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Bayern vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-89
17-21 25-23 22-22 14-23
Position#3
Record25-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#10
Record14-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game90.2
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Heidelberg
03 Nov 2025
BAY93
HEI81
07 Jun 2025
BAY98
HEI68
01 Jun 2025
BAY90
HEI95
09 Mar 2025
BAY87
HEI78
30 Dec 2023
BAY83
HEI57
04 May 2023
BAY78
HEI89
06 Dec 2021
BAY77
HEI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 73
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
73avg 73
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 73
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
70avg 73
A10/04
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 73
H14/04
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 73
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 73
H19/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 73
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
108-76
108
76
+32
114avg 73
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 73
A30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
26-18
11-11
24-19
16-11
13-19
23-21
8-16
23-23
18-12
22-9
7-14
20-14
18-19
20-15
9-17
33-32
15-18
22-20
20-19
16-15
21-21
26-14
26-24
22-30
13-12
15-19
22-24
28-14
25-13
32-16
24-28
27-19
22-24
19-20
13-15
21-24
154.0Avg total
80.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.174.6156.7+7.678%
Season at home (16)86.576.4162.9+10.181%
Season away (16)77.872.8150.5+5.075%
Last 10 (10)80.973.1154.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)85.877.8163.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.7157.7-9.70%
vs Similar (9)77.178.7155.8-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.072.9154.9+9.186%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
75avg 77
H10/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 77
A19/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 77
H26/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
99-75
99
75
+24
96avg 77
A02/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
110avg 77
H09/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 77
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 77
A19/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 77
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-96
102
96
+6
94avg 77
A26/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
109-91
109
91
+18
103avg 77
H30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-18
25-12
24-25
19-25
24-30
19-14
20-20
22-30
23-16
24-21
24-15
27-18
25-20
29-14
18-23
24-22
27-34
26-19
32-25
17-29
16-14
27-10
18-22
23-24
27-26
13-17
23-23
18-23
22-18
19-19
15-31
24-24
25-15
30-31
23-26
32-30
22-19
32-19
23-23
177.9Avg total
91.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.990.2178.1-2.344%
Season at home (16)91.989.6181.5+2.462%
Season away (16)83.990.9174.8-7.025%
Last 10 (10)91.686.3177.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)89.888.6178.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)86.192.1178.2-6.025%
vs Similar (19)87.188.8175.9-1.742%
vs Weaker (3)101.093.0194.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
BayernHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A10/04
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/04
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H19/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/04
BBL
73.6Avg total
40.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.377.3+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.7+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.876.8-0.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.133.573.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.477.4+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.741.678.3-4.914%-
vs Similar (9)38.338.777.0-0.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.436.576.9+3.950%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A19/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H26/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A02/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A19/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A26/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H30/04
BBL
90.6Avg total
45.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.545.088.5-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.443.285.6-0.829%-
Last 30 away (16)44.446.691.0-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.490.6-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.642.282.9-1.650%-
vs Similar (19)44.247.491.5-3.221%-
vs Weaker (3)46.737.784.3+9.0100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.7
58.5%
54.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
75.8%14.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.2
57.3%
54.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.513.0
42.6%
35.4%39.0
🏀 Free throws17.314.0
80.9%
75.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWWLWLWW
Heidelberg
WWLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#10
+11.4
Net rating
+7.5
113.7
Offensive rating
125.2
102.3
Defensive rating
117.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
60.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.8%
3-point %
42.6%
55.9%
Assist %
53.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 125.2Defence102.3 · 117.7Shooting55.1% · 60.5%3-point %33.8% · 42.6%Ball care18.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds34.7% · 33.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
0
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
27/12/22Heidelberg v Bayern83-87
23/01/22Heidelberg v Bayern70-92
06/12/21Bayern v Heidelberg77-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23AGottingen75-83
26/04/23HRostock108-76
23/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins78-69
19/04/23HFrankfurt95-89
16/04/23HBamberg73-72
14/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-83
10/04/23AWurzburg67-49
06/04/23AReal Madrid67-79
04/04/23AUlm77-59
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HSyntainics MBC109-91
26/04/23ABayreuth102-96
22/04/23HBonn74-91
19/04/23AHamburg86-90
14/04/23HRostock78-75
09/04/23HBamberg109-100
02/04/23AOldenburg99-75
26/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins93-82
19/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-89
10/03/23HGottingen84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %78%81%75%
Points / game82.186.577.8
Allowed / game74.676.472.8
Point differential+7.6+10.1+5.0
Avg total156.7162.9150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Heidelberg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW44%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game87.991.983.9
Allowed / game90.289.690.9
Point differential-2.3+2.4-7.0
Avg total178.1181.5174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %9%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3230294%89.272.5+16.8
2 Alba Berlin3330391%88.577.1+11.4
3 Bayern3225778%82.174.6+7.6
4 Oldenburg32201262%85.983.6+2.3
5 Gottingen33191458%85.586.2-0.7
6 Ludwigsburg32181456%87.085.8+1.2
7 Ulm32171553%88.486.2+2.2
8 Chemnitz32151747%83.882.9+0.9
9 Rostock32151747%83.788.1-4.3
10 Wurzburg33151845%81.283.7-2.5
11 Bamberg32141844%87.587.9-0.4
12 Heidelberg32141844%87.990.2-2.3
13 Hamburg33122136%81.085.9-4.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins32112134%85.288.8-3.7
15 Basketball Braunschweig32102231%80.083.7-3.7
16 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.289.7-4.4
17 Frankfurt3292328%79.886.7-6.8
18 Bayreuth3262619%82.190.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1725221478
Heidelberg2123222389
← all games of the day
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