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Rostock vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-79
21-15 19-17 20-22 26-25
Position#8
Record10-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game89.2
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game91.8
GermanyBBLRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Crailsheim Merlins
08 May 2024
ROS70
CME85
12 Mar 2023
ROS86
CME79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 75
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-99
71
99
-28
66avg 75
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 75
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 75
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 75
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 75
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 75
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 75
A04/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
15-22
15-18
20-7
15-22
18-32
22-26
16-19
20-26
22-24
22-22
17-24
21-13
18-23
25-23
28-24
19-23
19-14
21-24
20-16
24-32
20-14
26-20
21-15
18-15
19-18
19-23
17-24
20-26
14-20
5-13
23-18
24-20
19-11
30-17
14-23
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
162.3Avg total
77.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.489.2173.5-4.845%
Season at home (11)79.786.5166.2-6.736%
Season away (11)89.091.9180.9-2.955%
Last 10 (10)77.984.4162.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)78.282.2160.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.590.5169.0-12.020%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.584.7171.2+1.871%
vs Weaker (3)93.386.0179.3+7.3100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
69avg 77
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 77
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 77
A05/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
25-16
12-32
26-27
14-25
13-21
28-18
17-18
18-22
20-23
22-27
16-14
21-18
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
178.8Avg total
86.8Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.391.8179.1-4.532%
Season at home (10)91.691.7183.3-0.140%
Season away (12)83.791.9175.6-8.225%
Last 10 (10)86.892.0178.8-5.220%
Last 5 (5)85.695.0180.6-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.495.3179.6-10.99%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.690.1180.7+0.450%
vs Weaker (5)88.676.8165.4+11.880%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
RostockCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
81.7Avg total
37.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.585.2-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.240.881.0-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)43.446.690.0-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.881.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.681.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.349.089.3-8.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.440.983.2+1.547%-
vs Weaker (3)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
90.8Avg total
43.4Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.588.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.042.187.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.146.689.7-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.447.490.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.250.291.4-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.348.188.4-7.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.944.590.4+1.457%-
vs Weaker (5)46.836.683.4+10.280%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.0
50.4%
54.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.2%
35.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.618.0
76.3%
75.8%18.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.2
54.7%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.3
40.1%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws16.813.9
82.7%
75.8%13.9
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWLLWWWLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLLLLWW
#8
League position
#14
-8.2
Net rating
-3.3
100.0
Offensive rating
116.6
108.1
Defensive rating
119.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.2%
3-point %
40.1%
59.5%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 116.6Defence108.1 · 119.9Shooting48.9% · 57.3%3-point %31.2% · 40.1%Ball care20.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 27.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Rostock   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
23/12/22Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock91-103
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
15/02/23ABasketball Braunschweig87-71
12/02/23HBonn62-77
05/02/23HOldenburg73-80
03/02/23AHamburg91-81
28/01/23HSyntainics MBC79-77
20/01/23ABayreuth92-83
18/01/23HChemnitz81-96
06/01/23ABonn71-99
03/01/23HBayern65-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97
05/02/23HChemnitz79-82
01/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo76-79
28/01/23AAlba Berlin77-100
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%36%55%
Points / game84.479.789.0
Allowed / game89.286.591.9
Point differential-4.8-6.7-2.9
Avg total173.5166.2180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%9%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %32%40%25%
Points / game87.391.683.7
Allowed / game91.891.791.9
Point differential-4.5-0.1-8.2
Avg total179.1183.3175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2321291%90.273.6+16.7
2 Alba Berlin2119290%90.680.1+10.5
3 Bayern2115671%82.176.6+5.5
4 Ludwigsburg2215768%90.285.1+5.1
5 Oldenburg2114767%85.582.3+3.2
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm22121055%87.985.3+2.5
8 Bamberg23121152%87.586.3+1.1
9 Wurzburg23111248%83.184.0-0.9
10 Chemnitz21101148%84.383.7+0.6
11 Rostock22101245%84.489.2-4.8
12 Syntainics MBC2291341%83.988.2-4.3
13 Hamburg2381535%82.685.6-3.0
14 Heidelberg2381535%86.191.2-5.1
15 Crailsheim Merlins2271532%87.391.8-4.5
16 Basketball Braunschweig2261627%79.184.8-5.6
17 Frankfurt2351822%78.887.6-8.8
18 Bayreuth2131814%81.490.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2119202686
Crailsheim Merlins1517222579
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