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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-91
20-21 27-18 14-29 16-23
Position#4
Record19-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#2
Record31-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game77.2
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 79
H12/04
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
53avg 79
A16/04
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 79
A19/04
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 79
A21/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 79
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 79
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
no box
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
116-86
116
86
+30
109avg 79
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-64
88
64
+24
81avg 79
A14/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
26-23
26-9
24-21
15-23
20-28
22-12
10-21
22-14
15-20
20-16
19-36
21-26
20-24
24-19
21-23
9-23
27-15
32-21
29-25
12-20
21-28
25-22
21-21
31-21
24-27
16-27
27-23
29-29
22-17
30-18
35-22
18-23
18-18
27-27
20-17
19-17
23-27
16-10
30-10
178.9Avg total
91.2Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)89.185.5174.6+3.554%
Season at home (17)94.688.6183.2+5.965%
Season away (18)83.882.6166.4+1.344%
Last 10 (10)91.287.7178.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)98.889.6188.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.081.8161.8-1.817%
vs Similar (8)85.178.1163.2+7.088%
vs Weaker (16)93.584.7178.2+8.875%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 82
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 82
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 82
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
83-63
83
63
+20
81avg 82
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
108avg 82
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 82
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 82
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
18-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
27-19
23-12
6-16
20-16
18-20
27-18
23-17
20-11
20-21
28-15
15-16
27-21
18-24
16-17
24-16
22-25
29-21
28-15
25-18
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
160.4Avg total
84.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.677.2164.8+10.489%
Season at home (18)87.376.3163.6+11.089%
Season away (17)87.978.2166.2+9.788%
Last 10 (10)84.276.2160.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)83.880.4164.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.186.6161.7-11.414%
vs Similar (7)78.177.1155.3+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.474.6160.0+10.994%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H12/04
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/04
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A21/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/05
BBL
86.1Avg total
40.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.484.5+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.442.888.2+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.080.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.845.386.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.488.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.038.575.5-1.533%-
vs Similar (8)42.041.183.1+0.938%-
vs Weaker (16)46.042.688.6+3.456%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
84.7Avg total
44.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.4+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.182.2+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.080.7+2.773%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.284.7+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.285.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.041.682.6-0.657%-
vs Similar (7)38.140.678.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.938.282.1+5.881%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.418.6
59.2%
54.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.9
35.4%
35.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.7
71.4%
75.8%15.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.1
59.3%
54.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.7
81.7%
75.8%14.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWWLWLLLW
Alba Berlin
LWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+8.4
Net rating
+10.5
117.8
Offensive rating
111.1
109.4
Defensive rating
100.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.4%
3-point %
33.5%
57.7%
Assist %
69.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 111.1Defence109.4 · 100.6Shooting56.1% · 55.1%3-point %35.4% · 33.5%Ball care16.1% · 20.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
8
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
15/04/22Alba Berlin v Ulm78-73
21/11/21Ulm v Alba Berlin66-71 OT
05/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin75-77
03/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin72-80
01/06/21Alba Berlin v Ulm92-78
30/05/21Alba Berlin v Ulm71-73
07/03/21Ulm v Alba Berlin76-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23AAlba Berlin88-64
07/05/23ABonn83-85
05/05/23HRostock116-86
02/05/23HSyntainics MBC128-122 OT
30/04/23AAlba Berlin79-91
25/04/23HOldenburg97-84
21/04/23AChemnitz86-92
19/04/23ATurk Telekom76-86
16/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig67-84
12/04/23HBuducnost92-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84
23/04/23HRostock104-79
19/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig85-78
16/04/23AHamburg83-63
13/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
11/04/23AChemnitz76-70
09/04/23HGottingen91-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %54%65%44%
Points / game89.194.683.8
Allowed / game85.588.682.6
Point differential+3.5+5.9+1.3
Avg total174.6183.2166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %11%12%11%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL89%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %89%89%88%
Points / game87.687.387.9
Allowed / game77.276.378.2
Point differential+10.4+11.0+9.7
Avg total164.8163.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3432294%89.572.9+16.6
2 Alba Berlin3531489%87.677.2+10.4
3 Bayern3526974%82.075.1+6.8
4 Oldenburg35221363%86.383.3+3.0
5 Ludwigsburg35201557%87.185.6+1.5
6 Ulm35191654%89.185.5+3.5
7 Gottingen35191654%84.886.3-1.4
8 Chemnitz34161847%83.682.7+0.9
9 Rostock34161847%84.088.9-4.8
10 Bamberg34151944%88.188.9-0.7
11 Heidelberg34151944%87.589.6-2.1
12 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig34122235%80.183.2-3.1
14 Crailsheim Merlins34122235%84.788.4-3.7
15 Hamburg34122235%80.986.0-5.1
16 Syntainics MBC34112332%84.789.4-4.7
17 Frankfurt34102429%80.286.5-6.3
18 Bayreuth3462818%82.591.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2027141677
Alba Berlin2118292391
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