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Nassjo vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 121-80
27-19 27-26 36-16 31-19
Position#5
Record15-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game90.9
Nassjo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#9
Record5-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game91.5
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nassjo v Hogsbo
05 Feb 2027
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
04 Dec 2026
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NASS111
HOGS98
10 Oct 2025
NASS95
HOGS104
13 Mar 2025
NASS121
HOGS80
12 Nov 2024
NASS111
HOGS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 85
H17/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 85
H19/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 85
H24/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
75avg 85
A03/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
99-91
99
91
+8
98avg 85
H07/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
98-95
98
95
+3
106avg 85
A11/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
102-77
102
77
+25
105avg 85
H13/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 85
H28/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
43avg 85
A02/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
99avg 85
A08/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
23-29
16-22
18-22
28-22
29-30
22-23
28-18
28-23
14-20
30-19
16-18
22-21
23-24
14-25
18-18
16-23
30-19
26-24
27-25
26-19
24-28
21-28
27-20
30-24
18-17
27-27
27-9
21-23
18-15
19-24
31-20
15-29
14-20
8-22
18-11
25-17
15-30
28-13
28-18
174.2Avg total
89.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.590.9180.4-1.456%
Season at home (14)94.390.7185.0+3.664%
Season away (13)84.391.2175.5-6.846%
Last 10 (10)89.185.1174.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)88.082.8170.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.395.7178.0-13.317%
vs Similar (13)90.789.6180.3+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)100.085.4185.4+14.6100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 78
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
57avg 78
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 78
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 78
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 78
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 78
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
98-114
98
114
-16
98avg 78
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
59-63
59
63
-4
43avg 78
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 78
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 78
H07/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
13-27
13-29
28-24
15-22
17-15
22-24
23-26
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
22-17
20-15
12-22
17-21
24-21
29-33
21-33
24-27
14-16
16-16
14-17
15-14
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
175.6Avg total
81.4Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.391.5173.8-9.219%
Season at home (13)79.288.5167.8-9.323%
Season away (13)85.394.5179.8-9.215%
Last 10 (10)81.494.2175.6-12.810%
Last 5 (5)78.693.8172.4-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)81.292.6173.8-11.413%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (7)89.480.9170.3+8.657%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
NassjoHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H24/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/03
Basketligan
88.7Avg total
44.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.346.090.3-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.945.791.6+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.746.288.9-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.588.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.647.889.4-6.225%-
vs Similar (13)44.347.291.5-2.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.838.489.2+12.480%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
85.2Avg total
39.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.883.0-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.939.879.6+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.646.486.9-5.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.644.484.0-4.926%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (7)42.337.679.9+4.771%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.9
56.0%
52.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.219.5
80.6%
76.2%19.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.5
49.9%
52.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.1
30.6%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.2%17.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
WLWWWWLWWL
Hogsbo
LLLLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#9
+6.4
Net rating
-15.9
114.5
Offensive rating
100.2
108.0
Defensive rating
116.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.1%
3-point %
30.6%
66.1%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 100.2Defence108.0 · 116.1Shooting55.3% · 48.2%3-point %36.1% · 30.6%Ball care17.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 22.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Nassjo   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nassjo wins
0
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Hogsbo v Nassjo84-104
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AJamtland96-78
02/03/25ABoras55-82
28/02/25HSodertalje89-82
13/02/25HUmea102-77
11/02/25AKoping Stars98-95
07/02/25HNorrkoping99-91
03/02/25ABC Lulea77-88
24/01/25HUppsala88-80
19/01/25HJamtland107-93
17/01/25HBoras80-85
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
04/03/25AUppsala85-110
28/02/25HBoras59-63
15/02/25AJamtland98-114
11/02/25HSodertalje71-75
07/02/25AUmea110-83
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
17/01/25AUmea77-87
09/01/25HNorrkoping73-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%64%46%
Points / game89.594.384.3
Allowed / game90.990.791.2
Point differential-1.4+3.6-6.8
Avg total180.4185.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%21%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %19%23%15%
Points / game82.379.285.3
Allowed / game91.588.594.5
Point differential-9.2-9.3-9.2
Avg total173.8167.8179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras2620677%85.476.1+9.3
2 Norrkoping2619773%93.580.9+12.6
3 BC Lulea2617965%88.382.6+5.7
4 Koping Stars26161062%88.985.7+3.2
5 Nassjo27151256%89.590.9-1.4
6 Uppsala26141254%80.981.4-0.5
7 Sodertalje26131350%74.676.5-2.0
8 Jamtland27111641%86.787.1-0.4
9 Hogsbo2652119%82.391.5-9.2
10 Umea261254%75.893.1-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nassjo27273631121
Hogsbo1926161980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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