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Randers vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 103-70
27-14 32-21 28-19 16-16
Position#5
Record4-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game82.9
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game91.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2024-25
Meetings · Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus
30 Dec 2026
RAND v HOLB
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
RAND102
HOLB76
07 Nov 2024
RAND103
HOLB70
17 Sep 2023
RAND104
HOLB53
03 Dec 2022
RAND96
HOLB63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 84
A11/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 84
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
106-65
106
65
+41
104avg 84
H21/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 84
A25/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
89avg 84
H28/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
97avg 84
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
73avg 84
H08/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
72-87
72
87
-15
52avg 84
A12/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
79avg 84
A17/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
110-73
110
73
+37
114avg 84
H24/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-38
26-24
25-15
19-21
25-25
24-22
16-25
25-18
25-20
27-18
29-9
14-12
27-23
21-21
12-20
21-23
23-19
33-12
16-19
21-23
25-18
32-33
23-27
19-21
20-23
23-19
19-30
16-17
8-32
35-18
13-20
17-15
23-23
23-20
27-24
23-21
27-26
31-14
29-12
175.9Avg total
90.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.982.9174.8+9.050%
Season at home (4)97.576.0173.5+21.575%
Season away (4)86.289.8176.0-3.525%
Last 10 (10)90.585.4175.9+5.140%
Last 5 (5)92.489.8182.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)86.897.3184.1-10.625%
vs Similar (5)85.485.6171.0-0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.682.0178.6+14.677%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 61
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
91-99 OT
91
99
-8
72avg 61
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 61
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
62avg 61
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 61
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 61
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 61
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
70avg 61
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
59avg 61
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 61
A29/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
21-18
16-26
23-19
25-19
21-21
24-23
15-22
16-17
19-17
13-31
17-19
20-25
25-28
14-25
18-25
14-12
17-18
13-29
26-21
32-22
28-33
21-21
25-22
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
27-23
26-24
18-23
18-16
15-17
18-28
22-18
24-25
29-27
19-32
19-25
18-23
170.5Avg total
79.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.691.3171.9-10.729%
Season at home (4)87.893.8181.5-6.050%
Season away (3)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)79.591.0170.5-11.520%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.194.0168.1-19.910%
vs Similar (8)81.580.4161.9+1.150%
vs Weaker (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
RandersHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A11/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A12/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/10
Basketligaen
85.2Avg total
41.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.544.790.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.145.090.1+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)45.944.590.3+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.985.2-2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.883.6-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)44.249.293.4-4.925%-
vs Similar (5)47.842.089.8+5.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.841.787.5+4.177%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A29/10
Basketligaen
85.3Avg total
41.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.981.2-6.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.145.484.4-6.331%-
Last 30 away (14)35.442.177.6-6.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.585.3-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.092.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.047.484.4-10.320%-
vs Similar (8)40.938.979.8+2.062%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.4
54.9%
51.9%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.4
33.9%
32.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.815.2
80.9%
70.2%15.2
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.217.9
44.5%
51.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.98.3
26.0%
32.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.117.9
77.5%
70.2%17.9
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWLLLWLWLL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#7
+7.0
Net rating
-13.7
111.9
Offensive rating
94.2
105.0
Defensive rating
107.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
42.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
26.0%
60.4%
Assist %
34.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 94.2Defence105.0 · 107.8Shooting53.3% · 42.1%3-point %33.9% · 26.0%Ball care16.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Randers   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Randers wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Randers87-115
17/09/23Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus104-53
19/01/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Randers62-82
03/12/22Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus96-63
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HAmager110-73
17/10/24AHorsens90-82
12/10/24AHerlev Wolfpack72-87
08/10/24HBakken Bears81-93
03/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved109-114 OT
28/09/24HBears Academy93-73
25/09/24ASvendborg74-76
21/09/24HVaerlose106-65
15/04/24HSvendborg84-93
11/04/24AHorsens86-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved85-107
24/10/24HHorsens79-88
18/10/24HCopenhagen89-86
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
04/10/24HAmager106-98
28/09/24ASvendborg70-80
25/09/24HBakken Bears77-103
28/04/24ABears Academy65-84
26/04/24AAmager91-99 OT
11/04/24HCopenhagen75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game91.997.586.2
Allowed / game82.976.089.8
Point differential+9.0+21.5-3.5
Avg total174.8173.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game80.687.871.0
Allowed / game91.393.888.0
Point differential-10.7-6.0-17.0
Avg total171.9181.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%99.488.5+10.9
2 Svendborg76186%86.474.1+12.3
3 Bakken Bears76186%91.480.4+11.0
4 Horsens76186%86.679.0+7.6
5 Randers84450%91.982.9+9.0
6 Herlev Wolfpack73443%81.082.6-1.6
7 Amager72529%89.693.3-3.7
8 Holbaek-Stenhus72529%80.691.3-10.7
9 Copenhagen71614%80.089.4-9.4
10 Vaerlose71614%75.691.4-15.9
11 Bears Academy81712%75.486.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers27322816103
Holbaek-Stenhus1421191670
← all games of the day
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