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Vaerlose vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 88-90
18-21 26-25 26-22 18-22
Position#10
Record1-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#7
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game93.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus
24 Oct 2026
VAER64
HOLB68
28 Mar 2026
VAER87
HOLB80
29 Oct 2025
VAER87
HOLB83
31 Mar 2025
VAER100
HOLB98
07 Dec 2024
VAER88
HOLB90
17 Nov 2024
VAER100
HOLB86
15 Feb 2024
VAER99
HOLB80
12 Apr 2023
VAER104
HOLB60
16 Feb 2023
VAER90
HOLB68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 71
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 71
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 71
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 71
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 71
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 71
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
11-23
20-16
16-18
15-19
16-19
17-18
32-32
16-27
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
164.4Avg total
75.5Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.990.4163.3-17.611%
Season at home (4)74.884.8159.5-10.025%
Season away (5)71.495.0166.4-23.60%
Last 10 (10)75.588.9164.4-13.420%
Last 5 (5)76.291.4167.6-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)77.092.7169.7-15.813%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.076.3154.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (3)90.381.7172.0+8.7100%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
62avg 63
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 63
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 63
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 63
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
70avg 63
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
59avg 63
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 63
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
67avg 63
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
72avg 63
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
25-28
14-25
18-25
14-12
17-18
13-29
26-21
32-22
28-33
21-21
25-22
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
27-23
26-24
18-23
18-16
15-17
18-28
22-18
24-25
29-27
19-32
19-25
18-23
14-27
21-32
19-28
16-16
19-35
26-29
28-14
19-24
18-24
19-30
29-29
20-17
175.6Avg total
81.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.793.8174.4-13.122%
Season at home (5)88.695.4184.0-6.840%
Season away (4)70.891.8162.5-21.00%
Last 10 (10)81.294.4175.6-13.220%
Last 5 (5)82.4100.0182.4-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.396.0170.3-21.65%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.484.0169.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
VaerloseHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
77.7Avg total
36.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.682.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.243.385.5-1.127%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.979.5-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.977.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.281.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.143.982.0-5.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (3)49.342.391.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/11
Denmark Cup
91.3Avg total
41.8Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.346.985.2-8.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.647.386.9-7.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.946.483.2-9.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.849.591.3-7.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.656.295.8-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.349.086.3-11.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.942.884.6-0.950%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.4
50.8%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.3
27.5%
32.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.312.3
67.2%
70.2%12.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.0
46.7%
51.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.08.4
25.5%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.219.0
78.5%
70.2%19.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLWLLLLLLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLWLWLL
#10
League position
#7
-22.9
Net rating
-16.7
92.4
Offensive rating
94.4
115.3
Defensive rating
111.1
46.9%
Effective FG%
42.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
23.4%
Turnover %
20.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.5%
3-point %
25.5%
62.9%
Assist %
35.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 94.4Defence115.3 · 111.1Shooting46.9% · 42.7%3-point %27.5% · 25.5%Ball care23.4% · 20.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Vaerlose wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
19/10/24ABakken Bears81-96
10/10/24ASvendborg62-76
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AVaerlose86-100
14/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack92-102
07/11/24ARanders70-103
29/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved85-107
24/10/24HHorsens79-88
18/10/24HCopenhagen89-86
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
04/10/24HAmager106-98
28/09/24ASvendborg70-80
25/09/24HBakken Bears77-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game72.974.871.4
Allowed / game90.484.895.0
Point differential-17.6-10.0-23.6
Avg total163.3159.5166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game80.788.670.8
Allowed / game93.895.491.8
Point differential-13.1-6.8-21.0
Avg total174.4184.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved11110100%98.487.6+10.7
2 Svendborg1110191%87.471.8+15.5
3 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
4 Horsens107370%85.078.2+6.8
5 Randers117464%91.580.7+10.8
6 Herlev Wolfpack114736%78.885.1-6.3
7 Copenhagen103730%83.485.3-1.9
8 Amager113827%85.191.3-6.2
9 Holbaek-Stenhus92722%80.793.8-13.1
10 Bears Academy112918%75.287.8-12.6
11 Vaerlose91811%72.990.4-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1826261888
Holbaek-Stenhus2125222290
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