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Hokkaido vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 52-81
8-27 13-13 14-20 17-21
Position#20
Record12-27
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record19-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game75.4
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale (Hokkaido)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hokkaido v Saga
12 Nov 2025
HOKK95
SAGA93
03 Mar 2024
HOKK72
SAGA87
02 Mar 2024
HOKK52
SAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
74avg 66
A20/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
80avg 66
A21/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 66
H27/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
90-56
90
56
+34
86avg 66
H28/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
82-94
82
94
-12
81avg 66
H31/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 66
A03/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
89-83
89
83
+6
85avg 66
A04/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
58-77
58
77
-19
52avg 66
A07/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 66
A10/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 66
A11/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
19-19
13-21
17-27
13-14
19-22
27-22
23-31
22-21
14-18
21-20
16-20
24-16
20-18
21-11
25-11
17-13
21-23
28-32
16-26
17-16
20-8
18-27
25-22
24-21
25-14
19-23
21-25
13-28
18-13
16-20
11-16
20-24
17-23
18-19
29-28
13-23
27-16
16-24
17-17
161.3Avg total
79.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)75.180.5155.6-5.331%
Season at home (17)78.081.2159.2-3.229%
Season away (22)72.979.9152.8-7.032%
Last 10 (10)79.082.3161.3-3.330%
Last 5 (5)76.881.4158.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.382.4154.7-10.119%
vs Similar (7)80.372.4152.7+7.971%
vs Weaker (2)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 66
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 66
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 66
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 66
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 66
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 66
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 66
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 66
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 66
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 66
H11/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
24-30
24-18
13-14
12-18
148.1Avg total
70.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)74.875.4150.1-0.649%
Season at home (22)74.076.5150.5-2.645%
Season away (17)75.873.8149.6+2.053%
Last 10 (10)70.178.0148.1-7.930%
Last 5 (5)71.278.0149.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar (13)72.877.2149.9-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.764.3147.0+18.4100%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -5.9-5.9
HokkaidoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A20/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A03/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A04/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/02
B League
77.4Avg total
39.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.376.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.840.779.4-1.925%-
Last 30 away (18)37.036.873.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.177.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.439.475.8-3.033%-
vs Similar (7)39.734.974.6+4.957%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H11/02
B League
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.378.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.338.878.1+0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)41.237.678.8+3.654%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar (13)39.237.876.9+1.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.333.277.5+11.190%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.5
48.4%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.8
38.6%
33.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.011.6
77.3%
72.0%11.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.8
49.6%
50.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.79.4
63.9%
72.0%9.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLLWWLWLLL
Saga
LLWLLLLLWW
#20
League position
#15
-5.3
Net rating
-10.2
105.9
Offensive rating
98.3
111.2
Defensive rating
108.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.6%
3-point %
34.8%
61.5%
Assist %
57.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 98.3Defence111.2 · 108.5Shooting52.2% · 50.7%3-point %38.6% · 34.8%Ball care15.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds23.6% · 20.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hokkaido wins
0
Saga wins
No previous meetings.
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ARyukyu73-80
10/02/24ARyukyu84-94
07/02/24AChiba58-77
04/02/24AYokohama89-83
03/02/24AYokohama80-73
31/01/24HGunma82-94
28/01/24HShinshu90-56
27/01/24HShinshu73-79
21/01/24AChiba82-89
20/01/24AChiba79-98
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeWWLWL29%
AwayWWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391722
Win %31%29%32%
Points / game75.178.072.9
Allowed / game80.581.279.9
Point differential-5.3-3.2-7.0
Avg total155.6159.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL49%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392217
Win %49%45%53%
Points / game74.874.075.8
Allowed / game75.476.573.8
Point differential-0.6-2.6+2.0
Avg total150.1150.5149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%18%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4034685%90.278.0+12.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%79.268.1+11.1
3 Alvark4032880%81.768.8+12.9
4 Ryukyu40281270%81.276.7+4.5
5 Diamond Dolphins40271368%82.178.2+3.9
6 Chiba40261465%85.781.8+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane40231757%83.478.4+5.0
9 Brave Thunders39211854%80.477.4+3.1
10 Gunma39211854%78.680.6-2.1
11 Hiroshima D.40211952%78.774.0+4.8
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya40211952%75.774.5+1.1
13 Akita40211952%74.074.1-0.1
14 Saga39192049%74.875.4-0.6
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40192148%73.575.5-1.9
16 Sendai39172244%78.980.0-1.1
17 Yokohama39172244%76.982.2-5.3
18 Nagasaki39162341%81.685.1-3.5
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Hokkaido39122731%75.180.5-5.3
21 Kyoto39122731%77.784.6-6.8
22 Shinshu4063415%71.084.0-13.0
23 Ibaraki Robots3953413%72.785.0-12.3
24 Toyama3943510%73.485.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido813141752
Saga2713202181
← all games of the day
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