4Avg total
53.6Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.753.1108.8+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.352.7106.0+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)58.053.5111.5+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)53.655.8109.4-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)51.457.8109.2-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)54.554.0108.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker (19)56.452.6108.9+3.847%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
38-82
38
82
-44
A03/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A17/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H21/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H23/03
NBA
120.1Avg total
57.6Scored
62.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.458.4117.8+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.159.1120.1+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)57.757.8115.5-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)57.662.5120.1-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)60.060.0120.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.082.0120.0-44.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.958.2119.2+2.762%-
vs Weaker (13)59.256.8116.0+2.362%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.029.2
52.1%
54.4%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.4
36.6%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.4
76.2%
78.2%14.4
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.032.0
55.2%
54.4%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.9
35.4%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.6%
78.2%12.0
They take 94.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLLWWL
Golden State Warriors
LWLWLWLLWL
#4
League position
#15
+4.4
Net rating
-2.4
113.4
Offensive rating
113.9
108.9
Defensive rating
116.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
10.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.17
36.6%
3-point %
35.4%
63.2%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 113.9Defence108.9 · 116.3Shooting53.2% · 54.4%3-point %36.6% · 35.4%Ball care10.5% · 12.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers104-91
20/03/24HDenver Nuggets112-115
19/03/24AUtah Jazz114-104
17/03/24AUtah Jazz119-100
13/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers118-100
11/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers109-120
09/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers104-113 OT
08/03/24AIndiana Pacers113-111
05/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers119-114
03/03/24HLos Angeles Clippers88-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HIndiana Pacers111-123
21/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies137-116
19/03/24HNew York Knicks112-119
17/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers128-121
14/03/24ADallas Mavericks99-109
12/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs112-102
10/03/24HSan Antonio Spurs113-126
08/03/24HChicago Bulls122-125
07/03/24HMilwaukee Bucks125-90
03/03/24ABoston Celtics88-140

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLLWLW73%
AwayLLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703337
Win %69%73%65%
Points / game113.1111.5114.6
Allowed / game106.5103.0109.6
Point differential+6.7+8.5+5.1
Avg total219.6214.5224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)42% (12)71% (7)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeLLLWL49%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693732
Win %52%49%56%
Points / game118.5117.9119.1
Allowed / game116.9117.5116.1
Point differential+1.6+0.4+3.0
Avg total235.3235.5235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)46% (13)38% (8)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics70571381%121.3109.2+12.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder69492071%120.7112.9+7.9
3 Denver Nuggets71502170%114.6110.1+4.5
4 Minnesota Timberwolves70482269%113.1106.5+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks68442465%120.2117.0+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers70442663%116.5112.7+3.8
7 New Orleans Pelicans69432662%116.0110.0+6.0
8 New York Knicks69422761%111.6107.2+4.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers71432861%112.6109.5+3.1
10 Phoenix Suns70422860%117.5114.4+3.1
11 Sacramento Kings69412859%117.8116.2+1.6
12 Orlando Magic71422959%110.8108.8+2.1
13 Dallas Mavericks70412959%118.6117.0+1.6
14 Indiana Pacers69383155%122.8120.7+2.1
15 Philadelphia 76ers71393255%114.5112.1+2.3
16 Miami Heat71393255%109.6108.9+0.7
17 Los Angeles Lakers68363253%117.2117.9-0.7
18 Golden State Warriors69363352%118.5116.9+1.6
19 Houston Rockets70353550%114.3112.7+1.6
20 Chicago Bulls71343748%112.1113.9-1.8
21 Atlanta Hawks70313944%119.2120.7-1.6
22 Utah Jazz71294241%116.8120.9-4.1
23 Brooklyn Nets71264537%111.1113.8-2.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies71244734%105.9112.6-6.6
25 Toronto Raptors71234832%113.1118.1-5.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers71195227%107.8115.9-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets70175324%106.4116.9-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs71155621%112.0119.5-7.6
29 Washington Wizards71135818%113.7123.7-9.9
30 Detroit Pistons71125917%111.3120.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves18283236114
Golden State Warriors27272729110
← all games of the day
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