PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-84
17-9 23-21 16-29 29-25
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#1
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.1
SpainACBRound 12· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 81
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-96
107
96
+11
108avg 81
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 81
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 81
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 81
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
54avg 81
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 81
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 81
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
108-80
108
80
+28
107avg 81
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
97avg 81
H20/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
19-21
29-21
32-31
29-26
23-22
32-19
23-29
25-25
26-15
36-23
29-28
33-26
26-12
20-24
17-21
21-22
23-23
26-15
28-18
27-18
25-24
22-11
12-25
17-25
25-13
30-24
24-19
31-25
24-23
19-20
22-20
35-26
38-22
16-18
19-14
26-24
31-21
15-34
25-18
189.2Avg total
100.8Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.683.6179.3+12.082%
Season at home (5)95.677.8173.4+17.8100%
Season away (6)95.788.5184.2+7.267%
Last 10 (10)100.888.4189.2+12.480%
Last 5 (5)98.486.8185.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.689.8172.4-7.220%
vs Weaker (24)96.182.8178.9+13.388%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
98-84
98
84
+14
102avg 84
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
95avg 84
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 84
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 84
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 84
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 84
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 84
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 84
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 84
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 84
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
32-33
24-13
19-16
22-17
12-21
20-14
20-22
23-21
22-19
12-19
19-21
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
169.9Avg total
88.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.376.1164.4+12.273%
Season at home (7)92.374.9167.1+17.4100%
Season away (4)81.278.2159.5+3.025%
Last 10 (10)88.881.1169.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)93.879.0172.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.782.8166.5+0.946%
vs Weaker (15)88.277.7165.9+10.567%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/12
Eurocup
96.5Avg total
52.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.941.888.8+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.240.489.6+8.880%-
Last 30 away (15)44.743.387.9+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)52.344.296.5+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)55.844.2100.0+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
vs Weaker (24)48.241.089.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
43.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.283.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.939.383.2+4.767%-
Last 30 away (12)41.241.582.8-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.185.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.085.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.941.882.8-0.938%-
vs Weaker (15)44.538.082.5+6.580%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 100.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.5
58.7%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.015.2
40.0%
35.6%45.6
🏀 Free throws18.915.4
81.5%
76.4%15.4
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.0
56.9%
54.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.0
39.9%
35.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.117.0
76.9%
76.4%17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWWWWWWL
Real Madrid
WWWLWLLLWW
#2
League position
#1
+16.0
Net rating
+10.1
126.7
Offensive rating
115.7
110.7
Defensive rating
105.6
59.4%
Effective FG%
58.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.0%
3-point %
39.9%
66.0%
Assist %
68.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence126.7 · 115.7Defence110.7 · 105.6Shooting59.4% · 58.2%3-point %40.0% · 39.9%Ball care16.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds36.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
9
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HLietkabelis106-107 OT
18/12/24HCluj-Napoca108-80
15/12/24AMurcia96-88
13/12/24HTenerife96-81
10/12/24AHamburg86-78
07/12/24HBasquet Girona98-78
04/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem96-83
01/12/24ABaskonia116-91
28/11/24AJL Bourg107-96
17/11/24ABarcelona99-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
01/12/24AJoventut Badalona76-80
28/11/24ABarcelona97-90 OT
21/11/24HAlba Berlin98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game95.695.695.7
Allowed / game83.677.888.5
Point differential+12.0+17.8+7.2
Avg total179.3173.4184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%100%25%
Points / game88.392.381.2
Allowed / game76.174.978.2
Point differential+12.2+17.4+3.0
Avg total164.4167.1159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia119282%95.683.6+12.0
2 Unicaja129375%88.484.1+4.3
3 Real Madrid118373%88.376.1+12.2
4 Tenerife128467%85.882.1+3.8
5 Gran Canaria128467%82.279.4+2.8
6 Barcelona127558%90.486.1+4.3
7 Basket Zaragoza127558%91.889.6+2.2
8 Joventut Badalona127558%82.980.9+2.0
9 Manresa126650%85.081.5+3.5
10 Forca Lleida125742%84.185.8-1.8
11 Murcia125742%79.882.0-2.2
12 MoraBanc Andorra125742%87.590.1-2.6
13 Baskonia125742%86.089.1-3.1
14 Bilbao124833%80.883.2-2.3
15 Granada124833%77.180.6-3.5
16 Leyma Coruna124833%85.090.9-5.9
17 Breogan124833%72.884.3-11.6
18 Basquet Girona1221017%76.888.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1723162985
Real Madrid921292584
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.