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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-115
17-36 25-25 16-20 29-34
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game84.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby (Holbaek)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Randers
17 Sep 2026
HOLB84
RAND100
23 Nov 2025
HOLB76
RAND86
01 Feb 2025
HOLB71
RAND99
08 Dec 2023
HOLB87
RAND115
19 Jan 2023
HOLB62
RAND82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 51
H01/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
61avg 51
A08/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
63avg 51
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
56avg 51
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
61-107
61
107
-46
41avg 51
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 51
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
59avg 51
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 51
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-109
52
109
-57
32avg 51
H29/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
13-20
15-29
15-21
17-17
20-27
17-24
20-29
13-20
27-14
20-20
24-29
14-25
17-26
21-23
21-22
12-24
7-26
22-27
20-30
24-13
13-20
11-18
13-22
21-10
9-15
20-22
15-16
13-14
9-15
8-17
12-13
11-26
23-17
22-20
14-15
12-20
15-29
10-34
15-26
150.0Avg total
64.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.989.7155.6-23.820%
Season at home (5)64.488.6153.0-24.20%
Season away (5)67.490.8158.2-23.440%
Last 10 (10)64.885.2150.0-20.420%
Last 5 (5)58.076.4134.4-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)66.687.8154.4-21.212%
vs Similar (2)72.578.0150.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
84avg 91
A26/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
no box
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
81avg 91
H04/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
104-57
104
57
+47
114avg 91
H07/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
108-89
108
89
+19
105avg 91
A13/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 91
H19/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 91
A26/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
74avg 91
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 91
H19/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
20-27
22-28
22-22
24-28
24-21
16-22
23-16
27-16
27-20
13-21
16-27
26-15
36-16
19-15
23-11
25-28
34-21
27-14
22-26
17-29
19-23
22-26
24-24
21-22
29-28
25-22
30-26
21-20
21-25
31-17
21-23
14-24
29-21
21-14
22-17
20-11
15-23
24-18
18-19
179.0Avg total
92.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.384.6179.9+10.760%
Season at home (5)91.874.4166.2+17.460%
Season away (5)98.894.8193.6+4.060%
Last 10 (10)92.686.4179.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)88.886.4175.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.085.0164.0-6.025%
vs Similar (8)90.488.4178.8+2.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.472.1164.6+20.3100%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Holbaek-StenhusRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/11
Basketligaen
70.8Avg total
31.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.343.375.6-11.017%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.842.575.3-9.623%-
Last 30 away (17)31.944.075.9-12.112%-
Last 10 (10)31.339.570.8-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.035.865.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.244.176.3-12.012%-
vs Similar (2)38.533.572.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A26/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
62-31
62
31
+31
H07/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A13/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H19/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H19/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/12
Denmark Cup
91.6Avg total
47.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.884.3+4.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.338.984.2+6.456%-
Last 30 away (14)43.640.884.4+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.991.6+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.139.279.4+0.950%-
vs Similar (8)44.242.586.8+1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.138.685.7+8.664%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.316.2
38.3%
51.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.66.9
27.0%
31.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.512.0
61.5%
67.0%12.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.927.7
59.0%
51.8%55.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
31.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.8
71.9%
67.0%14.8
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLWLLLWLL
Randers
WWWWLWWLLL
#10
League position
#6
-28.9
Net rating
+15.1
79.8
Offensive rating
112.8
108.7
Defensive rating
97.7
39.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
25.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.0%
3-point %
33.8%
51.9%
Assist %
63.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.8 · 112.8Defence108.7 · 97.7Shooting39.1% · 56.2%3-point %27.0% · 33.8%Ball care25.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
3
Randers wins
DateGameScore
17/09/23Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus104-53
19/01/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Randers62-82
03/12/22Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus96-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HBakken Bears52-109
16/11/23HVaerlose70-78
12/11/23ABears Academy42-59
09/11/23ABears Academy65-63
02/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack61-73
24/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved61-107
22/10/23HCopenhagen73-96
13/10/23AAmager84-83
08/10/23AHorsens74-97
01/10/23HSvendborg66-87
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ABears Academy77-71
19/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack86-76
07/11/23AVaerlose94-85
26/10/23ASvendborg105-98
19/10/23HTeam FOG Naestved82-102
13/10/23ABears Academy108-89
07/10/23HAmager104-57
04/10/23HBakken Bears83-84
29/09/23ACopenhagen95-104 OT
26/09/23AHorsens92-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%0%40%
Points / game65.964.467.4
Allowed / game89.788.690.8
Point differential-23.8-24.2-23.4
Avg total155.6153.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game95.391.898.8
Allowed / game84.674.494.8
Point differential+10.7+17.4+4.0
Avg total179.9166.2193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears990100%99.175.6+23.6
2 Svendborg119282%89.978.5+11.4
3 Horsens108280%91.269.5+21.7
4 Team FOG Naestved107370%95.880.9+14.9
5 Randers106460%95.384.6+10.7
6 Copenhagen105550%83.977.6+6.3
7 Vaerlose105550%79.485.4-6.0
8 Bears Academy102820%72.182.3-10.2
9 Herlev Wolfpack102820%67.383.9-16.6
10 Holbaek-Stenhus102820%65.989.7-23.8
11 Amager100100%70.1100.8-30.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1725162987
Randers36252034115
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