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Hamburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-78 (OT)
25-13 7-24 24-13 13-19 12-9
Position#15
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.0
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Bayern
Germany
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game76.0
GermanyBBLRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayern
11 Apr 2027
HAM v BAY
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
HAM96
BAY81
20 Apr 2025
HAM74
BAY70
24 Mar 2024
HAM80
BAY81
22 Oct 2022
HAM81
BAY78
24 Apr 2022
HAM87
BAY83
27 Mar 2021
HAM91
BAY86
26 Apr 2020
HAM v BAY
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
67-77
67
77
-10
58avg 78
A08/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
A13/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
77avg 78
A15/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 78
H20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
75avg 78
A28/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 78
H01/10
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
95-79
95
79
+16
90avg 78
A08/10
BBL
Buducnost
#11
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 78
A12/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H15/10
German Cup
Turk Telekom
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 78
H18/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-19
9-27
20-12
23-17
19-24
24-26
25-24
26-15
20-22
16-29
19-23
22-27
32-21
21-16
13-31
25-26
20-19
18-20
15-16
23-16
29-16
20-19
19-23
27-15
25-24
20-19
23-21
24-23
23-14
16-18
10-11
21-22
23-21
25-18
17-31
20-21
18-23
28-23
17-21
168.1Avg total
84.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.078.0166.0+10.067%
Season at home (1)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)86.580.0166.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)84.084.1168.1-0.130%
Last 5 (5)85.679.8165.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.685.9161.4-10.314%
vs Similar (12)85.286.2171.5-1.042%
vs Weaker (10)91.675.1166.7+16.580%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
W
90-60
90
60
+30
86avg 73
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 73
H19/06
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 73
H01/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 73
A03/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
62-74
62
74
-12
58avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
87avg 73
H09/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 73
A13/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
A16/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 73
H18/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 73
H20/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
29-18
20-13
18-14
17-26
19-26
18-24
27-20
24-18
15-21
28-15
20-26
17-15
20-11
31-25
15-23
19-21
15-19
12-19
16-15
28-22
19-27
20-8
21-17
16-24
16-10
19-22
12-10
21-18
23-15
21-16
20-19
18-18
16-19
19-28
20-19
22-16
21-21
23-26
15-20
155.2Avg total
79.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.076.0162.0+10.0100%
Season at home (2)87.577.0164.5+10.5100%
Season away (1)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.375.9155.2+3.450%
Last 5 (5)78.075.0153.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.476.2148.6-3.825%
vs Similar (9)80.878.7159.4+2.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.567.9153.4+17.6100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
HamburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A13/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A28/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H01/10
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A08/10
BBL
Buducnost
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A12/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/10
German Cup
Turk Telekom
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H18/10
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
45.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.485.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.539.384.8+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)44.841.386.1+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.486.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.085.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.047.987.9-7.914%-
vs Similar (12)45.739.385.0+6.383%-
vs Weaker (10)48.136.184.2+12.080%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H19/06
BBL
Ulm
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A13/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
39.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.377.0+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.677.4+0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.635.976.4+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.077.8+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.038.775.7-1.742%-
vs Similar (9)40.340.881.1-0.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.232.074.2+10.288%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
54.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.5
37.5%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.411.1
63.8%
75.8%11.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.3
45.8%
54.4%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.4
39.0%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.414.4
82.8%
75.8%14.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWWWLLLLL
Bayern
LLWLWLWWLW
#15
League position
#3
+3.7
Net rating
+2.0
108.8
Offensive rating
109.8
105.1
Defensive rating
107.8
55.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
39.0%
66.8%
Assist %
53.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 109.8Defence105.1 · 107.8Shooting55.6% · 51.4%3-point %37.5% · 39.0%Ball care20.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/22HTurk Telekom83-88
15/10/22HLudwigsburg86-92
12/10/22ABuducnost73-66
08/10/22ABayreuth95-79
01/10/22HSyntainics MBC91-74
28/09/22AAlba Berlin78-81
20/05/22HBonn88-95
15/05/22ABonn81-89
13/05/22ABonn98-100 OT
08/05/22ABamberg67-77
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/22HOlimpia Milano81-83
18/10/22HBarcelona73-84
16/10/22ABamberg85-68
13/10/22AVirtus Bologna63-66
09/10/22HChemnitz88-74
06/10/22HFenerbahce62-74
03/10/22AFrankfurt83-74
01/10/22HUlm87-80
19/06/22HAlba Berlin81-96
17/06/22AAlba Berlin90-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game88.091.086.5
Allowed / game78.074.080.0
Point differential+10.0+17.0+6.5
Avg total166.0165.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.087.583.0
Allowed / game76.077.074.0
Point differential+10.0+10.5+9.0
Avg total162.0164.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn330100%86.373.0+13.3
2 Bayern330100%86.076.0+10.0
3 Rostock330100%99.090.0+9.0
4 Alba Berlin330100%86.779.7+7.0
5 Gottingen220100%87.080.5+6.5
6 Oldenburg43175%83.279.0+4.2
7 Hamburg32167%88.078.0+10.0
8 Ludwigsburg32167%91.784.7+7.0
9 Heidelberg21150%89.595.0-5.5
10 Crailsheim Merlins31233%81.086.0-5.0
11 Syntainics MBC31233%89.394.3-5.0
12 Bayreuth31233%78.084.3-6.3
13 Wurzburg31233%91.098.3-7.3
14 Frankfurt41325%81.284.0-2.8
15 Bamberg3030%79.386.0-6.7
16 Ulm4040%79.286.5-7.2
17 Basketball Braunschweig4040%78.889.5-10.8
18 Chemnitz1010%74.088.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hamburg25724131281
Bayern13241319978
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