PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hamburg vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 94-98
24-25 20-23 24-21 26-29
Position#20
Record0-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#14
Record5-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game97.3
EuropeEurocupRound 13· Edel-optics.de Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 70
H22/11
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
72-99
72
99
-27
62avg 70
A05/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
8avg 70
A07/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
62avg 70
A09/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
99-80
99
80
+19
95avg 70
H14/12
BBL
Aris
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 70
H17/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#18
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
101avg 70
A21/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
69-94
69
94
-25
57avg 70
H27/12
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
68-105
68
105
-37
55avg 70
A30/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 70
A02/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
19-20
16-24
23-20
20-19
19-31
19-28
14-21
19-20
15-11
22-29
25-21
21-27
19-21
17-16
19-22
18-17
31-21
23-22
27-20
27-23
12-24
26-17
24-28
19-20
20-22
28-21
26-30
17-20
17-20
18-26
17-28
23-32
15-31
14-22
16-20
17-23
18-24
27-17
26-27
179.1Avg total
85.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.096.1173.1-19.10%
Season at home (4)83.898.2182.0-14.50%
Season away (8)73.695.0168.6-21.40%
Last 10 (10)85.194.0179.1-8.920%
Last 5 (5)85.098.0183.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.393.8172.2-15.55%
vs Similar (9)81.095.6176.6-14.60%
vs Weaker (1)111.0108.0219.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 84
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 84
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 84
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 84
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 84
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 84
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 84
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 84
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 84
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
66avg 84
A04/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
25-31
6-32
18-23
28-26
197.9Avg total
98.3Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.297.3191.5-3.242%
Season at home (6)98.796.7195.3+2.050%
Season away (6)89.798.0187.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)98.399.6197.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)93.0105.4198.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.5100.0186.5-13.518%
vs Similar (7)94.488.3182.7+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)99.391.7191.0+7.775%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
HamburgNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/11
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/12
BBL
Aris
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#18
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H27/12
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A30/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/01
BBL
84.2Avg total
39.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.246.685.8-7.420%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.144.885.9-3.729%-
Last 30 away (16)37.648.285.8-10.612%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.084.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.047.884.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.147.285.3-9.116%-
vs Similar (9)41.846.187.9-4.333%-
vs Weaker (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-63
31
63
-32
A04/01
LKL
95.9Avg total
45.4Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.192.3-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.947.694.5-0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)43.946.790.6-2.853%-
Last 10 (10)45.450.595.9-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.257.4100.6-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.550.593.0-7.936%-
vs Similar (7)44.344.488.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.245.693.8+2.658%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.9
54.5%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
34.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
75.2%16.2
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.6
38.4%
34.4%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.422.3
75.9%
75.2%22.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLWLWLLLL
Neptunas
LLLWLWWWWL
#20
League position
#14
-12.9
Net rating
-2.3
106.0
Offensive rating
120.0
118.9
Defensive rating
122.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
20.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.44
32.3%
3-point %
38.4%
53.3%
Assist %
60.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 120.0Defence118.9 · 122.3Shooting52.2% · 55.7%3-point %32.3% · 38.4%Ball care20.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 35.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
21/10/25Neptunas v Hamburg97-88
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AWurzburg88-91
30/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.68-105
27/12/25HOldenburg69-94
21/12/25AHeidelberg111-108 OT
17/12/25HAris89-92
14/12/25HAlba Berlin99-80
09/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem76-86
07/12/25AVechta95-97 OT
05/12/25AManresa72-99
22/11/25HLudwigsburg84-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-112
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.083.873.6
Allowed / game96.198.295.0
Point differential-19.1-14.5-21.4
Avg total173.1182.0168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game94.298.789.7
Allowed / game97.396.798.0
Point differential-3.2+2.0-8.3
Avg total191.5195.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1311285%96.681.4+15.2
2 JL Bourg1311285%80.572.7+7.8
3 Besiktas139469%93.484.1+9.3
4 Bahcesehir Kol.139469%88.880.8+8.1
5 Turk Telekom138562%86.476.9+9.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija138562%86.277.5+8.7
7 Buducnost138562%87.980.0+7.9
8 Cluj-Napoca127558%96.392.8+3.6
9 Manresa137654%87.688.2-0.6
10 Trento137654%83.586.2-2.7
11 Venezia126650%88.888.2+0.6
12 Chemnitz126650%82.782.2+0.4
13 Aris136746%83.188.6-5.5
14 Neptunas125742%94.297.3-3.2
15 London Lions125742%76.981.6-4.7
16 Ulm135838%83.592.2-8.7
17 Slask Wroclaw134931%84.393.5-9.2
18 Lietkabelis1331023%78.286.3-8.2
19 Panionios1321115%76.887.8-11.1
20 Hamburg120120%77.096.1-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2420242694
Neptunas2523212998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.