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Gran Canaria vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-71
18-26 20-11 13-19 28-15
Position#7
Record16-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#4
Record16-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.3
SpainACBRound 27· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Valencia
25 Jan 2026
GKA80
VAL90
04 Jun 2025
GKA94
VAL102
14 Feb 2025
GKA79
VAL65
27 Dec 2024
GKA97
VAL94
31 Mar 2024
GKA79
VAL71
15 Feb 2024
GKA81
VAL89
27 Dec 2022
GKA95
VAL89
08 May 2022
GKA89
VAL83
01 Feb 2022
GKA91
VAL90
19 May 2021
GKA92
VAL86
30 Mar 2019
GKA111
VAL92
30 May 2018
GKA97
VAL70
04 Mar 2018
GKA87
VAL78
23 Sep 2017
GKA63
VAL69
09 Oct 2016
GKA75
VAL84
10 Apr 2016
GKA68
VAL84
03 May 2015
GKA90
VAL76
06 Apr 2014
GKA81
VAL86
01 Dec 2012
GKA65
VAL79
08 Jan 2012
GKA63
VAL71
05 May 2011
GKA68
VAL66
09 May 2010
GKA78
VAL63
09 May 2009
GKA74
VAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
96avg 79
H31/01
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 79
A04/02
ACB
Buducnost
#13
L
77-90
77
90
-13
73avg 79
A07/02
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
L
58-82
58
82
-24
44avg 79
A10/02
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 79
H03/03
ACB
Besiktas
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
77avg 79
H06/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
111-85
111
85
+26
113avg 79
H09/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
71-78
71
78
-7
54avg 79
A16/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
92-93
92
93
-1
79avg 79
A24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-20
20-34
16-23
25-21
24-22
14-14
20-17
23-19
16-22
22-25
17-23
22-20
20-20
12-25
11-21
15-16
18-17
17-15
19-16
23-29
26-22
22-17
20-18
30-23
22-14
14-22
21-18
21-26
21-12
26-15
30-27
34-31
16-20
16-21
20-22
19-15
17-29
29-20
24-19
22-25
172.0Avg total
85.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.881.7166.4+3.162%
Season at home (13)90.278.7168.9+11.585%
Season away (13)79.384.6163.9-5.338%
Last 10 (10)85.886.2172.0-0.430%
Last 5 (5)90.083.2173.2+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.7167.3-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.884.1171.9+3.650%
vs Weaker (18)88.981.4170.3+7.561%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 72
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
111-93
111
93
+18
103avg 72
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 72
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 72
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-118
88
118
-30
86avg 72
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
71avg 72
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
70-68
70
68
+2
62avg 72
H20/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 72
A22/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 72
H24/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 72
A27/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
12-26
25-21
17-22
25-25
28-31
27-20
31-17
18-18
24-19
15-22
21-29
27-20
22-20
20-18
28-17
19-22
18-35
24-28
27-33
20-23
29-25
16-21
23-23
28-15
17-22
12-19
13-12
15-25
19-13
20-19
24-22
23-16
26-15
7-27
27-24
20-21
18-27
20-23
22-24
172.4Avg total
84.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.380.3162.6+2.062%
Season at home (13)81.981.2163.2+0.762%
Season away (13)82.679.4162.0+3.262%
Last 10 (10)84.787.7172.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)79.883.2163.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.989.7166.6-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.779.3158.0-0.555%
vs Weaker (8)87.981.9169.8+6.062%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Gran CanariaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H31/01
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/02
ACB
Buducnost
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/02
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/02
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/03
ACB
Besiktas
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H06/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H09/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A16/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A24/03
ACB
81.5Avg total
40.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.839.784.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.483.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.681.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.480.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.043.385.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.442.883.1-2.425%-
vs Weaker (18)44.640.485.1+4.272%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H20/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H24/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
42.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.180.5-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.141.882.8-0.731%-
Last 30 away (17)38.140.678.7-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.686.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.543.280.7-5.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.538.978.5+0.645%-
vs Weaker (8)42.442.484.8+0.038%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.6
54.9%
53.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.0
37.3%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
75.6%15.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.0
38.6%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
75.6%14.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LLWLWLLLWL
Valencia
LWLWLLWLWL
#7
League position
#4
+3.6
Net rating
-4.4
114.7
Offensive rating
115.0
111.2
Defensive rating
119.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.3%
3-point %
38.6%
59.2%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 115.0Defence111.2 · 119.4Shooting55.4% · 56.4%3-point %37.3% · 38.6%Ball care15.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 27.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Gran Canaria wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ATenerife92-93
16/03/24AManresa71-78
09/03/24HBasket Zaragoza111-85
06/03/24HBesiktas78-80
03/03/24HBaskonia98-80
15/02/24HValencia81-89 OT
10/02/24APalencia58-82
07/02/24ABuducnost77-90
04/02/24AObradoiro CAB81-72
31/01/24HCluj-Napoca111-113 OT
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-95
24/03/24HMurcia83-82
22/03/24AMonaco78-79
20/03/24HBayern70-68
17/03/24ABasquet Girona88-92
14/03/24AFenerbahce88-118
10/03/24AObradoiro CAB97-75
07/03/24HBarcelona78-88
03/03/24HPalencia111-93
29/02/24AVirtus Bologna74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%85%38%
Points / game84.890.279.3
Allowed / game81.778.784.6
Point differential+3.1+11.5-5.3
Avg total166.4168.9163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%54%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game82.381.982.6
Allowed / game80.381.279.4
Point differential+2.0+0.7+3.2
Avg total162.6163.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2723485%88.078.2+9.8
2 Unicaja2722581%88.376.6+11.6
3 Barcelona2617965%87.880.3+7.5
4 Tenerife27171063%84.680.7+3.9
5 Murcia26161062%83.579.7+3.8
6 Gran Canaria26161062%84.881.7+3.1
7 Valencia26161062%82.380.3+2.0
8 Manresa27161159%84.083.4+0.6
9 Baskonia27151256%87.187.0+0.1
10 Joventut Badalona26141254%81.185.4-4.3
11 Bilbao27121544%79.481.1-1.7
12 Basket Zaragoza27101737%82.486.2-3.7
13 Basquet Girona27101737%81.086.5-5.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra2691735%82.084.0-2.0
15 Obradoiro CAB2671927%80.384.7-4.3
16 Granada2671927%81.287.1-6.0
17 Breogan2772026%73.979.9-6.1
18 Palencia2752219%78.687.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria1820132879
Valencia2611191571
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