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Hokkaido vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 95-93
24-25 22-27 29-17 20-24
Position#9
Record11-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#12
Record6-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.3
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hokkaido v Saga
12 Nov 2025
HOKK95
SAGA93
03 Mar 2024
HOKK72
SAGA87
02 Mar 2024
HOKK52
SAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
74-91
74
91
-17
54avg 71
H18/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
90-74
90
74
+16
83avg 71
H19/10
B League
Sendai
#11
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 71
H25/10
B League
Sendai
#11
W
97-95
97
95
+2
94avg 71
H26/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
84-58
84
58
+26
80avg 71
A29/10
B League
Osaka
#17
L
69-84
69
84
-15
50avg 71
A01/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 71
A02/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 71
A05/11
B League
Shiga
#18
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 71
H08/11
B League
Shiga
#18
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 71
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
14-27
21-25
14-16
23-19
16-15
22-26
29-14
23-23
18-27
25-15
21-20
23-24
23-25
17-26
34-20
18-13
27-25
22-4
17-16
18-18
19-19
17-18
15-29
30-18
23-14
24-22
25-28
19-21
24-25
11-21
30-11
23-19
30-17
19-25
23-22
19-28
28-17
30-28
31-26
171.9Avg total
89.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.182.9168.9+3.273%
Season at home (6)91.887.8179.7+4.083%
Season away (9)82.279.6161.8+2.767%
Last 10 (10)89.082.9171.9+6.180%
Last 5 (5)91.685.2176.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.986.4158.3-14.614%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.981.8165.7+2.153%
vs Weaker (8)85.179.4164.5+5.875%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-114
92
114
-22
91avg 71
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
65avg 71
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 71
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-73
76
73
+3
76avg 71
H26/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 71
A29/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-92
67
92
-25
60avg 71
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 71
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 71
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 71
H08/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
81-83
81
83
-2
75avg 71
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-38
27-22
20-29
25-25
19-15
18-31
22-23
20-22
17-25
23-26
20-20
18-23
20-19
22-29
23-16
11-9
20-15
25-20
27-27
13-11
21-26
18-24
15-21
13-21
27-18
17-16
18-23
10-24
20-27
17-25
24-15
16-16
17-24
17-28
26-13
27-17
20-16
19-27
23-20
19-20
166.0Avg total
79.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.784.3165.0-3.740%
Season at home (9)80.883.0163.8-2.244%
Season away (6)80.586.3166.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)79.486.6166.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)76.884.2161.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.981.3154.2-8.418%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.183.9170.0+2.258%
vs Weaker (7)83.180.7163.9+2.471%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
HokkaidoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H18/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H25/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H26/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/10
B League
Osaka
#17
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A01/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A02/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/11
B League
Shiga
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H08/11
B League
Shiga
#18
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H09/11
B League
86.0Avg total
44.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.682.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.943.485.3-1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)40.340.380.6+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.786.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.285.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.142.680.7-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.742.283.9-0.540%-
vs Weaker (8)42.139.881.9+2.475%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A29/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H08/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/11
B League
87.5Avg total
40.4Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.984.4-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.942.885.7+0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)39.642.982.5-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)40.447.187.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.646.284.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.940.079.9-0.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.644.186.7-1.542%-
vs Weaker (7)42.445.387.7-2.929%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.3
54.4%
53.1%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
73.1%14.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.3
30.5%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
73.1%14.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
WWWWLWWWWL
Saga
LWLLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#12
+8.4
Net rating
-8.4
117.9
Offensive rating
108.9
109.5
Defensive rating
117.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
30.5%
57.0%
Assist %
78.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 108.9Defence109.5 · 117.2Shooting54.4% · 50.9%3-point %36.3% · 30.5%Ball care15.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hokkaido wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
13/04/25Saga v Hokkaido89-73
12/04/25Saga v Hokkaido78-98
03/03/24Hokkaido v Saga72-87
02/03/24Hokkaido v Saga52-81
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HShiga108-99
08/11/25HShiga95-83
05/11/25AIbaraki Robots84-78
02/11/25AOsaka102-82
01/11/25AOsaka69-84
29/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya84-58
26/10/25HSendai97-95
25/10/25HSendai87-85
19/10/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles90-74
18/10/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-91
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HOsaka81-83
08/11/25HOsaka87-82
05/11/25HShiga77-83
02/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa72-81
01/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa67-92
29/10/25ANeoPhoenix85-73
26/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas76-73
25/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-94
19/10/25AHiroshima D.79-91
18/10/25AHiroshima D.92-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %73%83%67%
Points / game86.191.882.2
Allowed / game82.987.879.6
Point differential+3.2+4.0+2.7
Avg total168.9179.7161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%44%33%
Points / game80.780.880.5
Allowed / game84.383.086.3
Point differential-3.7-2.2-5.8
Avg total165.0163.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba1514193%84.272.3+11.9
2 Nagasaki1513287%92.878.1+14.7
3 Diamond Dolphins1513287%86.072.2+13.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex1512380%85.177.9+7.2
5 Hokkaido1511473%86.182.9+3.2
6 Ryukyu159660%82.975.9+7.0
7 Gunma159660%81.375.2+6.1
8 SeaHorses Mikawa159660%84.579.3+5.3
9 Hiroshima D.159660%88.183.8+4.3
10 Shimane159660%81.179.3+1.8
11 Alvark159660%79.578.7+0.8
12 Shiga158753%81.381.9-0.7
13 NeoPhoenix157847%79.379.1+0.3
14 Sendai157847%79.381.8-2.5
15 Osaka156940%81.983.2-1.3
16 Altiri Chiba156940%80.783.9-3.3
17 Koshigaya Alphas156940%70.774.4-3.7
18 Saga156940%80.784.3-3.7
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya156940%75.381.6-6.3
20 Yokohama1551033%80.384.5-4.3
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1551033%79.183.7-4.6
22 Kyoto1551033%74.079.0-5.0
23 Toyama1551033%82.289.6-7.4
24 Ibaraki Robots1521313%74.481.5-7.1
25 Brave Thunders1521313%75.586.7-11.1
26 Akita1521313%68.383.8-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido2422292095
Saga2527172493
← all games of the day
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