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Rostock vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-92
30-24 21-27 19-22 28-19
Position#15
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game93.2
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#7
Record8-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game84.5
GermanyBBLRound 13· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Bonn
02 Jan 2027
ROS v BON
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ROS86
BON88
10 Nov 2024
ROS64
BON69
26 Dec 2023
ROS98
BON92
12 Feb 2023
ROS62
BON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 76
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 76
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-97
85
97
-12
71avg 76
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 76
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 76
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 76
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 76
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 76
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
107-89
107
89
+18
109avg 76
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
97avg 76
H17/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
25-24
14-25
16-16
25-25
22-13
27-19
12-16
24-25
26-28
17-23
18-21
22-19
23-21
24-27
29-25
22-22
12-20
21-25
20-18
25-16
21-19
15-25
25-21
20-27
25-23
26-20
25-22
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
28-18
27-34
29-18
23-19
32-16
20-26
23-15
26-21
177.0Avg total
89.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.193.2186.3-0.145%
Season at home (5)102.496.6199.0+5.880%
Season away (6)85.390.3175.7-5.017%
Last 10 (10)89.487.6177.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)94.686.6181.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.594.1177.6-10.630%
vs Similar (7)85.786.4172.1-0.743%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
99avg 82
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 82
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 82
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
95avg 82
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 82
A06/12
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 82
H10/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 82
H13/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-97
78
97
-19
72avg 82
A16/12
BBL
Breogan
#29
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
87avg 82
A20/12
Champions League
Hamburg
#10
W
108-94
108
94
+14
101avg 82
H23/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
33-17
28-23
23-19
24-19
18-25
26-29
14-19
28-19
24-14
17-21
23-15
29-27
31-28
24-19
18-20
20-16
21-21
13-18
18-10
19-22
24-25
15-25
20-14
23-19
23-21
13-20
17-20
16-34
11-12
23-24
28-27
19-21
20-15
17-21
24-23
31-19
21-28
25-17
31-30
173.2Avg total
88.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.884.5174.3+5.462%
Season at home (7)90.079.3169.3+10.771%
Season away (6)89.790.5180.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)88.185.1173.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)86.490.8177.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
vs Similar (9)85.286.0171.2-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.075.7164.7+13.361%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
RostockBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H17/12
BBL
91.0Avg total
45.4Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.685.5+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.485.5+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)41.044.685.6-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.691.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.691.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.947.888.7-6.920%-
vs Similar (7)45.943.489.3+2.457%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A06/12
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A16/12
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Hamburg
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H23/12
BBL
87.2Avg total
45.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.281.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.437.279.6+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.141.383.4+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.087.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.284.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (9)40.240.881.0-0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.337.481.7+6.867%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.2
54.2%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.2
39.2%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
76.0%16.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.0
55.4%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.8
73.3%
76.0%11.8
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWLWWLWLWL
Bonn
WLLLLWWWLW
#15
League position
#7
+1.8
Net rating
+3.8
114.6
Offensive rating
119.2
112.8
Defensive rating
115.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
57.4%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
40.1%
64.3%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 119.2Defence112.8 · 115.4Shooting56.1% · 57.4%3-point %39.2% · 40.1%Ball care15.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
2
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Rostock v Bonn62-77
06/01/23Bonn v Rostock99-71
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig101-78
03/12/23AUlm107-89
28/11/23ABamberg83-93
25/11/23HGottingen96-92
21/11/23HJonava86-81
17/11/23AChemnitz75-85
15/11/23AKarhu Basket98-92
10/11/23HSyntainics MBC85-97
08/11/23HAEK Larnaca86-73
05/11/23ALudwigsburg77-96
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HHamburg108-94
20/12/23ABreogan92-97 OT
16/12/23AWurzburg78-97
13/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig76-80
10/12/23HBayern78-86
06/12/23AHapoel Holon72-65
03/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig102-94
26/11/23HHeidelberg92-69
21/11/23HBursaspor82-92
19/11/23AGottingen101-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game93.1102.485.3
Allowed / game93.296.690.3
Point differential-0.1+5.8-5.0
Avg total186.3199.0175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %18%40%0%
Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game89.890.089.7
Allowed / game84.579.390.5
Point differential+5.4+10.7-0.8
Avg total174.3169.3180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1312192%87.473.1+14.3
2 Ulm129375%92.189.7+2.4
3 Bayern118373%88.178.1+10.0
4 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
5 Wurzburg117464%82.275.6+6.5
6 Bonn138562%89.884.5+5.4
7 Ludwigsburg127558%87.579.8+7.7
8 Vechta127558%87.880.6+7.2
9 Hamburg127558%87.890.3-2.6
10 Oldenburg126650%84.882.7+2.1
11 Rostock115645%93.193.2-0.1
12 Bamberg125742%90.292.8-2.5
13 Basketball Braunschweig135838%82.388.3-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC124833%82.986.6-3.7
15 Tubingen134931%85.294.1-8.8
16 Gottingen102820%88.099.1-11.1
17 Heidelberg1221017%81.793.0-11.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins1321115%78.895.7-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock3021192898
Bonn2427221992
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