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Heidelberg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 89-82
17-14 25-30 21-13 26-25
Position#16
Record7-21
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#1
Record23-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game77.1
GermanyBBLRound 29· SNP Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Heidelberg v Bayern
08 Feb 2026
HEI63
BAY106
10 Jun 2025
HEI82
BAY94
04 Jun 2025
HEI61
BAY90
12 Jan 2025
HEI59
BAY87
21 Apr 2024
HEI89
BAY82
27 Dec 2022
HEI83
BAY87
23 Jan 2022
HEI70
BAY92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
87-109
87
109
-22
49avg 71
A04/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 71
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 71
A13/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 71
A03/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 71
H10/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
78avg 71
H16/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
77-99
77
99
-22
65avg 71
A23/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 71
H30/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 71
A08/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
68-93
68
93
-25
45avg 71
A13/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-36
28-15
22-25
15-33
25-25
17-28
22-22
12-19
23-17
26-28
12-31
22-22
25-25
20-19
26-25
20-25
25-15
24-25
19-24
24-23
22-18
17-26
12-18
37-24
18-24
10-26
25-27
24-22
24-24
31-20
22-20
13-22
19-21
23-20
22-19
19-19
13-26
19-22
16-20
20-25
176.0Avg total
83.5Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.494.4176.8-12.025%
Season at home (14)82.295.0177.2-12.821%
Season away (14)82.693.8176.4-11.129%
Last 10 (10)83.592.5176.0-9.040%
Last 5 (5)81.288.6169.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.194.0173.2-14.918%
vs Similar (7)94.496.0190.4-1.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 79
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 79
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 79
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 79
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 79
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 79
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 79
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
92avg 79
A14/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
20-17
25-19
20-23
25-23
161.1Avg total
81.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.677.1166.7+12.485%
Season at home (14)90.675.7166.4+14.993%
Season away (13)88.478.7167.1+9.777%
Last 10 (10)81.979.2161.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)88.079.0167.0+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.386.8166.2-7.50%
vs Similar (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.674.7164.3+14.993%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
HeidelbergBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A23/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H30/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/04
BBL
89.1Avg total
43.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.246.586.7-6.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.545.485.9-4.929%-
Last 30 away (16)39.947.587.4-7.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.089.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.484.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.145.985.0-6.827%-
vs Similar (7)46.745.792.4+1.071%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/04
BBL
79.9Avg total
38.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.781.8+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.638.580.1+3.171%-
Last 30 away (13)42.641.484.0+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.979.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.881.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.743.378.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.281.6-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.636.883.4+9.893%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.9
49.6%
54.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.5
31.0%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.216.0
79.2%
76.0%16.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.7
56.0%
54.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.7
39.1%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.811.7
79.1%
76.0%11.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
LWWLWWLLLL
Bayern
WLWLWLWLLW
#16
League position
#1
-12.4
Net rating
+4.3
104.0
Offensive rating
112.6
116.4
Defensive rating
108.3
48.3%
Effective FG%
57.2%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.0%
3-point %
39.1%
58.1%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 112.6Defence116.4 · 108.3Shooting48.3% · 57.2%3-point %31.0% · 39.1%Ball care17.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Heidelberg wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Bayern v Heidelberg83-57
04/05/23Bayern v Heidelberg78-89
27/12/22Heidelberg v Bayern83-87
23/01/22Heidelberg v Bayern70-92
06/12/21Bayern v Heidelberg77-71
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ALudwigsburg68-93
08/04/24AHamburg83-79
30/03/24HCrailsheim Merlins90-86
23/03/24AOldenburg77-99
16/03/24HRostock88-86
10/03/24HBonn92-87
03/03/24AGottingen91-94
13/02/24ABamberg83-98
09/02/24HBasketball Braunschweig76-94
04/02/24AVechta87-109
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24AWurzburg90-82
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
17/03/24AGottingen77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL25%
HomeLLWWW21%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%21%29%
Points / game82.482.282.6
Allowed / game94.495.093.8
Point differential-12.0-12.8-11.1
Avg total176.8177.2176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %85%93%77%
Points / game89.690.688.4
Allowed / game77.175.778.7
Point differential+12.4+14.9+9.7
Avg total166.7166.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2723485%89.677.1+12.4
2 Chemnitz2823582%89.277.9+11.4
3 Alba Berlin2621581%91.481.6+9.8
4 Wurzburg2920969%86.079.3+6.7
5 Ulm2819968%91.885.9+5.8
6 Vechta29181162%89.082.4+6.5
7 Ludwigsburg29171259%88.481.8+6.7
8 Bonn29171259%89.585.9+3.6
9 Oldenburg29151452%85.083.9+1.1
10 Hamburg29141548%85.386.5-1.2
11 Bamberg28121643%88.190.6-2.5
12 Basketball Braunschweig29121741%82.485.9-3.5
13 Rostock2882029%88.693.4-4.7
14 Syntainics MBC2882029%85.492.3-7.0
15 Gottingen2882029%86.093.9-7.9
16 Heidelberg2872125%82.494.4-12.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins2972224%81.392.6-11.3
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1725212689
Bayern1430132582
← all games of the day
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