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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-76
8-20 19-23 12-12 22-21
Position#10
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game94.5
Holbaek-Stenhus
Denmark
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game72.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens (Horsens)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Horsens
03 Jan 2027
HOLB v HORS
upcoming
28 Sep 2025
HOLB67
HORS95
24 Oct 2024
HOLB79
HORS88
03 Jan 2024
HOLB61
HORS76
24 Sep 2022
HOLB64
HORS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
56avg 53
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
61-107
61
107
-46
41avg 53
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 53
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
59avg 53
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 53
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-109
52
109
-57
32avg 53
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-115
87
115
-28
70avg 53
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 53
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-115
77
115
-38
50avg 53
A30/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
17-26
21-23
21-22
12-24
7-26
22-27
20-30
24-13
13-20
11-18
13-22
21-10
9-15
20-22
15-16
13-14
9-15
8-17
12-13
11-26
23-17
22-20
14-15
12-20
15-29
10-34
15-26
17-36
25-25
16-20
29-34
17-31
13-31
17-22
20-17
20-25
15-26
27-35
15-29
157.1Avg total
65.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.594.5162.9-26.015%
Season at home (6)68.293.0161.2-24.80%
Season away (7)68.795.7164.4-27.029%
Last 10 (10)65.591.6157.1-26.110%
Last 5 (5)70.6103.6174.2-33.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.390.6158.9-22.312%
vs Similar (2)72.578.0150.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-56
88
56
+32
86avg 85
H29/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
114-51
114
51
+63
118avg 85
H05/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
98avg 85
A09/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#12
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-56
88
56
+32
88avg 85
A19/11
Basketligaen
Falcon
#7
W
85-58
85
58
+27
no box
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 85
H11/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 85
A14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 85
A20/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
70avg 85
H28/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
25-12
29-11
19-17
28-9
28-10
20-13
38-19
30-19
15-13
26-16
24-31
17-15
31-21
20-19
22-16
21-15
24-16
22-7
21-18
–
–
–
–
13-14
17-27
12-14
33-26
23-22
29-25
16-16
23-14
28-27
20-15
32-15
21-26
17-16
24-20
20-27
25-17
160.5Avg total
91.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.472.6162.9+17.879%
Season at home (7)91.768.9160.6+22.986%
Season away (7)89.076.3165.3+12.771%
Last 10 (10)91.369.2160.5+22.190%
Last 5 (5)87.675.8163.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.591.2168.8-13.88%
vs Similar (3)96.389.3185.7+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.968.8158.6+21.186%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -8.4-8.4Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +4.7+4.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -8.4-8.4Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +4.7+4.7
Holbaek-StenhusHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-62
30
62
-32
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/12
Basketligaen
76.1Avg total
30.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.044.677.5-11.617%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.843.577.3-9.623%-
Last 30 away (17)32.345.477.7-13.112%-
Last 10 (10)30.745.476.1-14.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.653.286.8-19.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.945.578.5-12.612%-
vs Similar (2)38.533.572.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
56-19
56
19
+37
H05/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A09/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/12
Basketligaen
79.7Avg total
45.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.840.484.2+3.366%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.038.083.0+7.069%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.485.2+0.362%-
Last 10 (9)45.034.779.7+10.389%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.946.188.0-4.250%-
vs Similar (3)48.039.787.7+8.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.235.879.9+8.477%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.817.8
38.9%
51.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.6
27.5%
31.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.310.3
59.5%
67.0%10.3
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.926.3
53.8%
51.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.011.6
61.1%
67.0%11.6
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLLWLLL
Horsens
WWWLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
-29.3
Net rating
+26.9
82.8
Offensive rating
114.7
112.1
Defensive rating
87.8
39.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
22.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
44.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.5%
3-point %
33.8%
52.8%
Assist %
61.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 114.7Defence112.1 · 87.8Shooting39.8% · 52.7%3-point %27.5% · 33.8%Ball care22.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.2% · 44.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
3
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus97-74
12/01/23Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus84-79
24/09/22Holbaek-Stenhus v Horsens64-90
Holbaek-Stenhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ASvendborg77-115
17/12/23ABakken Bears67-101
08/12/23HRanders87-115
29/11/23HBakken Bears52-109
16/11/23HVaerlose70-78
12/11/23ABears Academy42-59
09/11/23ABears Academy65-63
02/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack61-73
24/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved61-107
22/10/23HCopenhagen73-96
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HBakken Bears86-80
20/12/23AHerlev Wolfpack101-83
14/12/23ARanders91-77
11/12/23HSvendborg75-81
03/12/23AFalcon85-58
19/11/23ABears Academy88-56
12/11/23AVaerlose90-71
09/11/23ATeam FOG Naestved95-79
05/11/23HAmager114-51
29/10/23HVaerlose88-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%0%29%
Points / game68.568.268.7
Allowed / game94.593.095.7
Point differential-26.0-24.8-27.0
Avg total162.9161.2164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game90.491.789.0
Allowed / game72.668.976.3
Point differential+17.8+22.9+12.7
Avg total162.9160.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%57%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1413193%101.875.9+25.9
2 Svendborg1412286%90.277.1+13.1
3 Team FOG Naestved1411379%98.879.8+19.0
4 Horsens1411379%90.472.6+17.8
5 Randers138562%95.385.5+9.8
6 Vaerlose136746%81.886.7-4.8
7 Copenhagen146843%83.481.0+2.4
8 Bears Academy1331023%73.985.2-11.3
9 Holbaek-Stenhus1321115%68.594.5-26.0
10 Herlev Wolfpack1421214%71.492.4-21.0
11 Amager141137%72.9100.1-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus819122261
Horsens2023122176
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