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Hamburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-81
24-22 24-20 21-17 27-22
Position#14
Record9-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game89.0
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#1
Record20-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game72.6
GermanyBBLRound 22
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayern
11 Apr 2027
HAM v BAY
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
HAM96
BAY81
20 Apr 2025
HAM74
BAY70
24 Mar 2024
HAM80
BAY81
22 Oct 2022
HAM81
BAY78
24 Apr 2022
HAM87
BAY83
27 Mar 2021
HAM91
BAY86
26 Apr 2020
HAM v BAY
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 74
H08/02
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
94-116
94
116
-22
80avg 74
H11/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 74
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
96avg 74
A17/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
52avg 74
A08/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 74
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 74
H13/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
92-101
92
101
-9
83avg 74
A18/03
BBL
Trier
#12
W
90-72
90
72
+18
78avg 74
H22/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
95-106
95
106
-11
82avg 74
A26/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
35-28
26-26
17-8
33-31
21-30
23-32
17-23
14-24
26-19
22-28
23-21
23-14
22-17
32-22
16-34
12-24
21-23
18-12
16-16
22-34
22-16
24-13
14-21
25-21
26-18
20-21
15-23
25-23
23-32
26-21
18-25
26-19
22-22
24-15
18-16
20-33
21-28
28-23
26-22
178.0Avg total
87.9Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.989.0173.8-4.138%
Season at home (12)83.284.8168.0-1.550%
Season away (12)86.593.2179.7-6.725%
Last 10 (10)87.990.1178.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)89.089.2178.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)86.293.6179.7-7.428%
vs Similar (8)83.182.8165.9+0.450%
vs Weaker (4)93.595.2188.8-1.850%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 79
H17/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
94avg 79
H21/02
German Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 79
A26/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 79
A06/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 79
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 79
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
92avg 79
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 79
A24/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
93-83
93
83
+10
89avg 79
H26/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-20
25-21
17-10
22-20
14-14
17-20
30-29
12-19
21-34
14-25
23-15
23-17
27-26
22-27
13-10
23-20
27-17
26-27
22-16
17-14
22-12
19-27
22-28
15-14
25-34
27-18
26-31
21-18
16-24
14-23
23-22
18-18
20-16
19-29
14-15
19-18
20-24
25-21
29-20
170.4Avg total
84.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.772.6160.3+15.187%
Season at home (11)87.676.4164.0+11.391%
Season away (12)87.869.2157.0+18.783%
Last 10 (10)84.685.8170.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)82.285.2167.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.382.7164.0-1.457%
vs Similar (8)85.082.6167.6+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.574.9165.5+15.680%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
HamburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H08/02
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H11/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A17/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A18/03
BBL
Trier
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A26/03
BBL
93.5Avg total
45.6Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.487.7-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.544.690.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.146.285.3-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)45.647.993.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.295.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.245.988.2-3.733%-
vs Similar (8)41.942.984.8-1.062%-
vs Weaker (4)43.848.091.8-4.225%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
German Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A26/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H26/03
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
40.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.6+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.338.179.4+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)45.339.284.5+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.480.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.143.086.1+0.157%-
vs Similar (8)40.639.279.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.336.180.3+8.273%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.8
55.8%
53.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.119.1
76.1%
73.5%19.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.815.5
65.1%
53.8%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws11.58.5
73.9%
73.5%8.5
They take 51.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LWLWLLWLLW
Bayern
WLLLLWWLLW
#14
League position
#1
-2.4
Net rating
+2.1
96.6
Offensive rating
56.4
99.0
Defensive rating
54.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
58.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.8%
3-point %
34.7%
54.6%
Assist %
74.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 56.4Defence99.0 · 54.3Shooting52.5% · 58.1%3-point %31.8% · 34.7%Ball care15.3% · 17.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hamburg wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Bayern v Hamburg96-79
20/04/25Hamburg v Bayern74-70
29/09/24Bayern v Hamburg81-80
24/03/24Hamburg v Bayern80-81 OT
08/10/23Bayern v Hamburg90-79
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26AJena95-106
22/03/26HTrier90-72
18/03/26ATrier92-101
13/03/26HHeidelberg86-83
10/03/26HJena82-84
08/03/26ALudwigsburg67-75
17/02/26AAlba Berlin93-87
14/02/26ABonn85-92
11/02/26HManresa94-116
08/02/26HBasketball Braunschweig95-85
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HLyon-Villeurbanne93-83
24/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas71-78
19/03/26HDubai74-87
15/03/26ABamberg93-97
12/03/26HAnadolu Efes80-81
10/03/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-80
06/03/26ACrvena zvezda85-80
26/02/26AReal Madrid70-93
21/02/26HBamberg97-103 OT
17/02/26HFrankfurt85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game84.983.286.5
Allowed / game89.084.893.2
Point differential-4.1-1.5-6.7
Avg total173.8168.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%91%83%
Points / game87.787.687.8
Allowed / game72.676.469.2
Point differential+15.1+11.3+18.7
Avg total160.3164.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%73%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2320387%87.772.6+15.1
2 Alba Berlin2518772%85.378.8+6.5
3 Bamberg2516964%89.483.8+5.6
4 Ulm2415962%83.277.3+5.9
5 Wurzburg25151060%81.680.0+1.7
6 Bonn27161159%82.379.5+2.8
7 Ludwigsburg25141156%84.483.6+0.9
8 Trier25141156%90.992.0-1.1
9 Rostock23121152%84.283.3+0.9
10 Chemnitz25121348%85.286.5-1.3
11 Vechta26111542%87.087.8-0.8
12 Oldenburg26111542%83.684.6-1.0
13 Frankfurt25101540%82.885.8-3.0
14 Jena25101540%82.990.0-7.2
15 Syntainics MBC26101638%84.386.9-2.6
16 Hamburg2491538%84.989.0-4.1
17 Heidelberg2561924%77.786.0-8.2
18 Basketball Braunschweig2451921%80.089.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2424212796
Bayern2220172281
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