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Ulm vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 89-107
18-28 34-27 18-29 19-23
Position#5
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#15
Record3-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game95.3
GermanyBBLRound 10· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Rostock
24 Apr 2027
ULM v ROS
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
ULM87
ROS80
11 Jan 2025
ULM82
ROS72
03 Dec 2023
ULM89
ROS107
05 May 2023
ULM116
ROS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
70-99
70
99
-29
62avg 81
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
108avg 81
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 81
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 81
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
108avg 81
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
47avg 81
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 81
H29/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
15-25
21-26
14-34
25-22
24-24
15-31
30-17
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
19-21
22-21
14-17
26-22
25-29
23-18
19-21
27-19
17-17
16-36
20-15
31-21
178.8Avg total
90.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.187.2180.3+5.989%
Season at home (5)91.889.2181.0+2.680%
Season away (4)94.884.8179.5+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.588.3178.8+2.270%
Last 5 (5)89.882.8172.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.784.8169.5-0.160%
vs Similar (14)88.783.0171.7+5.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)98.786.7185.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
no box
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 76
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 76
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 76
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-97
85
97
-12
71avg 76
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 76
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 76
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 76
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 76
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 76
A28/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-16
21-26
33-34
14-28
21-14
16-21
14-21
22-31
25-24
14-25
16-16
25-25
22-13
27-19
12-16
24-25
26-28
17-23
18-21
22-19
23-21
24-27
29-25
22-22
12-20
21-25
20-18
25-16
21-19
15-25
25-21
20-27
25-23
26-20
25-22
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
175.5Avg total
85.9Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.795.3186.0-4.733%
Season at home (4)102.8101.2204.0+1.575%
Season away (5)81.090.6171.6-9.60%
Last 10 (10)85.989.6175.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)87.688.6176.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)82.294.0176.2-11.830%
vs Similar (7)83.686.6170.1-3.043%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
UlmRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/11
Eurocup
85.4Avg total
41.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.687.0+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.788.9+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.585.1+0.267%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.785.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.844.687.4-1.850%-
vs Similar (14)43.140.783.8+2.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)50.543.594.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
42.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.984.2+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.339.683.9+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.984.4-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.785.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.283.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.246.786.9-6.520%-
vs Similar (7)44.142.086.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.5
58.1%
54.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
76.0%15.8
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.4
52.2%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.6
35.8%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
76.0%14.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWWWLWWL
Rostock
LWWLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#15
+4.7
Net rating
-2.1
114.1
Offensive rating
108.6
109.3
Defensive rating
110.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
35.8%
70.8%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 108.6Defence109.3 · 110.7Shooting55.8% · 52.8%3-point %34.9% · 35.8%Ball care18.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds35.5% · 27.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HJL Bourg84-89
25/11/23HCrailsheim Merlins94-87
22/11/23AAris99-88 OT
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87
01/11/23HSlask Wroclaw108-103 OT
28/10/23HLudwigsburg70-99
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23ABamberg83-93
25/11/23HGottingen96-92
21/11/23HJonava86-81
17/11/23AChemnitz75-85
15/11/23AKarhu Basket98-92
10/11/23HSyntainics MBC85-97
08/11/23HAEK Larnaca86-73
05/11/23ALudwigsburg77-96
01/11/23AJonava65-84
29/10/23HTubingen108-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game93.191.894.8
Allowed / game87.289.284.8
Point differential+5.9+2.6+10.0
Avg total180.3181.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%75%0%
Points / game90.7102.881.0
Allowed / game95.3101.290.6
Point differential-4.7+1.5-9.6
Avg total186.0204.0171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %22%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz98189%87.675.1+12.4
2 Ulm98189%93.187.2+5.9
3 Ludwigsburg107370%89.079.4+9.6
4 Alba Berlin96367%93.783.7+10.0
5 Bayern96367%86.478.3+8.1
6 Bonn96367%89.381.4+7.9
7 Vechta106460%88.380.0+8.3
8 Hamburg106460%86.589.0-2.5
9 Wurzburg95456%78.873.1+5.7
10 Oldenburg95456%87.283.6+3.7
11 Bamberg104640%89.492.7-3.3
12 Rostock93633%90.795.3-4.7
13 Basketball Braunschweig93633%81.787.4-5.8
14 Syntainics MBC103730%84.387.2-2.9
15 Tubingen103730%84.994.1-9.2
16 Gottingen92722%88.2100.1-11.9
17 Heidelberg102820%82.292.5-10.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins102820%77.595.4-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1834181989
Rostock28272923107
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