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Svendborg vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 117-87
28-9 30-26 29-21 30-31
Position#5
Record14-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#9
Record3-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game91.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena (Svendborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack
02 Feb 2026
SVEN111
HERL61
03 Dec 2024
SVEN89
HERL58
07 Feb 2024
SVEN117
HERL87
11 Nov 2023
SVEN86
HERL84
08 Apr 2023
SVEN106
HERL83
15 Feb 2023
SVEN100
HERL71
19 Feb 2022
SVEN102
HERL72
17 Mar 2021
SVEN111
HERL68
09 Dec 2019
SVEN87
HERL70
15 Dec 2018
SVEN90
HERL76
26 Oct 2017
SVEN95
HERL69
04 Oct 2017
SVEN108
HERL85
03 Jan 2015
SVEN81
HERL78
11 Jan 2014
SVEN92
HERL65
25 Sep 2013
SVEN83
HERL79
08 Oct 2011
SVEN99
HERL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
92-110
92
110
-18
80avg 75
A20/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
115-77
115
77
+38
111avg 75
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
61avg 75
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
41-83
41
83
-42
21avg 75
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
97avg 75
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 75
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 75
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 75
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 75
A01/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-19
14-17
23-11
24-22
20-32
25-30
23-26
25-20
26-15
35-27
29-15
33-25
8-31
23-25
13-29
12-28
18-17
5-18
6-20
25-17
23-17
31-24
19-18
22-20
21-18
19-16
21-23
14-24
17-27
12-20
20-15
19-16
30-22
20-23
19-23
20-18
8-18
22-29
26-21
166.4Avg total
81.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.079.8168.8+9.278%
Season at home (9)95.981.8177.7+14.178%
Season away (9)82.177.8159.9+4.378%
Last 10 (10)81.185.3166.4-4.250%
Last 5 (5)81.681.8163.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.792.8168.5-17.129%
vs Similar (4)84.280.0164.2+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.971.1168.0+25.8100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 61
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 61
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 61
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 61
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 61
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-137
77
137
-60
62avg 61
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 61
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 61
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 61
H01/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
21-29
14-21
17-22
17-27
20-20
20-24
16-17
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
16-39
29-30
19-31
13-37
21-32
21-15
19-20
15-14
17-11
27-29
23-21
20-26
25-19
16-29
20-18
10-27
27-22
21-19
20-10
17-28
178.5Avg total
80.0Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.691.7165.2-18.117%
Season at home (9)69.986.9156.8-17.022%
Season away (9)77.296.4173.7-19.211%
Last 10 (10)80.098.5178.5-18.510%
Last 5 (5)80.498.8179.2-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.595.5166.0-25.00%
vs Similar (2)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -7.1-7.1
SvendborgHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A20/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/02
Basketligaen
82.9Avg total
40.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.782.9-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.142.285.3+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.380.5-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.382.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.479.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.246.884.0-9.529%-
vs Similar (4)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.935.680.5+9.288%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/02
Basketligaen
90.7Avg total
42.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.046.483.4-9.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.444.279.6-8.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.548.286.8-9.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.148.690.7-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.049.093.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.247.984.0-11.712%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.720.9
46.8%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
31.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
67.0%16.4
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.1
47.4%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.9
27.8%
31.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws24.616.1
65.4%
67.0%16.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LWLWWLLWLW
Herlev Wolfpack
WLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-4.8
Net rating
-20.2
97.8
Offensive rating
94.6
102.7
Defensive rating
114.8
46.3%
Effective FG%
45.3%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.4%
3-point %
27.8%
51.1%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 94.6Defence102.7 · 114.8Shooting46.3% · 45.3%3-point %30.4% · 27.8%Ball care19.1% · 20.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Svendborg   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Svendborg wins
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ATeam FOG Naestved76-86
29/01/24ARanders88-84
24/01/24HBristol Flyers63-86
17/01/24HSpartak Pleven83-77
15/01/24HVaerlose98-76
09/01/24ATartu Ulikool41-83
06/01/24ABakken Bears77-110
30/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus115-77
20/12/23AJuventus92-110
14/12/23HCopenhagen78-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus85-79
26/01/24HCopenhagen71-93
19/01/24ABears Academy93-104 OT
07/01/24AVaerlose76-81
30/12/23ABakken Bears77-137
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
29/11/23HSvendborg73-88
19/11/23ARanders76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWLWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%78%78%
Points / game89.095.982.1
Allowed / game79.881.877.8
Point differential+9.2+14.1+4.3
Avg total168.8177.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game73.669.977.2
Allowed / game91.786.996.4
Point differential-18.1-17.0-19.2
Avg total165.2156.8173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1817194%102.074.4+27.6
2 Horsens1815383%90.371.2+19.2
3 Team FOG Naestved1815383%96.880.2+16.6
4 Svendborg1814478%89.079.8+9.2
5 Randers1710759%95.485.6+9.8
6 Copenhagen1991047%81.279.0+2.2
7 Vaerlose1771041%80.988.1-7.2
8 Bears Academy1741324%74.486.2-11.8
9 Herlev Wolfpack1831517%73.691.7-18.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1831517%69.289.8-20.6
11 Amager181176%72.399.8-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg28302930117
Herlev Wolfpack926213187
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