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Rostock vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 62-77
20-26 14-20 5-13 23-18
Position#8
Record9-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Bonn 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game75.3
GermanyBBLRound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Bonn
02 Jan 2027
ROS v BON
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ROS86
BON88
10 Nov 2024
ROS64
BON69
26 Dec 2023
ROS98
BON92
12 Feb 2023
ROS62
BON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 77
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 77
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
83-101
83
101
-18
62avg 77
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 77
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-99
71
99
-28
66avg 77
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 77
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 77
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 77
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
25-15
23-22
29-30
26-24
25-25
17-17
23-29
18-30
15-31
15-22
15-18
20-7
15-22
18-32
22-26
16-19
20-26
22-24
22-22
17-24
21-13
18-23
25-23
28-24
19-23
19-14
21-24
20-16
24-32
20-14
26-20
21-15
18-15
19-18
19-23
17-24
168.2Avg total
82.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.790.1175.8-4.447%
Season at home (10)81.587.4168.9-5.940%
Season away (9)90.493.1183.6-2.756%
Last 10 (10)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 5 (5)83.283.4166.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.392.0172.3-11.722%
vs Similar (15)87.184.5171.5+2.673%
vs Weaker (6)89.584.3173.8+5.267%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
90avg 80
H29/12
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
101-92
101
92
+9
94avg 80
A03/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
99-71
99
71
+28
98avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 80
A15/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
105avg 80
H21/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 80
H25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#18
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 80
A29/01
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
85avg 80
A01/02
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 80
A05/02
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 80
A08/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
18-13
28-20
21-19
25-18
27-25
30-25
19-24
22-15
32-18
26-22
19-16
23-20
21-28
19-14
13-19
30-29
31-12
22-17
25-21
20-10
23-22
20-16
11-20
22-18
20-15
37-16
15-22
23-22
18-11
27-18
19-18
27-15
12-21
22-19
16-18
28-16
26-23
12-20
20-20
164.0Avg total
89.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.275.3165.6+14.989%
Season at home (8)91.272.9164.1+18.4100%
Season away (10)89.477.3166.7+12.180%
Last 10 (10)89.174.9164.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)83.672.0155.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.583.5162.0-5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.874.6162.4+13.189%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
RostockBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/02
BBL
82.3Avg total
39.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.785.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.039.780.7+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)44.146.290.3-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.082.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.049.390.3-8.333%-
vs Similar (15)42.540.883.3+1.747%-
vs Weaker (6)44.337.782.0+6.767%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H29/12
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H21/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A29/01
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/02
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/02
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A08/02
Champions League
83.5Avg total
47.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.037.682.6+7.383%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.236.281.5+9.085%-
Last 30 away (17)44.838.783.5+6.182%-
Last 10 (10)47.036.583.5+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.678.4+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)46.044.590.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.736.981.6+7.981%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.6%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.518.7
76.3%
75.8%18.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.8
55.5%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.8
38.8%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
75.8%13.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWWLLLLWW
Bonn
WWWWWWLWWW
#8
League position
#1
-4.8
Net rating
+19.2
103.5
Offensive rating
121.0
108.3
Defensive rating
101.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.8%
3-point %
38.8%
56.5%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 121.0Defence108.3 · 101.7Shooting50.0% · 56.7%3-point %32.8% · 38.8%Ball care20.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 37.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Rostock   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
1
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
06/01/23Bonn v Rostock99-71
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HOldenburg73-80
03/02/23AHamburg91-81
28/01/23HSyntainics MBC79-77
20/01/23ABayreuth92-83
18/01/23HChemnitz81-96
06/01/23ABonn71-99
03/01/23HBayern65-78
26/12/22AFrankfurt83-101
23/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins103-91
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23ARytas86-79
05/02/23ABayern77-73
01/02/23AManresa87-69
29/01/23ABayreuth94-71
25/01/23HBahcesehir Kol.74-68
21/01/23HOldenburg108-79
15/01/23AAlba Berlin76-81
06/01/23HRostock99-71
03/01/23AUlm101-92
29/12/22HFrankfurt89-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%40%56%
Points / game85.781.590.4
Allowed / game90.187.493.1
Point differential-4.4-5.9-2.7
Avg total175.8168.9183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%10%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game90.291.289.4
Allowed / game75.372.977.3
Point differential+14.9+18.4+12.1
Avg total165.6164.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1817194%91.179.5+11.6
2 Bonn1816289%90.275.3+14.9
3 Bayern1813572%83.377.3+6.1
4 Oldenburg1912763%84.982.3+2.7
5 Gottingen1912763%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1811761%87.884.5+3.3
7 Chemnitz1710759%86.182.8+3.2
8 Ulm1910953%88.486.3+2.2
9 Wurzburg1910953%84.483.6+0.8
10 Rostock1991047%85.790.1-4.4
11 Bamberg1981142%85.786.7-1.1
12 Syntainics MBC1871139%83.088.3-5.3
13 Crailsheim Merlins1971237%87.791.3-3.6
14 Hamburg2071335%82.586.3-3.9
15 Heidelberg2071335%87.091.2-4.2
16 Frankfurt1951426%79.586.6-7.1
17 Basketball Braunschweig2051525%79.385.2-5.9
18 Bayreuth1931616%80.288.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock201452362
Bonn2620131877
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