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Amager vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 103-82
26-16 27-25 26-21 24-20
Position#6
Record3-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game94.3
Amager 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game93.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Amager v Holbaek-Stenhus
08 Apr 2026
AMAG98
HOLB86
18 Dec 2025
AMAG96
HOLB90
03 May 2025
AMAG98
HOLB106
08 Mar 2025
AMAG95
HOLB85
30 Dec 2024
AMAG103
HOLB82
26 Apr 2024
AMAG99
HOLB91
13 Oct 2023
AMAG83
HOLB84
18 Mar 2023
AMAG82
HOLB78
28 Oct 2022
AMAG90
HOLB88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
102-108
102
108
-6
86avg 74
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
73-110
73
110
-37
60avg 74
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
102-90
102
90
+12
94avg 74
H01/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
86-87
86
87
-1
77avg 74
A10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 74
H14/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
93-103
93
103
-10
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
67avg 74
A05/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 74
A07/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
94-117
94
117
-23
89avg 74
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
58avg 74
A21/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
15-40
27-22
32-20
21-23
26-27
14-31
12-29
20-22
24-22
29-27
29-19
27-19
19-19
16-24
24-25
12-18
10-31
24-20
20-29
25-29
26-25
27-26
15-23
19-26
20-24
24-21
15-20
19-19
16-21
29-23
15-12
20-33
26-21
22-32
26-31
18-25
14-27
23-25
17-28
182.9Avg total
84.5Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.894.3179.1-9.523%
Season at home (6)89.594.7184.2-5.233%
Season away (7)80.794.0174.7-13.314%
Last 10 (10)84.598.4182.9-13.920%
Last 5 (5)83.298.2181.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)81.598.2179.8-16.815%
vs Similar (5)80.883.4164.2-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.289.5180.8+1.850%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 63
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 63
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
70avg 63
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
59avg 63
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 63
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
67avg 63
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
72avg 63
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
74avg 63
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
52avg 63
H19/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
28-33
21-21
25-22
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
27-23
26-24
18-23
18-16
15-17
18-28
22-18
24-25
29-27
19-32
19-25
18-23
14-27
21-32
19-28
16-16
19-35
26-29
28-14
19-24
18-24
19-30
29-29
20-17
21-18
25-26
22-26
22-18
22-21
12-26
23-25
18-24
177.5Avg total
83.0Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.093.5174.5-12.527%
Season at home (6)86.395.5181.8-9.233%
Season away (5)74.691.0165.6-16.420%
Last 10 (10)83.094.5177.5-11.530%
Last 5 (5)82.697.8180.4-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.896.2172.0-20.45%
vs Similar (9)85.984.4170.3+1.456%
vs Weaker (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
AmagerHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
43-66
43
66
-23
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
H14/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/12
Basketligaen
90.2Avg total
40.5Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.647.788.2-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.450.290.6-9.819%-
Last 30 away (14)40.744.885.5-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.549.790.2-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.650.090.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.148.688.7-8.525%-
vs Similar (5)36.844.481.2-7.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.045.590.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H19/12
Basketligaen
92.5Avg total
42.2Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.946.885.8-7.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.447.587.9-7.127%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.283.7-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.250.392.5-8.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.453.693.0-14.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.849.387.1-11.416%-
vs Similar (9)42.342.985.2-0.656%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.2
46.7%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.3
32.2%
32.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws26.317.7
67.3%
70.2%17.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.116.9
45.6%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.49.0
26.2%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.619.7
80.1%
70.2%19.7
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
LLWLLLLWLL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LWLLLLLWLW
#6
League position
#7
-16.2
Net rating
-13.8
98.1
Offensive rating
97.7
114.3
Defensive rating
111.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
42.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.1%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.2%
3-point %
26.2%
60.7%
Assist %
32.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 97.7Defence114.3 · 111.5Shooting47.4% · 42.5%3-point %32.2% · 26.2%Ball care17.4% · 20.1%Off. rebounds24.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Amager   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Amager wins
5
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABakken Bears72-105
12/12/24HHorsens94-117
07/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack79-75
05/12/24ACopenhagen78-91
17/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack93-103
14/11/24HSvendborg66-98
10/11/24ABears Academy86-87
01/11/24HVaerlose102-90
24/10/24ARanders73-110
10/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved102-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HSvendborg75-96
07/12/24AVaerlose90-88
17/11/24AVaerlose86-100
14/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack92-102
07/11/24ARanders70-103
29/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved85-107
24/10/24HHorsens79-88
18/10/24HCopenhagen89-86
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
04/10/24HAmager106-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game84.889.580.7
Allowed / game94.394.794.0
Point differential-9.5-5.2-13.3
Avg total179.1184.2174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game81.086.374.6
Allowed / game93.595.591.0
Point differential-12.5-9.2-16.4
Avg total174.5181.8165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1413193%88.271.0+17.2
2 Team FOG Naestved1413193%95.987.6+8.3
3 Horsens1310377%89.379.8+9.5
4 Bakken Bears128467%92.582.2+10.3
5 Randers149564%90.581.6+8.9
6 Vaerlose134931%77.586.8-9.2
7 Herlev Wolfpack1441029%78.887.8-9.0
8 Holbaek-Stenhus113827%81.093.5-12.5
9 Copenhagen123925%82.285.2-3.0
10 Amager1331023%84.894.3-9.5
11 Bears Academy1421214%73.987.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager26272624103
Holbaek-Stenhus1625212082
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