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Hogsbo vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 93-75
29-18 25-21 17-12 22-24
Position#9
Record5-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#7
Record12-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game92.2
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v Nassjo
09 Oct 2026
HOGS85
NASS81
06 Feb 2026
HOGS93
NASS75
24 Mar 2025
HOGS104
NASS98
02 Dec 2024
HOGS84
NASS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
67avg 77
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
84avg 77
A06/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
68avg 77
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 77
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 77
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 77
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 77
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
91avg 77
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 77
H03/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
26-20
23-17
10-28
21-22
28-35
24-25
22-25
13-24
11-18
23-26
26-29
15-25
13-26
19-26
35-19
26-22
23-23
16-18
18-19
19-22
23-19
21-25
32-17
28-30
21-35
27-24
22-22
20-23
17-27
12-20
14-24
21-31
23-16
25-28
25-19
10-26
21-20
23-16
22-25
179.1Avg total
84.2Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.992.8177.7-7.923%
Season at home (11)81.889.6171.5-7.827%
Season away (11)88.096.0184.0-8.018%
Last 10 (10)84.294.9179.1-10.720%
Last 5 (5)86.896.2183.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)81.896.9178.6-15.110%
vs Similar ◀ (6)94.394.2188.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (3)88.087.3175.3+0.733%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
107-83
107
83
+24
101avg 86
A13/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
70avg 86
H16/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
74-109
74
109
-35
63avg 86
A19/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
91-114
91
114
-23
90avg 86
A27/12
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
111-98
111
98
+13
110avg 86
H09/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A16/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 86
H23/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
80avg 86
H26/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 86
H30/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
120-108 OT
120
108
+12
114avg 86
H03/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-14
35-28
27-21
14-21
21-19
21-24
17-24
26-31
18-26
17-28
13-24
25-33
19-28
20-24
27-29
30-28
35-21
24-27
22-22
20-20
19-20
27-26
18-23
34-27
28-22
19-24
21-25
20-22
31-20
13-19
23-27
20-29
22-23
19-16
18-15
29-24
13-23
19-30
44-28
188.6Avg total
92.8Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.392.2181.5-3.050%
Season at home (13)93.591.6185.2+1.962%
Season away (11)84.393.0177.3-8.736%
Last 10 (10)92.895.8188.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)94.493.2187.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)83.794.8178.5-11.140%
vs Similar ◀ (5)95.694.4190.0+1.260%
vs Weaker (5)104.090.2194.2+13.880%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
HogsboNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
Basketligan
88.0Avg total
39.5Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.448.490.7-6.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.745.284.9-5.527%-
Last 30 away (15)45.151.596.6-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)39.548.588.0-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.890.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)41.349.390.6-8.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)47.746.093.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (3)39.046.785.7-7.70%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A19/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A27/12
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H09/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H23/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H26/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H30/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H03/02
Basketligan
94.0Avg total
46.9Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.546.891.3-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.246.995.1+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.446.686.9-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)46.947.194.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.093.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)42.248.090.2-5.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)50.847.298.0+3.640%-
vs Weaker (5)47.641.288.8+6.460%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.2
50.7%
54.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.1%
35.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.6
78.5%
74.6%18.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.523.0
59.7%
54.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.3
37.5%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.218.2
75.2%
74.6%18.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLWWLLLL
Nassjo
WLLWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#7
-11.5
Net rating
-2.8
105.2
Offensive rating
110.8
116.7
Defensive rating
113.5
50.9%
Effective FG%
58.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.1%
3-point %
37.5%
61.4%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 110.8Defence116.7 · 113.5Shooting50.9% · 58.4%3-point %34.1% · 37.5%Ball care14.3% · 13.4%Off. rebounds24.2% · 21.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo wins
4
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26Nassjo v Hogsbo111-98
10/10/25Nassjo v Hogsbo95-104
24/03/25Hogsbo v Nassjo104-98
13/03/25Nassjo v Hogsbo121-80
02/12/24Hogsbo v Nassjo84-104
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HNorrkoping76-87
23/01/26ASloga Uppsala102-106 OT
17/01/26HNorrkoping63-94
09/01/26ANassjo98-111
05/01/26HKoping Stars95-83
30/12/25AUppsala83-82
27/12/25HBoras82-96
08/12/25ABC Lulea73-97
06/12/25AJamtland95-107
22/11/25HSodertalje75-86
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HUmea120-108 OT
30/01/26HSodertalje79-83
26/01/26HJamtland87-88
23/01/26HKoping Stars102-98
16/01/26AKoping Stars84-89
09/01/26HHogsbo111-98
27/12/25AJamtland91-114
19/12/25ABC Lulea74-109
16/12/25HSodertalje73-88
13/12/25ASloga Uppsala107-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game84.981.888.0
Allowed / game92.889.696.0
Point differential-7.9-7.8-8.0
Avg total177.7171.5184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game89.393.584.3
Allowed / game92.291.693.0
Point differential-3.0+1.9-8.7
Avg total181.5185.2177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping2418675%94.281.8+12.4
2 Jamtland2417771%98.191.3+6.8
3 BC Lulea2316770%91.082.3+8.8
4 Boras2316770%92.884.2+8.7
5 Sodertalje2415962%80.878.3+2.5
6 Uppsala24121250%85.083.6+1.5
7 Nassjo24121250%89.392.2-3.0
8 Koping Stars2481633%86.593.2-6.7
9 Sloga Uppsala2461825%78.891.0-12.1
10 Hogsbo2251723%84.992.8-7.9
11 Umea2451921%80.091.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2925172293
Nassjo1821122475
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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