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Saga vs Hokkaido Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 89-73
22-19 24-18 19-20 24-16
Position#18
Record17-34
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game79.3
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#19
Record19-32
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game79.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Hokkaido
08 Apr 2026
SAGA79
HOKK76
13 Apr 2025
SAGA89
HOKK73
12 Apr 2025
SAGA78
HOKK98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
103-65
103
65
+38
105avg 67
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 67
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 67
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 67
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 67
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 67
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 67
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 67
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 67
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 67
H12/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
35-13
19-12
23-16
14-18
18-30
18-19
19-20
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
163.5Avg total
82.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)75.679.3154.9-3.633%
Season at home (25)78.082.4160.4-4.420%
Season away (26)73.476.3149.7-2.946%
Last 10 (10)82.980.6163.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)81.683.4165.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.884.8157.5-12.015%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.984.0159.9-8.110%
vs Weaker (7)84.669.7154.3+14.9100%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 68
A19/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
56avg 68
H22/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
61-81
61
81
-20
52avg 68
H23/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 68
H26/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 68
A29/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
97-73
97
73
+24
94avg 68
A30/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 68
H05/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
54avg 68
H06/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 68
A09/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
98avg 68
A12/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
22-20
20-26
22-8
19-18
12-24
21-18
16-16
15-17
10-23
22-19
14-22
24-22
20-16
20-19
32-35
24-23
25-22
12-23
14-14
23-18
22-14
29-21
23-20
19-25
20-22
17-23
12-23
9-16
16-15
15-17
24-24
22-21
16-15
22-18
16-26
24-22
28-16
31-27
15-13
159.1Avg total
79.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)75.679.4155.0-3.837%
Season at home (25)76.279.2155.4-3.140%
Season away (26)75.179.5154.6-4.535%
Last 10 (10)79.180.0159.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)80.679.2159.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)72.781.6154.3-8.919%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.674.0156.6+8.671%
vs Weaker (2)102.075.5177.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
SagaHokkaido
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
84.8Avg total
42.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.581.7-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.642.784.2-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.278.8-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.284.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.479.6-3.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.743.384.0-2.640%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.382.3+3.729%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H23/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A29/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A30/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H05/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H06/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A12/04
B League
78.2Avg total
39.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.378.0-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.841.277.1-5.419%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.379.1+0.564%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.878.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.841.276.0-6.519%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.337.679.9+4.786%-
vs Weaker (2)52.040.592.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.6
51.1%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.913.8
66.0%
72.7%13.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.5
48.3%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.1
38.4%
33.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws13.29.8
74.2%
72.7%9.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWWLWWLW
Hokkaido
WLLLWLWLLW
#18
League position
#19
+3.9
Net rating
-1.2
111.2
Offensive rating
108.1
107.3
Defensive rating
109.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.0%
3-point %
38.4%
62.6%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 108.1Defence107.3 · 109.3Shooting51.0% · 52.5%3-point %34.0% · 38.4%Ball care13.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 23.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Hokkaido
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saga wins
1
Hokkaido wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Saga v Hokkaido78-98
03/03/24Hokkaido v Saga72-87
02/03/24Hokkaido v Saga52-81
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
22/03/25AYokohama69-87
19/03/25HShiga103-65
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ASaga98-78
09/04/25AIbaraki Robots76-80
06/04/25HRyukyu64-72
05/04/25HRyukyu68-93
30/03/25AKoshigaya Alphas97-73
29/03/25AKoshigaya Alphas75-82
26/03/25HGunma96-92
23/03/25HDiamond Dolphins61-81
22/03/25HDiamond Dolphins68-76
19/03/25ASendai88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL33%
HomeWLWLL20%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %33%20%46%
Points / game75.678.073.4
Allowed / game79.382.476.3
Point differential-3.6-4.4-2.9
Avg total154.9160.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%16%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hokkaido
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW37%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayWLWLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %37%40%35%
Points / game75.676.275.1
Allowed / game79.479.279.5
Point differential-3.8-3.1-4.5
Avg total155.0155.4154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)80% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix5043786%92.479.4+13.0
2 Utsunomiya Brex5142982%85.575.8+9.7
3 Ryukyu52391375%84.976.2+8.6
4 Alvark51361571%76.471.6+4.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa51331865%81.475.3+6.1
6 Gunma51331865%77.672.3+5.3
7 Chiba51331865%81.977.4+4.6
8 Shimane52331963%80.274.5+5.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya51282355%74.371.2+3.1
10 Diamond Dolphins51282355%81.780.9+0.8
11 Osaka51272453%82.782.8-0.1
12 Kyoto51262551%81.980.5+1.5
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles51252649%77.979.1-1.1
14 Akita51242747%73.274.5-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.51242747%79.382.3-3.1
16 Nagasaki51232845%76.078.0-2.0
17 Yokohama51232845%76.278.7-2.5
18 Hokkaido51193237%75.679.4-3.8
19 Saga51173433%75.679.3-3.6
20 Koshigaya Alphas51163531%76.180.6-4.5
21 Brave Thunders52153729%78.586.9-8.3
22 Ibaraki Robots51104120%72.580.8-8.2
23 Sendai5294317%72.583.5-11.1
24 Shiga5074314%77.090.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2224192489
Hokkaido1918201673
← all games of the day
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