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Hiroshima D. vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 91-79
15-19 31-18 23-22 22-20
Position#13
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.5
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Saga
03 Feb 2027
HIRO v SAGA
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
HIRO91
SAGA79
18 Oct 2025
HIRO114
SAGA92
13 Oct 2024
HIRO81
SAGA90
12 Oct 2024
HIRO64
SAGA81
08 Nov 2023
HIRO80
SAGA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
101-97
101
97
+4
100avg 75
A26/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 75
A27/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 75
H03/05
B League
Shimane
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
82avg 75
H04/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-83
91
83
+8
91avg 75
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
114-88
114
88
+26
116avg 75
A05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 75
H11/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
97-98
97
98
-1
94avg 75
H12/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
82-57
82
57
+25
78avg 75
A15/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
114-92
114
92
+22
120avg 75
H18/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
30-22
27-23
27-29
18-22
17-25
26-25
19-23
17-29
24-31
19-16
31-18
21-14
26-21
17-23
24-11
24-16
19-17
17-25
31-25
27-31
26-18
28-15
33-24
25-18
19-19
17-28
12-29
38-15
29-26
20-29
10-28
18-12
22-21
20-15
22-9
38-20
22-27
29-20
25-25
179.8Avg total
93.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.285.3180.5+9.867%
Season at home (3)94.794.7189.3+0.033%
Season away (3)95.776.0171.7+19.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.186.7179.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)96.085.8181.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.784.2163.9-4.520%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.486.2170.6-1.950%
vs Weaker (12)90.382.3172.7+8.083%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
92avg 70
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
109avg 70
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 70
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 70
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
88avg 70
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
101avg 70
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 70
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 70
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 70
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-114
92
114
-22
91avg 70
A18/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
30-15
30-23
15-27
28-26
25-28
19-9
34-19
21-27
20-25
14-13
16-22
23-14
18-21
20-18
15-32
17-24
32-14
26-14
17-16
28-20
23-25
19-23
27-23
21-15
16-28
15-19
15-14
16-22
20-19
17-20
20-24
19-24
27-13
26-28
15-14
20-38
27-22
20-29
25-25
169.7Avg total
85.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.785.5170.2-0.850%
Season at home (2)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)79.888.5168.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)85.184.6169.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.289.0172.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.681.5155.1-7.921%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.385.4171.6+0.955%
vs Weaker (5)90.876.0166.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
Hiroshima D.Saga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H03/05
B League
Shimane
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H12/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H18/10
B League
90.4Avg total
47.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.285.3+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.742.286.8+2.553%-
Last 30 away (11)40.542.382.7-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)47.742.790.4+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)52.841.494.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.245.285.4-5.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.239.886.0+6.562%-
vs Weaker (12)43.541.384.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/10
B League
88.0Avg total
44.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.685.1+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.741.887.5+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.382.8-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.488.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.288.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.340.880.1-1.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.445.790.1-1.445%-
vs Weaker (5)47.840.688.4+7.260%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.7%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.6
38.8%
33.7%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
73.1%14.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.7
59.0%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.1
32.6%
33.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
73.1%13.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WWLLWWWLLW
Saga
LWLLWWLLWW
#13
League position
#12
+8.5
Net rating
+0.4
121.8
Offensive rating
110.8
113.3
Defensive rating
110.4
57.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.8%
3-point %
32.6%
74.5%
Assist %
81.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.8 · 110.8Defence113.3 · 110.4Shooting57.4% · 53.7%3-point %38.8% · 32.6%Ball care13.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Hiroshima D. wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Hiroshima D. v Saga114-92
15/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.91-95
13/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga81-90
12/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga64-81
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HSaga114-92
15/10/25AKyoto82-57
12/10/25HHokkaido97-98
11/10/25HHokkaido73-94
05/10/25ABrave Thunders114-88
04/10/25ABrave Thunders91-83
04/05/25HShimane88-69
03/05/25HShimane91-94
27/04/25AShiga80-95
26/04/25AShiga101-97
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AHiroshima D.92-114
15/10/25AShimane87-79
11/10/25ANagasaki73-85
10/10/25ANagasaki67-76
05/10/25HShiga97-91
04/10/25HShiga92-68
04/05/25ARyukyu76-85
03/05/25ARyukyu71-87
27/04/25HOsaka106-82
26/04/25HOsaka90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game95.294.795.7
Allowed / game85.394.776.0
Point differential+9.8+0.0+19.7
Avg total180.5189.3171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game84.794.579.8
Allowed / game85.579.588.5
Point differential-0.8+15.0-8.8
Avg total170.2174.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba660100%87.376.2+11.2
2 Nagasaki65183%91.577.2+14.3
3 Diamond Dolphins65183%80.869.0+11.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex65183%84.873.3+11.5
5 Hiroshima D.64267%95.285.3+9.8
6 Sun Rockers Shibuya64267%79.878.2+1.7
7 Shiga64267%81.080.0+1.0
8 Sendai64267%75.377.3-2.0
9 Ryukyu63350%83.576.8+6.7
10 Gunma63350%79.874.8+5.0
11 NeoPhoenix63350%84.281.3+2.8
12 Shimane63350%82.880.3+2.5
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles63350%83.384.0-0.7
14 Saga63350%84.785.5-0.8
15 Altiri Chiba63350%81.886.7-4.8
16 Hokkaido63350%79.284.2-5.0
17 Toyama63350%83.790.0-6.3
18 SeaHorses Mikawa62433%82.083.0-1.0
19 Osaka62433%77.280.0-2.8
20 Alvark62433%71.875.8-4.0
21 Yokohama62433%75.280.7-5.5
22 Koshigaya Alphas62433%66.377.3-11.0
23 Brave Thunders61517%81.585.5-4.0
24 Ibaraki Robots61517%71.579.3-7.8
25 Kyoto61517%73.281.8-8.7
26 Akita61517%72.886.7-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.1531232291
Saga1918222079
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