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Hogsbo vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 104-98
26-21 21-29 31-19 26-29
Position#9
Record5-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#5
Record16-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game91.3
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v Nassjo
09 Oct 2026
HOGS85
NASS81
06 Feb 2026
HOGS93
NASS75
24 Mar 2025
HOGS104
NASS98
02 Dec 2024
HOGS84
NASS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 77
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 77
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 77
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 77
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
98-114
98
114
-16
98avg 77
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
59-63
59
63
-4
43avg 77
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 77
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 77
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
80-121
80
121
-41
67avg 77
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 77
A21/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
22-17
20-15
12-22
17-21
24-21
29-33
21-33
24-27
14-16
16-16
14-17
15-14
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
19-27
26-27
16-36
19-31
20-34
20-28
25-23
28-37
182.2Avg total
83.7Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.693.6176.2-11.118%
Season at home (13)79.288.5167.8-9.323%
Season away (15)85.598.1183.5-12.613%
Last 10 (10)83.798.5182.2-14.810%
Last 5 (5)79.4104.6184.0-25.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.694.9176.5-13.312%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)87.682.0169.6+5.660%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 86
H24/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
75avg 86
A03/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
99-91
99
91
+8
98avg 86
H07/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
98-95
98
95
+3
106avg 86
A11/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
102-77
102
77
+25
105avg 86
H13/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 86
H28/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
43avg 86
A02/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
99avg 86
A08/03
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
121-80
121
80
+41
130avg 86
H13/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
110-112
110
112
-2
111avg 86
A21/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
14-20
30-19
16-18
22-21
23-24
14-25
18-18
16-23
30-19
26-24
27-25
26-19
24-28
21-28
27-20
30-24
18-17
27-27
27-9
21-23
18-15
19-24
31-20
15-29
14-20
8-22
18-11
25-17
15-30
28-13
28-18
27-19
27-26
36-16
31-19
22-22
26-30
27-30
35-30
180.0Avg total
93.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)91.391.3182.6+0.055%
Season at home (15)96.190.0186.1+6.167%
Season away (14)86.192.6178.8-6.543%
Last 10 (10)93.586.5180.0+7.070%
Last 5 (5)94.286.8181.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.496.3178.7-13.920%
vs Similar (14)92.191.2183.3+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)103.584.5188.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +7.0+7.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +7.0+7.0
HogsboNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A21/03
Basketligan
89.2Avg total
41.9Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.383.9-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.240.278.4-2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.847.888.6-7.012%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.389.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.251.291.4-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.845.585.3-5.724%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)38.638.076.6+0.660%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H24/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/03
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H13/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A21/03
Basketligan
89.0Avg total
44.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.246.291.4-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.445.792.1+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)43.846.990.6-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.989.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.288.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.348.590.8-6.230%-
vs Similar (14)44.647.592.1-2.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)51.339.590.8+11.883%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.6
52.7%
52.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.1
30.5%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
76.2%15.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.5
60.6%
52.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
76.2%17.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLLLLWLL
Nassjo
LWWLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#5
-18.7
Net rating
+9.3
101.8
Offensive rating
117.3
120.5
Defensive rating
107.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.5%
3-point %
36.7%
64.0%
Assist %
69.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 117.3Defence120.5 · 107.9Shooting49.9% · 58.2%3-point %30.5% · 36.7%Ball care16.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds22.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
3
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Nassjo v Hogsbo121-80
02/12/24Hogsbo v Nassjo84-104
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25ANorrkoping93-122
13/03/25ANassjo80-121
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
04/03/25AUppsala85-110
28/02/25HBoras59-63
15/02/25AJamtland98-114
11/02/25HSodertalje71-75
07/02/25AUmea110-83
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25AKoping Stars110-112
13/03/25HHogsbo121-80
08/03/25AJamtland96-78
02/03/25ABoras55-82
28/02/25HSodertalje89-82
13/02/25HUmea102-77
11/02/25AKoping Stars98-95
07/02/25HNorrkoping99-91
03/02/25ABC Lulea77-88
24/01/25HUppsala88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayWLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %18%23%13%
Points / game82.679.285.5
Allowed / game93.688.598.1
Point differential-11.1-9.3-12.6
Avg total176.2167.8183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game91.396.186.1
Allowed / game91.390.092.6
Point differential+0.0+6.1-6.5
Avg total182.6186.1178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras2822679%85.875.7+10.1
2 Norrkoping2821775%94.981.6+13.3
3 BC Lulea2819968%88.582.1+6.3
4 Koping Stars28171161%89.887.3+2.5
5 Nassjo29161355%91.391.3+0.0
6 Uppsala28151354%80.681.3-0.7
7 Sodertalje28131546%74.377.6-3.3
8 Jamtland29121741%86.486.3+0.0
9 Hogsbo2852318%82.693.6-11.1
10 Umea281274%75.893.0-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo26213126104
Nassjo2129192998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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