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Hokkaido vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 72-87
16-19 25-19 21-27 10-22
Position#20
Record12-28
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record20-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale (Hokkaido)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hokkaido v Saga
12 Nov 2025
HOKK95
SAGA93
03 Mar 2024
HOKK72
SAGA87
02 Mar 2024
HOKK52
SAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
80avg 66
A21/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 66
H27/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
90-56
90
56
+34
86avg 66
H28/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
82-94
82
94
-12
81avg 66
H31/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 66
A03/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
89-83
89
83
+6
85avg 66
A04/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
58-77
58
77
-19
52avg 66
A07/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 66
A10/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 66
A11/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
52-81
52
81
-29
40avg 66
H02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
19-22
27-22
23-31
22-21
14-18
21-20
16-20
24-16
20-18
21-11
25-11
17-13
21-23
28-32
16-26
17-16
20-8
18-27
25-22
24-21
25-14
19-23
21-25
13-28
18-13
16-20
11-16
20-24
17-23
18-19
29-28
13-23
27-16
16-24
17-17
8-27
13-13
14-20
17-21
156.9Avg total
76.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)74.580.5155.0-5.930%
Season at home (18)76.681.2157.8-4.728%
Season away (22)72.979.9152.8-7.032%
Last 10 (10)76.380.6156.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)71.283.0154.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.483.2154.6-11.814%
vs Similar (7)80.372.4152.7+7.971%
vs Weaker (2)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 67
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 67
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 67
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 67
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 67
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 67
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 67
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 67
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 67
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
76avg 67
A02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
24-30
24-18
13-14
12-18
27-8
13-13
20-14
21-17
146.1Avg total
70.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)74.974.8149.7+0.150%
Season at home (22)74.076.5150.5-2.645%
Season away (18)76.172.6148.7+3.556%
Last 10 (10)70.176.0146.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)73.872.6146.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar (12)73.478.1151.5-4.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.563.2145.7+19.4100%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -5.3-5.3
HokkaidoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A03/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A04/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H02/03
B League
73.6Avg total
36.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.775.7-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.440.678.0-3.223%-
Last 30 away (17)36.737.273.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.173.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.476.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.439.975.3-4.429%-
vs Similar (7)39.734.974.6+4.957%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A02/03
B League
76.6Avg total
38.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.1+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.136.477.6+4.757%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.776.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar (12)39.438.077.4+1.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.932.176.0+11.891%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.6
48.3%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.310.7
80.5%
72.0%10.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.6
50.1%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.89.1
61.5%
72.0%9.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLLLWWLWLL
Saga
WLLWLLLLLW
#20
League position
#15
-6.2
Net rating
-8.0
103.6
Offensive rating
98.7
109.7
Defensive rating
106.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.8%
3-point %
33.3%
60.1%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 98.7Defence109.7 · 106.6Shooting50.5% · 50.1%3-point %35.8% · 33.3%Ball care15.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds23.5% · 21.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hokkaido wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Hokkaido v Saga52-81
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HSaga52-81
11/02/24ARyukyu73-80
10/02/24ARyukyu84-94
07/02/24AChiba58-77
04/02/24AYokohama89-83
03/02/24AYokohama80-73
31/01/24HGunma82-94
28/01/24HShinshu90-56
27/01/24HShinshu73-79
21/01/24AChiba82-89
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AHokkaido81-52
11/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL28%
AwayWWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401822
Win %30%28%32%
Points / game74.576.672.9
Allowed / game80.581.279.9
Point differential-5.9-4.7-7.0
Avg total155.0157.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %50%45%56%
Points / game74.974.076.1
Allowed / game74.876.572.6
Point differential+0.1-2.6+3.5
Avg total149.7150.5148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%18%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4134783%90.278.5+11.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4134783%79.168.1+11.0
3 Alvark4133880%81.969.1+12.8
4 Ryukyu41291271%81.677.0+4.6
5 Diamond Dolphins41281368%82.378.1+4.2
6 Chiba41271466%85.781.7+4.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane41231856%83.378.7+4.7
9 Gunma41231856%79.080.2-1.2
10 Brave Thunders40221855%80.577.1+3.4
11 Hiroshima D.41212051%78.774.3+4.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya41212051%75.574.6+1.0
13 Akita41212051%74.074.5-0.5
14 Saga40202050%74.974.8+0.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41202149%73.574.8-1.3
16 Sendai41182344%78.979.7-0.8
17 Yokohama40172342%76.782.2-5.5
18 Nagasaki41162539%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Kyoto41132832%77.684.3-6.7
21 Hokkaido40122830%74.580.5-5.9
22 Ibaraki Robots4173417%73.785.1-11.4
23 Shinshu4163515%70.583.8-13.2
24 Toyama4143710%74.085.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido1625211072
Saga1919272287
← all games of the day
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