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Rostock vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-96
21-15 15-28 24-24 11-29
Position#15
Record7-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record18-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game86.5
GermanyBBLRound 28· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Ulm
07 Nov 2026
ROS97
ULM87
19 Apr 2026
ROS68
ULM75
29 Mar 2025
ROS85
ULM67
14 Apr 2024
ROS71
ULM96
09 Oct 2022
ROS85
ULM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
90-104 OT
90
104
-14
no box
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
90-94
90
94
-4
74avg 80
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 80
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 80
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 80
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 80
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 80
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 80
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 80
A05/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-25
15-21
28-20
26-23
18-26
19-19
27-26
24-29
19-29
23-25
23-22
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
179.3Avg total
85.6Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.193.5182.6-4.527%
Season at home (14)90.394.8185.1-4.536%
Season away (12)87.792.1179.8-4.417%
Last 10 (10)85.693.7179.3-8.110%
Last 5 (5)81.687.2168.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.693.2177.8-8.612%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker (9)87.882.1169.9+5.767%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 81
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
81avg 81
A17/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
53avg 81
A18/02
German Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A02/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 81
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 81
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 81
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-60
94
60
+34
101avg 81
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
98avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-15
20-12
18-22
19-18
23-22
17-21
28-18
18-9
10-26
19-24
18-22
13-26
18-23
20-14
31-20
19-27
13-23
21-15
26-23
22-14
22-29
29-21
18-14
24-27
24-16
20-19
13-24
22-13
26-33
22-9
17-24
29-22
23-18
20-8
22-12
29-33
23-20
27-13
27-24
164.9Avg total
85.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)91.686.5178.1+5.167%
Season at home (14)91.588.2179.7+3.371%
Season away (13)91.784.6176.3+7.162%
Last 10 (10)85.579.4164.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)91.878.6170.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.585.5170.0-1.067%
vs Similar (13)85.085.9170.9-0.931%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.184.7176.8+7.473%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
RostockUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
89.3Avg total
44.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.989.1-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.844.389.1+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.689.1-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)44.345.089.3-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.083.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)43.147.490.5-4.225%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker (9)44.238.482.7+5.878%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A18/02
German Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H06/04
BBL
85.7Avg total
42.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.087.5+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.545.089.5-0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)44.441.585.9+2.971%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.585.7-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.845.093.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.741.383.0+0.350%-
vs Similar (13)43.542.886.4+0.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.144.291.3+2.973%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.4
54.5%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
76.0%14.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.8
51.9%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.6
35.0%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.514.7
71.7%
76.0%14.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLLLLLLLLL
Ulm
WWWLWLLLWW
#15
League position
#5
-11.0
Net rating
+7.6
110.1
Offensive rating
111.8
121.1
Defensive rating
104.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
35.0%
57.8%
Assist %
62.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 111.8Defence121.1 · 104.2Shooting54.0% · 52.2%3-point %35.5% · 35.0%Ball care16.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.8% · 34.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
1
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Ulm v Rostock89-107
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92
10/02/24AHamburg89-105
03/02/24HChemnitz90-94
27/01/24AGottingen90-104 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HBamberg106-90
31/03/24ALudwigsburg94-60
23/03/24HWurzburg87-79
18/03/24AVechta81-86
09/03/24HGottingen91-78
05/03/24HJoventut Badalona79-88
02/03/24AChemnitz82-83
18/02/24ABayern65-81
17/02/24AAlba Berlin87-79
13/02/24HHamburg83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %27%36%17%
Points / game89.190.387.7
Allowed / game93.594.892.1
Point differential-4.5-4.5-4.4
Avg total182.6185.1179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%7%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %19%21%17%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game91.691.591.7
Allowed / game86.588.284.6
Point differential+5.1+3.3+7.1
Avg total178.1179.7176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2622485%89.577.0+12.6
2 Chemnitz2823582%89.277.9+11.4
3 Alba Berlin2520580%91.781.8+9.9
4 Wurzburg2720774%86.178.3+7.8
5 Ulm2718967%91.686.5+5.1
6 Ludwigsburg28171161%88.681.5+7.1
7 Vechta28171161%89.082.6+6.4
8 Bonn28171161%89.585.5+4.0
9 Oldenburg28141450%84.984.5+0.4
10 Hamburg27131448%85.586.7-1.2
11 Bamberg28121643%88.190.6-2.5
12 Basketball Braunschweig28121643%83.085.9-2.9
13 Syntainics MBC2882029%85.492.3-7.0
14 Gottingen2882029%86.093.9-7.9
15 Rostock2671927%89.193.5-4.5
16 Heidelberg2872125%82.494.4-12.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins2862221%80.792.7-12.0
18 Tubingen2862221%84.397.0-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2115241171
Ulm1528242996
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