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Hamburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 74-70
17-17 13-15 24-10 20-28
Position#13
Record14-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.7
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#1
Record20-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game75.3
GermanyBBLRound 29· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayern
11 Apr 2027
HAM v BAY
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
HAM96
BAY81
20 Apr 2025
HAM74
BAY70
24 Mar 2024
HAM80
BAY81
22 Oct 2022
HAM81
BAY78
24 Apr 2022
HAM87
BAY83
27 Mar 2021
HAM91
BAY86
26 Apr 2020
HAM v BAY
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 73
H05/02
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
69avg 73
A09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
68avg 73
A01/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
78-77
78
77
+1
63avg 73
H08/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
67avg 73
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 73
H22/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
96-93
96
93
+3
88avg 73
A29/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 73
H05/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
92-75
92
75
+17
92avg 73
A09/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-18
23-16
16-10
18-31
16-23
22-17
21-21
17-25
24-16
23-24
15-26
9-17
17-12
23-19
20-21
19-13
15-28
22-12
22-24
17-25
31-23
24-17
9-34
19-12
29-14
21-27
17-20
32-27
15-18
24-31
25-17
18-22
23-22
21-18
26-19
20-18
27-23
23-12
22-22
166.2Avg total
84.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.581.7163.2-0.254%
Season at home (12)83.779.9163.6+3.875%
Season away (14)79.683.2162.8-3.636%
Last 10 (10)84.182.1166.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)88.684.2172.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.987.4165.3-9.518%
vs Similar (15)79.779.6159.3+0.167%
vs Weaker (4)89.578.2167.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
90avg 79
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
85avg 79
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 79
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 79
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 79
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
92avg 79
A08/04
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 79
H10/04
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
94-83
94
83
+11
85avg 79
A13/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
93avg 79
H15/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
71-93
71
93
-22
59avg 79
A18/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
26-27
20-22
26-24
21-23
21-21
23-19
24-11
28-19
23-10
14-19
16-27
22-17
22-31
30-13
16-32
18-19
31-18
22-16
23-19
16-28
35-29
24-28
19-24
13-28
18-18
21-22
25-21
16-20
38-22
21-21
19-20
21-23
18-23
32-15
13-23
17-33
16-19
22-21
16-20
177.1Avg total
88.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.175.3158.4+7.774%
Season at home (13)82.972.0154.9+10.992%
Season away (14)83.278.4161.6+4.857%
Last 10 (10)88.988.2177.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)86.693.4180.0-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.093.3181.3-5.333%
vs Similar (16)88.487.1175.5+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.374.2158.5+10.182%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
HamburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A01/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H08/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A29/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H05/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/04
BBL
81.2Avg total
40.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.981.5-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.142.183.3-1.029%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.879.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.581.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.887.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.746.486.1-6.618%-
vs Similar (15)38.339.978.1-1.627%-
vs Weaker (4)44.037.581.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A08/04
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H10/04
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A13/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A18/04
Euroleague
90.6Avg total
45.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.384.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.238.980.1+2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)44.944.589.4+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.690.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.690.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.345.786.0-5.333%-
vs Similar (16)41.542.984.4-1.431%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.437.883.2+7.573%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.2
53.7%
52.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.014.2
64.5%
73.5%14.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.4
58.4%
52.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.312.0
39.6%
33.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.1
80.3%
73.5%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWWWLWWLLW
Bayern
LWWLLWLWWW
#13
League position
#1
+2.2
Net rating
+0.7
108.2
Offensive rating
118.0
106.0
Defensive rating
117.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
39.6%
54.9%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 118.0Defence106.0 · 117.3Shooting53.4% · 58.9%3-point %35.3% · 39.6%Ball care18.9% · 19.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hamburg wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Bayern v Hamburg81-80
24/03/24Hamburg v Bayern80-81 OT
08/10/23Bayern v Hamburg90-79
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25AGottingen92-75
05/04/25HHeidelberg88-81
29/03/25ABonn96-93
22/03/25HVechta86-73
15/03/25AOldenburg81-99
08/03/25HRostock78-77
01/03/25AFrankfurt84-78 OT
12/02/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-91
09/02/25AAlba Berlin77-92
05/02/25HCedevita Olimpija80-62
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25AReal Madrid71-93
15/04/25HCrvena zvezda97-93 OT
13/04/25AOldenburg94-83
10/04/25HFenerbahce77-89
08/04/25AUlm94-109
06/04/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-72
03/04/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
29/03/25AWurzburg81-75
27/03/25HPartizan89-74
25/03/25ABarcelona102-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %54%75%36%
Points / game81.583.779.6
Allowed / game81.779.983.2
Point differential-0.2+3.8-3.6
Avg total163.2163.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %74%92%57%
Points / game83.182.983.2
Allowed / game75.372.078.4
Point differential+7.7+10.9+4.8
Avg total158.4154.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2720774%83.175.3+7.7
2 Ulm2819968%87.680.5+7.1
3 Heidelberg26161062%80.580.0+0.5
4 Basketball Braunschweig27161159%84.682.7+1.8
5 Wurzburg27151256%83.880.7+3.1
6 Rostock27151256%81.280.3+0.9
7 Syntainics MBC27151256%85.084.9+0.1
8 Chemnitz27151256%80.382.5-2.3
9 Hamburg26141254%81.581.7-0.2
10 Alba Berlin27141352%86.481.6+4.8
11 Vechta28141450%80.582.2-1.7
12 Ludwigsburg27131448%74.773.4+1.3
13 Bonn27121544%84.183.9+0.3
14 Oldenburg27121544%88.388.3-0.1
15 Bamberg26101638%83.285.4-2.2
16 Frankfurt2781930%76.382.6-6.3
17 Gottingen271264%79.995.1-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1713242074
Bayern1715102870
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