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Saga vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 81-83
20-16 19-27 23-20 19-20
Position#12
Record6-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Osaka 🏆
Japan
Position#17
Record5-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Osaka
03 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
SAGA81
OSAK83
08 Nov 2025
SAGA87
OSAK82
27 Apr 2025
SAGA106
OSAK82
26 Apr 2025
SAGA90
OSAK79
09 Apr 2025
SAGA81
OSAK85
10 Apr 2024
SAGA86
OSAK74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 70
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-114
92
114
-22
91avg 70
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
65avg 70
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 70
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-73
76
73
+3
76avg 70
H26/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 70
A29/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-92
67
92
-25
60avg 70
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 70
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 70
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 70
H08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
27-13
26-28
15-14
20-38
27-22
20-29
25-25
19-15
18-31
22-23
20-22
17-25
23-26
20-20
18-23
20-19
22-29
23-16
11-9
20-15
25-20
27-27
13-11
21-26
18-24
15-21
13-21
27-18
17-16
18-23
10-24
20-27
17-25
24-15
16-16
17-24
17-28
26-13
27-17
166.2Avg total
80.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.684.4165.1-3.843%
Season at home (8)80.883.0163.8-2.250%
Season away (6)80.586.3166.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)80.086.2166.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)77.682.2159.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.180.6154.7-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.584.0170.5+2.564%
vs Weaker (7)83.180.7163.9+2.471%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
87-73
87
73
+14
77avg 76
A15/10
B League
Shiga
#18
L
70-71
70
71
-1
60avg 76
A18/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 76
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
97-102
97
102
-5
95avg 76
H25/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
83-73
83
73
+10
72avg 76
H26/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 76
H29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
83avg 76
H01/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 76
H02/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
96-100
96
100
-4
99avg 76
A05/11
B League
Saga
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
80avg 76
A08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
36-16
18-20
16-15
26-15
19-21
16-20
9-15
24-11
21-17
14-25
21-19
32-19
25-31
11-29
29-23
24-22
22-10
19-12
18-29
19-15
19-27
19-19
21-21
18-18
19-19
18-17
29-15
18-30
14-23
22-24
28-25
24-20
24-23
18-29
30-28
24-17
28-17
13-26
17-27
167.0Avg total
83.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.883.4165.1-1.636%
Season at home (7)84.984.6169.4+0.343%
Season away (7)78.782.1160.9-3.429%
Last 10 (10)83.983.1167.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)84.488.0172.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.485.5159.9-11.120%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.885.8169.7-2.042%
vs Weaker (1)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
SagaOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A29/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H08/11
B League
87.6Avg total
41.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.784.1-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.742.685.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)39.642.982.5-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)41.146.587.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.539.879.3-0.342%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.944.287.1-1.345%-
vs Weaker (7)42.445.387.7-2.929%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A15/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H25/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H01/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H02/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A05/11
B League
Saga
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A08/11
B League
84.6Avg total
45.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.684.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.243.788.9+1.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.680.9-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.384.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.743.078.7-7.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)44.542.186.6+2.468%-
vs Weaker (1)59.048.0107.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.9
28.5%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
73.1%13.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.6
51.6%
53.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
33.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
73.1%14.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLLLWWLLLW
Osaka
LLLWLWLWLW
#12
League position
#17
-7.2
Net rating
+0.5
109.1
Offensive rating
111.2
116.3
Defensive rating
110.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.5%
3-point %
32.0%
79.4%
Assist %
68.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 111.2Defence116.3 · 110.7Shooting51.0% · 50.1%3-point %28.5% · 32.0%Ball care15.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.3% · 35.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Saga wins
2
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Saga v Osaka87-82
27/04/25Saga v Osaka106-82
26/04/25Saga v Osaka90-79
09/04/25Saga v Osaka81-85
18/12/24Osaka v Saga77-68
10/04/24Saga v Osaka86-74 OT
17/01/24Osaka v Saga69-91
03/12/23Osaka v Saga45-79
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HOsaka87-82
05/11/25HShiga77-83
02/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa72-81
01/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa67-92
29/10/25ANeoPhoenix85-73
26/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas76-73
25/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-94
19/10/25AHiroshima D.79-91
18/10/25AHiroshima D.92-114
15/10/25AShimane87-79
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ASaga82-87
05/11/25ANagasaki96-100
02/11/25HHokkaido82-102
01/11/25HHokkaido84-69
29/10/25HShimane78-82
26/10/25HHiroshima D.83-73
25/10/25HHiroshima D.97-102
19/10/25AShiga80-72
18/10/25AShiga70-71
15/10/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game80.680.880.5
Allowed / game84.483.086.3
Point differential-3.8-2.2-5.8
Avg total165.1163.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game81.884.978.7
Allowed / game83.484.682.1
Point differential-1.6+0.3-3.4
Avg total165.1169.4160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1413193%85.970.6+15.4
2 Chiba1413193%83.471.6+11.8
3 Nagasaki1412286%92.677.5+15.1
4 Utsunomiya Brex1412286%85.776.1+9.6
5 Hokkaido1410471%84.581.7+2.8
6 Shimane149564%81.178.1+2.9
7 Ryukyu159660%82.975.9+7.0
8 Gunma148657%81.676.6+5.0
9 Hiroshima D.148657%87.084.4+2.6
10 Alvark148657%78.777.9+0.8
11 Shiga148657%80.080.1-0.1
12 SeaHorses Mikawa137654%83.680.2+3.4
13 Sendai137654%80.380.5-0.2
14 NeoPhoenix157847%79.379.1+0.3
15 Saga146843%80.684.4-3.8
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya146843%74.380.9-6.6
17 Osaka145936%81.883.4-1.6
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles145936%80.283.9-3.6
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.184.5-4.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas145936%69.975.1-5.2
21 Toyama145936%81.488.4-7.0
22 Yokohama1441029%78.483.9-5.5
23 Kyoto1441029%74.180.2-6.1
24 Ibaraki Robots1421214%75.382.1-6.8
25 Brave Thunders1421214%75.586.6-11.1
26 Akita1421214%69.384.4-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2019231981
Osaka1627202083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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