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Hamburg vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-86
18-27 24-25 11-22 25-12
Position#17
Record2-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#1
Record9-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEurocupRound 11· Edel-optics.de Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 76
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-96
75
96
-21
64avg 76
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 76
H29/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 76
A02/11
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
L
68-91
68
91
-23
64avg 76
A06/11
Eurocup
Aris
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
92avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
L
68-73
68
73
-5
49avg 76
A15/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
68-95
68
95
-27
63avg 76
A28/11
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-78
91
78
+13
92avg 76
H30/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 76
A04/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
15-24
17-16
20-18
17-21
13-28
17-19
28-28
27-18
16-21
22-12
24-26
12-25
27-14
17-21
16-22
21-24
9-24
17-22
21-21
24-14
30-24
18-21
21-10
10-26
22-11
22-11
14-25
14-20
18-22
18-29
18-24
26-15
21-24
26-16
18-23
31-20
27-27
9-26
15-20
160.8Avg total
77.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.790.2166.9-13.520%
Season at home (4)82.287.2169.5-5.050%
Season away (6)73.092.2165.2-19.20%
Last 10 (10)77.483.4160.8-6.030%
Last 5 (5)80.481.6162.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.788.8166.5-11.115%
vs Similar (11)82.586.1168.6-3.536%
vs Weaker (5)87.278.6165.8+8.680%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
102avg 79
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 79
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 79
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 79
H12/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
111-82
111
82
+29
111avg 79
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 79
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-96
107
96
+11
108avg 79
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 79
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 79
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 79
H07/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
31-15
23-20
20-35
26-27
23-27
28-21
26-23
19-19
16-14
17-11
11-15
21-18
36-32
31-10
21-20
27-14
27-14
26-24
31-30
19-29
19-21
29-21
32-31
29-26
23-22
32-19
23-29
25-25
26-15
36-23
29-28
33-26
26-12
20-24
17-21
21-22
23-23
26-15
28-18
185.9Avg total
100.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.880.7177.4+16.1100%
Season at home (4)103.881.0184.8+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.280.4171.6+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)100.385.6185.9+14.790%
Last 5 (5)103.290.0193.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (9)84.188.9173.0-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.181.7176.8+13.490%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
HamburgValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/11
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/11
Eurocup
Aris
#19
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H12/11
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/11
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H30/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A04/12
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
39.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.184.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.442.783.1-2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.645.385.9-4.719%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.482.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.545.584.1-7.023%-
vs Similar (11)41.645.687.3-4.027%-
vs Weaker (5)44.237.481.6+6.880%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/12
ACB
91.5Avg total
49.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.985.6+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.339.686.9+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.284.3-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)49.741.891.5+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.844.293.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.641.884.3+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.540.185.6+5.465%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.6
56.1%
53.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.9
33.8%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.3
68.9%
76.0%11.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
53.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.615.1
41.3%
34.3%45.3
🏀 Free throws17.214.2
82.6%
76.0%14.2
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LWLLWLLWLL
Valencia
WWWWLWWWWW
#17
League position
#1
-9.0
Net rating
+18.9
103.6
Offensive rating
131.0
112.6
Defensive rating
112.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
60.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
22.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
40.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.8%
3-point %
41.3%
60.7%
Assist %
66.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 131.0Defence112.6 · 112.1Shooting53.5% · 60.3%3-point %33.8% · 41.3%Ball care22.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.8% · 40.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Hamburg   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
02/10/24Valencia v Hamburg105-78
20/04/22Valencia v Hamburg98-80
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24AJL Bourg82-93
30/11/24HFrankfurt91-78
28/11/24ACedevita Olimpija68-95
15/11/24AHeidelberg68-73
12/11/24HAris93-69
06/11/24ALietkabelis68-91
02/11/24AUlm72-82
29/10/24HTurk Telekom89-77
26/10/24HSyntainics MBC75-96
22/10/24AVenezia68-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HBasquet Girona98-78
04/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem96-83
01/12/24ABaskonia116-91
28/11/24AJL Bourg107-96
17/11/24ABarcelona99-102
15/11/24HBasket Zaragoza111-82
12/11/24HCedevita Olimpija109-80
06/11/24AAris63-59
27/10/24ABilbao103-98
23/10/24ATurk Telekom101-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL20%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game76.782.273.0
Allowed / game90.287.292.2
Point differential-13.5-5.0-19.2
Avg total166.9169.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.8103.891.2
Allowed / game80.781.080.4
Point differential+16.1+22.8+10.8
Avg total177.4184.8171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia990100%96.880.7+16.1
2 Bahcesehir Kol.109190%85.471.9+13.5
3 Gran Canaria108280%81.573.3+8.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem107370%84.977.6+7.3
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%85.977.2+8.7
6 JL Bourg106460%86.381.5+4.8
7 Besiktas106460%86.181.8+4.3
8 Cedevita Olimpija106460%85.285.0+0.2
9 Ulm106460%85.090.0-5.0
10 Cluj-Napoca105550%88.887.4+1.4
11 Turk Telekom105550%78.679.8-1.2
12 BC Wolves105550%81.483.3-1.9
13 Venezia105550%80.683.7-3.1
14 Buducnost104640%85.585.9-0.4
15 Trento114736%77.383.7-6.5
16 Joventut Badalona103730%76.582.4-5.9
17 Lietkabelis92722%82.286.7-4.4
18 Aris102820%74.580.9-6.4
19 Hamburg102820%76.790.2-13.5
20 Trefl Sopot110110%75.188.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1824112578
Valencia2725221286
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