PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#21
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game113.4
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Washington Wizards
04 Mar 2027
GSW v WAS
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
GSW131
WAS126
18 Jan 2025
GSW122
WAS114
22 Dec 2023
GSW129
WAS118
13 Feb 2023
GSW135
WAS126
14 Mar 2022
GSW126
WAS112
09 Apr 2021
GSW107
WAS110
01 Mar 2020
GSW110
WAS124
24 Oct 2018
GSW144
WAS122
27 Oct 2017
GSW120
WAS117
02 Apr 2017
GSW139
WAS115
29 Mar 2016
GSW102
WAS94
23 Mar 2015
GSW107
WAS76
28 Jan 2014
GSW85
WAS88
23 Mar 2013
GSW101
WAS92
27 Mar 2011
GSW114
WAS104
18 Dec 2009
GSW109
WAS118
19 Jan 2009
GSW119
WAS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
69avg 101
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 101
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 101
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 101
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
116-113
116
113
+3
92avg 101
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
120-100
120
100
+20
126avg 101
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
128avg 101
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-87
138
87
+51
144avg 101
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
231.5Avg total
121.9Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)120.4111.2231.5+9.273%
Season at home (7)120.6105.3225.9+15.386%
Season away (4)120.0121.5241.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)121.9109.6231.5+12.380%
Last 5 (5)124.8106.2231.0+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.8117.5222.3-12.70%
vs Similar (11)110.6116.7227.4-6.127%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)123.8114.2238.1+9.685%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
102-112
102
112
-10
91avg 97
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 97
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 97
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 97
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 97
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 97
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
31-26
25-21
25-31
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
219.2Avg total
106.1Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.1113.4221.5-5.336%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (7)108.4117.1225.6-8.729%
Last 10 (10)106.1113.1219.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)105.2117.8223.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)111.8129.2241.0-17.40%
vs Similar (3)117.0108.3225.3+8.767%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
Golden State WarriorsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H10/11
NBA
110.8Avg total
58.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.456.4111.8-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.955.7111.7+0.233%-
Last 30 away (15)54.857.1111.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)58.352.5110.8+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.250.2109.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.556.0107.5-4.533%-
vs Similar (11)52.457.2109.5-4.89%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.756.0115.7+3.754%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
54.7Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.662.9117.5-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)54.663.2117.8-8.617%-
Last 10 (10)54.759.9114.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)54.863.6118.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)54.365.4119.8-11.14%-
vs Similar (3)62.054.3116.3+7.767%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.425.1
56.5%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
35.0%48.0
🏀 Free throws26.121.6
82.8%
76.8%21.6
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.7
55.9%
54.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.9
34.2%
35.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.7
79.6%
76.8%18.7
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWWLL
Washington Wizards
LLLLWWLLWL
#6
League position
#21
+6.3
Net rating
-5.8
115.9
Offensive rating
108.3
109.6
Defensive rating
114.2
58.9%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.0%
3-point %
34.2%
70.1%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 108.3Defence109.6 · 114.2Shooting58.9% · 54.2%3-point %41.0% · 34.2%Ball care15.7% · 13.6%Off. rebounds19.5% · 22.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans138-87
08/11/26HOrlando Magic126-119 OT
06/11/26HMiami Heat120-100
03/11/26HPhoenix Suns116-113
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
23/10/26HToronto Raptors102-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game120.4120.6120.0
Allowed / game111.2105.3121.5
Point differential+9.2+15.3-1.5
Avg total231.5225.9241.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%50%29%
Points / game108.1107.5108.4
Allowed / game113.4106.8117.1
Point differential-5.3+0.8-8.7
Avg total221.5214.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.