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Hogsbo W vs AIK Basket W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.3/10
🧊 Cold
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game84.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 11· Gothia Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W
20 Dec 2026
HOGS v AIK
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
HOGS75
AIK 97
15 Mar 2025
HOGS101
AIK 82
27 Jan 2024
HOGS87
AIK 64
01 Apr 2017
HOGS70
AIK 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 64
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 64
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 64
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 64
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 64
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
47avg 64
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
50avg 64
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
43-108
43
108
-65
20avg 64
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
18-16
8-31
23-19
18-12
16-19
13-28
18-13
17-16
11-23
18-25
19-21
18-25
13-32
11-28
4-18
15-30
16-15
17-15
14-20
25-17
154.4Avg total
68.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.386.2146.5-25.817%
Season at home (3)68.379.7148.0-11.333%
Season away (3)52.392.7145.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 5 (5)62.484.6147.0-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.787.6154.3-20.929%
vs Similar (9)79.080.8159.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.8153.1+19.686%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 61
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 61
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 61
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 61
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
56avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
43avg 61
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
64avg 61
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
59-89
59
89
-30
40avg 61
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
66-97
66
97
-31
59avg 61
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
17-22
16-20
18-31
15-24
16-25
11-22
13-20
16-22
144.3Avg total
65.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.084.2148.2-20.217%
Season at home (3)64.383.0147.3-18.733%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)65.079.3144.3-14.330%
Last 5 (5)61.683.6145.2-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.285.2150.4-20.010%
vs Similar (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.168.8147.9+10.373%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.2-4.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.2-4.2
Hogsbo WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H07/11
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
30.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.575.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.076.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.975.2-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.274.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.246.474.6-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.977.7-16.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.033.175.1+8.986%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.1Avg total
31.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.575.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.237.173.2-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.078.1+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.571.1-7.90%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.041.175.1-7.130%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.033.174.1+7.964%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
46.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
30.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.3
44.5%
46.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.4
28.2%
30.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLLLW
AIK Basket W
LLLWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#9
-13.8
Net rating
-4.3
74.5
Offensive rating
77.8
88.3
Defensive rating
82.0
41.6%
Effective FG%
43.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.0%
3-point %
28.2%
63.9%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence74.5 · 77.8Defence88.3 · 82.0Shooting41.6% · 43.7%3-point %26.0% · 28.2%Ball care20.4% · 19.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo W wins
4
AIK Basket W wins
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrahe W72-67
30/10/26ALulea W43-108
24/10/26HVisby W66-94
18/10/26ANorrkoping W64-76
10/10/26HAlvik W67-78
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HLulea W56-89
31/10/26HOstersund W66-97
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.368.352.3
Allowed / game86.279.792.7
Point differential-25.8-11.3-40.3
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game64.064.363.7
Allowed / game84.283.085.3
Point differential-20.2-18.7-21.7
Avg total148.2147.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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