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Hiroshima D. vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 114-92
38-20 22-27 29-20 25-25
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.8
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Saga
03 Feb 2027
HIRO v SAGA
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
HIRO91
SAGA79
18 Oct 2025
HIRO114
SAGA92
13 Oct 2024
HIRO81
SAGA90
12 Oct 2024
HIRO64
SAGA81
08 Nov 2023
HIRO80
SAGA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
83-103
83
103
-20
67avg 74
A23/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
101-97
101
97
+4
100avg 74
A26/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 74
A27/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 74
H03/05
B League
Shimane
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
82avg 74
H04/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-83
91
83
+8
91avg 74
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
114-88
114
88
+26
116avg 74
A05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 74
H11/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
97-98
97
98
-1
94avg 74
H12/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
82-57
82
57
+25
78avg 74
A15/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
23-21
21-32
25-25
17-23
30-22
27-23
27-29
18-22
17-25
26-25
19-23
17-29
24-31
19-16
31-18
21-14
26-21
17-23
24-11
24-16
19-17
17-25
31-25
27-31
26-18
28-15
33-24
25-18
19-19
17-28
12-29
38-15
29-26
20-29
10-28
18-12
22-21
20-15
22-9
177.8Avg total
90.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.484.0175.4+7.460%
Season at home (2)85.096.0181.0-11.00%
Season away (3)95.776.0171.7+19.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.087.8177.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)91.484.0175.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.784.2163.9-4.520%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.185.4165.6-5.343%
vs Weaker (13)90.581.1171.5+9.485%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 70
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
92avg 70
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
109avg 70
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 70
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 70
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
88avg 70
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
101avg 70
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 70
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 70
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 70
A15/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
21-24
20-14
24-14
15-14
30-15
30-23
15-27
28-26
25-28
19-9
34-19
21-27
20-25
14-13
16-22
23-14
18-21
20-18
15-32
17-24
32-14
26-14
17-16
28-20
23-25
19-23
27-23
21-15
16-28
15-19
15-14
16-22
20-19
17-20
20-24
19-24
27-13
26-28
15-14
163.7Avg total
83.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Season at home (2)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)75.780.0155.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)83.780.0163.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.282.4156.6-8.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.782.5168.2+3.260%
vs Weaker (5)90.876.0166.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Hiroshima D.Saga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H03/05
B League
Shimane
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H12/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/10
B League
88.0Avg total
45.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.841.985.7+1.950%-
Last 30 away (12)41.141.582.6-0.442%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.688.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.688.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.245.285.4-5.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.338.783.0+5.657%-
vs Weaker (13)43.840.784.5+3.269%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/10
B League
84.7Avg total
43.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.384.7+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.587.9+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.181.1-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.484.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.541.681.1-2.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.144.388.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)47.840.688.4+7.260%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.8
53.6%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.3
37.4%
33.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.3
74.1%
73.1%14.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.6
57.6%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.9
32.2%
33.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
73.1%12.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WLLWWWLLWL
Saga
WLLWWLLWWW
#13
League position
#12
+2.4
Net rating
+4.6
117.0
Offensive rating
109.3
114.6
Defensive rating
104.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.4%
3-point %
32.2%
71.7%
Assist %
77.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 109.3Defence114.6 · 104.7Shooting54.8% · 52.8%3-point %37.4% · 32.2%Ball care13.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hiroshima D. wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.91-95
13/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga81-90
12/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga64-81
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25AKyoto82-57
12/10/25HHokkaido97-98
11/10/25HHokkaido73-94
05/10/25ABrave Thunders114-88
04/10/25ABrave Thunders91-83
04/05/25HShimane88-69
03/05/25HShimane91-94
27/04/25AShiga80-95
26/04/25AShiga101-97
23/04/25ARyukyu83-103
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25AShimane87-79
11/10/25ANagasaki73-85
10/10/25ANagasaki67-76
05/10/25HShiga97-91
04/10/25HShiga92-68
04/05/25ARyukyu76-85
03/05/25ARyukyu71-87
27/04/25HOsaka106-82
26/04/25HOsaka90-79
23/04/25ANagasaki78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%0%100%
Points / game91.485.095.7
Allowed / game84.096.076.0
Point differential+7.4-11.0+19.7
Avg total175.4181.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game83.294.575.7
Allowed / game79.879.580.0
Point differential+3.4+15.0-4.3
Avg total163.0174.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba550100%88.875.6+13.2
2 Nagasaki54180%92.877.4+15.4
3 Utsunomiya Brex54180%83.871.6+12.2
4 Diamond Dolphins54180%79.868.4+11.4
5 Sun Rockers Shibuya54180%80.676.8+3.8
6 Hiroshima D.53260%91.484.0+7.4
7 Gunma53260%80.073.8+6.2
8 NeoPhoenix53260%85.281.2+4.0
9 Saga53260%83.279.8+3.4
10 Shiga53260%83.082.0+1.0
11 Hokkaido53260%80.282.8-2.6
12 Sendai53260%74.077.0-3.0
13 Altiri Chiba53260%79.284.2-5.0
14 Ryukyu52340%80.278.4+1.8
15 SeaHorses Mikawa52340%82.081.6+0.4
16 Shimane52340%83.283.2+0.0
17 Osaka52340%78.681.8-3.2
18 Yokohama52340%77.080.6-3.6
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52340%81.886.0-4.2
20 Toyama52340%80.689.0-8.4
21 Brave Thunders51420%83.485.4-2.0
22 Ibaraki Robots51420%72.279.0-6.8
23 Alvark51420%70.077.4-7.4
24 Kyoto51420%75.485.4-10.0
25 Akita51420%73.684.0-10.4
26 Koshigaya Alphas51420%66.880.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.38222925114
Saga2027202592
← all games of the day
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