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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 71-99
25-27 8-23 21-30 17-19
Position#7
Record4-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#5
Record12-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game81.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Randers
17 Sep 2026
HOLB84
RAND100
23 Nov 2025
HOLB76
RAND86
01 Feb 2025
HOLB71
RAND99
08 Dec 2023
HOLB87
RAND115
19 Jan 2023
HOLB62
RAND82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
72avg 63
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
74avg 63
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
52avg 63
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
82-103
82
103
-21
63avg 63
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 63
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
72avg 63
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
48avg 63
A14/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
68avg 63
A19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
49-107
49
107
-58
17avg 63
H28/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-35
26-29
28-14
19-24
18-24
19-30
29-29
20-17
21-18
25-26
22-26
22-18
22-21
12-26
23-25
18-24
16-26
25-27
21-26
20-24
13-15
29-18
22-16
22-32
17-16
25-27
15-19
23-18
12-23
13-31
24-29
20-21
13-17
22-27
20-28
22-15
8-22
15-30
16-27
10-28
174.9Avg total
79.1Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.894.1172.9-15.424%
Season at home (8)81.695.1176.8-13.538%
Season away (9)76.293.2169.4-17.011%
Last 10 (10)79.195.8174.9-16.720%
Last 5 (5)73.293.8167.0-20.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.196.3171.4-21.36%
vs Similar (9)87.789.2176.9-1.644%
vs Weaker (2)72.079.0151.0-7.050%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 84
A04/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
69-94
69
94
-25
55avg 84
H12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
70avg 84
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
89avg 84
A18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
100-82
100
82
+18
104avg 84
H28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
75avg 84
A03/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
90avg 84
H09/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
114-75
114
75
+39
111avg 84
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 84
H26/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-72
105
72
+33
110avg 84
H30/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
13-15
17-17
22-16
10-30
29-21
14-23
16-20
16-19
23-18
19-18
24-13
27-26
24-20
13-12
27-20
28-15
35-24
19-22
18-21
22-21
21-33
21-23
21-19
26-20
30-19
15-15
18-30
30-14
32-22
28-17
24-22
21-19
22-23
11-18
22-15
28-20
28-18
31-18
18-16
168.2Avg total
89.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.281.6173.8+10.667%
Season at home (9)95.178.4173.6+16.778%
Season away (9)89.384.8174.1+4.656%
Last 10 (10)89.079.2168.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)93.880.4174.2+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.695.3179.9-10.714%
vs Similar (4)79.586.5166.0-7.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.278.4172.7+15.889%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
Holbaek-StenhusRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A14/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H28/01
Basketligaen
85.8Avg total
37.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.746.585.2-7.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.247.888.0-7.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.445.382.7-7.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.048.885.8-11.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.445.278.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.148.585.6-11.417%-
vs Similar (9)42.745.087.7-2.344%-
vs Weaker (2)36.531.067.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A03/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H26/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H30/01
Basketligaen
90.9Avg total
49.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.143.990.0+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.343.992.1+4.460%-
Last 30 away (14)43.843.987.7-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)49.241.790.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)52.041.893.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.052.095.0-9.014%-
vs Similar (4)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.740.988.6+6.783%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.916.3
43.0%
51.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.09.1
26.8%
32.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.6
74.4%
70.2%16.6
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.1
54.4%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.9
35.6%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.516.3
79.5%
70.2%16.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLWLLWLL
Randers
WWWWLWWWLW
#7
League position
#5
-23.0
Net rating
+12.6
91.8
Offensive rating
110.8
114.8
Defensive rating
98.3
41.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.8%
3-point %
35.6%
37.8%
Assist %
61.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 110.8Defence114.8 · 98.3Shooting41.7% · 54.0%3-point %26.8% · 35.6%Ball care19.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
5
Randers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HTeam FOG Naestved49-107
19/01/25AHorsens77-87
14/01/25ABakken Bears69-104
10/01/25ACopenhagen85-90 OT
04/01/25HBears Academy86-81
30/12/24AAmager82-103
19/12/24HSvendborg75-96
07/12/24AVaerlose90-88
17/11/24AVaerlose86-100
14/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack92-102
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HHerlev Wolfpack105-72
26/01/25HBakken Bears76-75
16/01/25AAmager114-75
09/01/25HHorsens89-84
03/01/25ABakken Bears85-96
28/12/24HTeam FOG Naestved100-82
18/12/24ABears Academy91-78
15/12/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-68
12/12/24HSvendborg69-94
04/12/24AVaerlose79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game78.881.676.2
Allowed / game94.195.193.2
Point differential-15.4-13.5-17.0
Avg total172.9176.8169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game92.295.189.3
Allowed / game81.678.484.8
Point differential+10.6+16.7+4.6
Avg total173.8173.6174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1716194%89.172.6+16.5
2 Team FOG Naestved1816289%99.787.4+12.2
3 Bakken Bears1713476%95.680.5+15.2
4 Horsens1713476%89.379.8+9.5
5 Randers1812667%92.281.6+10.6
6 Copenhagen1751229%81.986.2-4.2
7 Vaerlose1751229%78.189.1-10.9
8 Amager1741324%85.695.7-10.1
9 Herlev Wolfpack1741324%78.589.2-10.8
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1741324%78.894.1-15.4
11 Bears Academy1831517%75.788.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus258211771
Randers2723301999
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