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Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#15
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Washington Wizards
04 Mar 2027
GSW v WAS
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
GSW131
WAS126
18 Jan 2025
GSW122
WAS114
22 Dec 2023
GSW129
WAS118
13 Feb 2023
GSW135
WAS126
17 Jul 2022
GSW77
WAS87
14 Mar 2022
GSW126
WAS112
09 Apr 2021
GSW107
WAS110
01 Mar 2020
GSW110
WAS124
24 Oct 2018
GSW144
WAS122
27 Oct 2017
GSW120
WAS117
02 Apr 2017
GSW139
WAS115
29 Mar 2016
GSW102
WAS94
23 Mar 2015
GSW107
WAS76
28 Jan 2014
GSW85
WAS88
23 Mar 2013
GSW101
WAS92
27 Mar 2011
GSW114
WAS104
18 Dec 2009
GSW109
WAS118
19 Jan 2009
GSW119
WAS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Golden State Warriors
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 113.3
119.0▲ 5.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.6
113.0▼ 2.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
62%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 27.3
26.0▼ 1.3
🔥 Form · Washington Wizards
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 113.8
107.0▼ 6.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 124.1
108.4▼ 15.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
57%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 24.8
24.5▼ 0.3
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
118-123
118
123
-5
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
105-127
105
127
-22
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
108-111
108
111
-3
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
134-114
134
114
+20
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
19-21
36-29
32-37
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
228.6Avg total
115.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.2110.8226.1+4.458%
Season at home (5)116.6105.6222.2+11.080%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)115.8112.8228.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.0232.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.3116.6221.9-11.30%
vs Similar (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.8116.4236.2+3.470%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#28
W
111-109
111
109
+2
A08/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
H10/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
122-131
122
131
-9
H12/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
106-107
106
107
-1
A17/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
128-116
128
116
+12
H21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
124-120
124
120
+4
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
27-34
24-21
30-25
40-20
16-30
24-28
18-20
32-36
40-37
22-30
28-28
17-23
34-33
19-25
36-26
25-23
26-33
39-37
38-23
21-34
31-26
25-21
25-31
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
222.9Avg total
111.6Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.6111.3222.9+0.350%
Season at home (5)112.2109.2221.4+3.060%
Season away (5)111.0113.4224.4-2.440%
Last 10 (10)111.6111.3222.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)107.0108.4215.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)113.5130.1243.5-16.65%
vs Similar (5)117.4118.0235.4-0.620%
vs Weaker (5)112.2106.8219.0+5.480%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Golden State WarriorsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.7Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.657.2112.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.756.9115.6+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)53.657.3110.9-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.4114.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.8112.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.156.6108.7-4.429%-
vs Similar (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)58.458.8117.2-0.450%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A08/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H10/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H12/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
113.9Avg total
56.0Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.562.6118.1-7.013%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.661.8117.5-6.215%-
Last 30 away (17)55.563.1118.6-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)56.057.9113.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.2110.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.465.2119.6-10.85%-
vs Similar (5)63.658.4122.0+5.240%-
vs Weaker (5)52.056.2108.2-4.220%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.2%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.6
54.3%
54.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.9
34.9%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws28.222.1
78.4%
76.2%22.1
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWWWL
Washington Wizards
WLLWLWLLWW
#10
League position
#15
+2.9
Net rating
-3.5
102.7
Offensive rating
101.2
99.8
Defensive rating
104.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
7.4%
Off. rebound %
17.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.1%
3-point %
34.9%
68.4%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 101.2Defence99.8 · 104.8Shooting54.3% · 53.5%3-point %38.1% · 34.9%Ball care16.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds7.4% · 17.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106
08/10/26APortland Trail Blazers118-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
23/10/26HToronto Raptors102-112
21/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks128-116
17/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans106-107
12/10/26HBrooklyn Nets122-131
10/10/26HDetroit Pistons114-108 OT
08/10/26ANew York Knicks111-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game115.2116.6114.3
Allowed / game110.8105.6114.6
Point differential+4.4+11.0-0.3
Avg total226.1222.2228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game111.6112.2111.0
Allowed / game111.3109.2113.4
Point differential+0.3+3.0-2.4
Avg total222.9221.4224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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