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Greece vs Montenegro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-67
17-19 21-21 14-15 13-12
Position#39
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#51
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· SUNEL Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Greece v Montenegro
27 Feb 2026
GREE65
MONT67
03 Sep 2023
GREE69
MONT73
01 Sep 2019
GREE85
MONT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 76
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 76
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 76
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 76
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 76
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 76
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 76
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 76
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
24-17
13-19
19-13
20-19
161.3Avg total
85.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.566.0149.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.575.8161.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)82.878.2161.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar (12)83.075.0158.0+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.273.5158.7+11.792%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
no box
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
66avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 73
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 73
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
15-26
13-21
17-19
22-28
23-23
14-24
15-20
13-18
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
21-14
11-25
11-25
19-19
26-17
23-17
16-22
15-19
164.9Avg total
76.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.079.0150.0-8.050%
Season at home (1)62.083.0145.0-21.00%
Season away (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.988.0164.9-11.130%
Last 5 (5)75.482.6158.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.285.5157.7-13.427%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (10)82.772.8155.5+9.970%
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
GreeceMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
World Cup
79.8Avg total
43.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.937.374.3-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)42.737.179.7+5.673%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.679.8+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar (12)41.736.878.4+4.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.536.377.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A30/11
World Cup
80.8Avg total
38.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.777.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.479.9+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.338.075.3-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.580.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.443.478.7-8.027%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (10)42.434.176.5+8.380%-
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WWWLWWWLWW
Montenegro
WLLWLLLLLW
#39
League position
#51
+11.6
Net rating
-6.0
111.6
Offensive rating
106.5
100.0
Defensive rating
112.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.2%
3-point %
33.9%
65.6%
Assist %
58.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Greece   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Greece wins
1
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
03/09/23Greece v Montenegro69-73
01/09/19Greece v Montenegro85-60
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25APortugal76-68
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ARomania80-75
27/11/25HPortugal62-83
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81
30/08/25HFinland65-85
29/08/25ALithuania67-94
27/08/25HGermany76-106
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.591.076.0
Allowed / game66.064.068.0
Point differential+17.5+27.0+8.0
Avg total149.5155.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.062.080.0
Allowed / game79.083.075.0
Point differential-8.0-21.0+5.0
Avg total150.0145.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
3 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
7 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
8 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
9 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
10 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
11 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
12 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
13 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
14 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
15 Czech Republic220100%97.086.0+11.0
16 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
17 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
18 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
19 Poland220100%87.580.5+7.0
20 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
21 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
22 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
23 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
24 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
25 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
29 Hungary64267%82.874.8+8.0
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Netherlands64267%80.375.0+5.3
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Austria105550%86.078.6+7.4
40 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
41 Latvia21150%82.077.0+5.0
42 Slovenia21150%93.588.5+5.0
43 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
44 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
45 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
46 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
47 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
48 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
49 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
50 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
51 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
52 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
64 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
65 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
66 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
67 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
68 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
69 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
70 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
71 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
72 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
73 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
74 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
75 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
76 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
77 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
78 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
79 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
80 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
81 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
82 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
83 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
84 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
85 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
86 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
87 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece1721141365
Montenegro1921151267
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