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Sencur vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-98
28-26 15-20 21-28 22-24
Position#5
Record15-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.4
Sencur
Slovenia
vs
Cedevita Olimpija 🏆
Slovenia
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game66.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMLiga Nova KBM - Semi-finals· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v Cedevita Olimpija
20 May 2026
SENC79
COL86
15 May 2024
SENC86
COL98
19 May 2023
SENC64
COL72
16 Feb 2023
SENC69
COL90
20 Apr 2022
SENC84
COL83
18 Mar 2021
SENC100
COL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 65
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 65
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 65
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
56avg 65
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
85-74
85
74
+11
72avg 65
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
82-94
82
94
-12
78avg 65
H17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
69avg 65
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 65
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
60avg 65
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
82avg 65
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-28
16-14
19-27
21-25
20-18
17-18
18-18
23-20
19-18
18-19
21-19
16-28
28-20
12-22
13-24
23-19
25-21
21-18
16-16
27-26
26-23
15-24
14-21
21-27
18-21
16-8
15-14
19-31
26-16
28-14
25-17
24-12
13-12
18-17
20-26
21-21
25-24
27-13
20-23
161.6Avg total
81.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.479.4157.8-1.052%
Season at home (15)84.976.3161.2+8.780%
Season away (14)71.482.7154.1-11.421%
Last 10 (10)81.380.3161.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)85.478.6164.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.086.2159.2-13.211%
vs Similar (18)78.376.3154.7+2.061%
vs Weaker (3)85.774.7160.3+11.067%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
102-110
102
110
-8
98avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 81
H09/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
62avg 81
A16/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
105-89
105
89
+16
113avg 81
H23/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
78-92
78
92
-14
63avg 81
A30/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
97-72
97
72
+25
106avg 81
A05/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
98-119
98
119
-21
95avg 81
A15/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
55avg 81
H21/04
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
108-78
108
78
+30
122avg 81
A03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
93-54
93
54
+39
96avg 81
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-42
33-28
20-17
25-23
14-18
23-23
17-15
18-24
13-23
18-24
17-25
17-16
30-28
17-18
28-15
30-28
19-21
22-30
13-19
24-22
24-20
28-13
22-19
23-20
23-27
29-30
22-37
24-25
22-22
19-23
19-21
11-19
34-19
29-21
27-20
18-18
25-14
31-8
16-17
21-15
175.6Avg total
88.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.566.0166.5+34.5100%
Season at home (1)93.054.0147.0+39.0100%
Season away (1)108.078.0186.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.986.7175.6+2.240%
Last 5 (5)93.481.6175.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.198.0185.1-10.912%
vs Similar (6)81.293.7174.8-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.077.7171.7+16.388%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
SencurCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
86.3Avg total
43.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.580.8-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.483.0+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.740.678.3-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.886.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.244.482.7-6.211%-
vs Similar (18)41.239.080.2+2.278%-
vs Weaker (3)41.737.379.0+4.333%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A16/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H23/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A30/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A05/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A15/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H21/04
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
56-22
56
22
+34
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
92.9Avg total
47.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.643.990.5+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.340.285.5+5.254%-
Last 30 away (17)47.546.894.3+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)47.745.292.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)52.839.492.2+13.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.850.895.5-6.012%-
vs Similar (6)42.545.588.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)49.039.988.9+9.175%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.4
53.4%
52.9%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.7
25.3%
33.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
74.0%13.5
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.0
57.6%
52.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
74.0%13.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WWWWLWLWLL
Cedevita Olimpija
WWLLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+1.7
103.3
Offensive rating
115.2
101.2
Defensive rating
113.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.3%
3-point %
35.4%
62.8%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 115.2Defence101.2 · 113.5Shooting47.6% · 55.8%3-point %25.3% · 35.4%Ball care16.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 33.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sencur   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sencur wins
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
21/05/23Cedevita Olimpija v Sencur91-70
19/05/23Sencur v Cedevita Olimpija64-72
16/02/23Sencur v Cedevita Olimpija69-90
20/04/22Sencur v Cedevita Olimpija84-83
14/03/22Cedevita Olimpija v Sencur64-70
18/03/21Sencur v Cedevita Olimpija100-63
25/02/21Cedevita Olimpija v Sencur67-60
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24HPerspektiva Ilirija93-81
02/05/24APerspektiva Ilirija75-67
27/04/24HTajfun Sentjur98-78
20/04/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek79-73 OT
17/04/24HPolzela82-94
03/04/24HLTH Castings85-74
30/03/24AHelios Domzale69-94
24/03/24ACedevita Junior81-76
22/03/24HSiroki Brijeg76-79
20/03/24AZlatibor75-87
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/24HTajfun Sentjur93-54
03/05/24ATajfun Sentjur108-78
21/04/24HMega Basket71-85
15/04/24AMega Basket98-119
05/04/24ACibona97-72
30/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto78-92
23/03/24HMornar Bar105-89
16/03/24AZadar65-88
09/03/24HBuducnost72-80
03/03/24APartizan102-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%80%21%
Points / game78.484.971.4
Allowed / game79.476.382.7
Point differential-1.0+8.7-11.4
Avg total157.8161.2154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Cedevita Olimpija
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.593.0108.0
Allowed / game66.054.078.0
Point differential+34.5+39.0+30.0
Avg total166.5147.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Olimpija220100%100.566.0+34.5
2 KK Krka Novo mesto3024680%91.077.2+13.8
3 Helios Domzale3024680%86.877.5+9.3
4 Perspektiva Ilirija29151452%80.379.3+1.0
5 Sencur29151452%78.479.4-1.0
6 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek29131645%81.483.4-2.0
7 LTH Castings29121741%80.384.2-3.9
8 Rogaska27111641%75.578.3-2.8
9 Tajfun Sentjur29101934%79.286.7-7.6
10 KK Triglav Kranj2791833%72.377.2-4.9
11 Polzela2791833%79.485.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2815212286
Cedevita Olimpija2620282498
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