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Saga vs Hokkaido Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 78-98
22-24 16-28 27-31 13-15
Position#18
Record17-33
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#19
Record18-32
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game79.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Hokkaido
08 Apr 2026
SAGA79
HOKK76
13 Apr 2025
SAGA89
HOKK73
12 Apr 2025
SAGA78
HOKK98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hokkaido winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 67
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
103-65
103
65
+38
105avg 67
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 67
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 67
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 67
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 67
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 67
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 67
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 67
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 67
H09/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
25-17
10-21
17-23
26-24
35-13
19-12
23-16
14-18
18-30
18-19
19-20
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
161.5Avg total
82.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)75.678.9154.5-3.334%
Season at home (24)78.081.7159.7-3.721%
Season away (26)73.476.3149.7-2.946%
Last 10 (10)82.279.3161.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)79.880.2160.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.884.8157.5-12.015%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.582.1157.6-6.610%
vs Weaker (7)84.669.7154.3+14.9100%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 67
H12/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 67
A19/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
56avg 67
H22/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
61-81
61
81
-20
52avg 67
H23/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 67
H26/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 67
A29/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
97-73
97
73
+24
94avg 67
A30/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 67
H05/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
54avg 67
H06/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 67
A09/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
29-19
36-20
22-16
24-19
22-20
20-26
22-8
19-18
12-24
21-18
16-16
15-17
10-23
22-19
14-22
24-22
20-16
20-19
32-35
24-23
25-22
12-23
14-14
23-18
22-14
29-21
23-20
19-25
20-22
17-23
12-23
9-16
16-15
15-17
24-24
22-21
16-15
22-18
16-26
160.9Avg total
80.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)75.279.4154.6-4.336%
Season at home (25)76.279.2155.4-3.140%
Season away (25)74.279.6153.8-5.432%
Last 10 (10)80.980.0160.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.080.0156.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)72.781.6154.3-8.919%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.674.7155.3+5.971%
vs Weaker (2)102.075.5177.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
SagaHokkaido
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
84.3Avg total
43.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.8-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.142.484.5-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.278.8-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.184.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.481.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.479.6-3.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.642.884.4-1.240%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.382.3+3.729%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H12/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H23/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A29/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A30/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H05/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H06/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/04
B League
79.2Avg total
40.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.777.8-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.841.277.1-5.419%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.078.6-1.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.841.276.0-6.519%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.939.078.9+0.971%-
vs Weaker (2)52.040.592.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.8
51.7%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.0
32.4%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.612.8
65.3%
72.7%12.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.4
50.0%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.1
39.4%
33.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws13.410.0
74.6%
72.7%10.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWWLWWLWL
Hokkaido
LLLWLWLLWW
#18
League position
#19
+4.2
Net rating
+1.8
110.6
Offensive rating
110.7
106.4
Defensive rating
109.0
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.4%
3-point %
39.4%
61.1%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 110.7Defence106.4 · 109.0Shooting50.4% · 53.9%3-point %32.4% · 39.4%Ball care13.3% · 13.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Hokkaido
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saga wins
0
Hokkaido wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Hokkaido v Saga72-87
02/03/24Hokkaido v Saga52-81
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
22/03/25AYokohama69-87
19/03/25HShiga103-65
12/03/25AChiba71-85
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25AIbaraki Robots76-80
06/04/25HRyukyu64-72
05/04/25HRyukyu68-93
30/03/25AKoshigaya Alphas97-73
29/03/25AKoshigaya Alphas75-82
26/03/25HGunma96-92
23/03/25HDiamond Dolphins61-81
22/03/25HDiamond Dolphins68-76
19/03/25ASendai88-73
12/03/25HShiga116-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL34%
HomeWWLWL21%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %34%21%46%
Points / game75.678.073.4
Allowed / game78.981.776.3
Point differential-3.3-3.7-2.9
Avg total154.5159.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hokkaido
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLWLWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %36%40%32%
Points / game75.276.274.2
Allowed / game79.479.279.6
Point differential-4.3-3.1-5.4
Avg total154.6155.4153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%8%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)80% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4942786%92.679.4+13.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex5041982%85.275.6+9.7
3 Ryukyu51381375%85.076.4+8.7
4 Alvark50361472%76.671.7+4.9
5 SeaHorses Mikawa50331766%81.375.0+6.3
6 Gunma50331766%77.672.1+5.5
7 Chiba50331766%82.277.5+4.7
8 Shimane51321963%80.174.6+5.5
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya50272354%74.371.2+3.1
10 Diamond Dolphins50272354%81.681.0+0.5
11 Kyoto50262452%81.880.1+1.7
12 Osaka50262452%83.083.1-0.1
13 Akita50242648%73.674.4-0.9
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50242648%77.879.3-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.50232746%79.282.5-3.3
16 Nagasaki50222844%75.777.8-2.1
17 Yokohama50222844%76.179.3-3.1
18 Hokkaido50183236%75.279.4-4.3
19 Saga50173334%75.678.9-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas50163432%76.180.5-4.3
21 Brave Thunders51153629%78.786.9-8.2
22 Ibaraki Robots50104020%72.780.7-8.1
23 Sendai5194218%72.583.7-11.1
24 Shiga4974214%77.090.4-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2216271378
Hokkaido2428311598
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