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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Svendborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game79.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2026-27
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Svendborg
18 Feb 2027
HOLB v SVEN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
HOLB71
SVEN101
19 Dec 2024
HOLB75
SVEN96
01 Oct 2023
HOLB66
SVEN87
03 Nov 2022
HOLB75
SVEN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
56-117
56
117
-61
40avg 71
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 71
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 71
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
88-67
88
67
+21
86avg 71
H10/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
83-97
83
97
-14
71avg 71
A15/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
60avg 71
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
75-105
75
105
-30
60avg 71
H30/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A04/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
A06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
10-32
10-27
15-31
29-20
20-22
16-22
10-22
21-26
16-12
25-16
18-23
15-14
24-21
21-14
28-18
18-23
24-43
0-0
41-31
11-10
29-14
17-19
11-21
8-29
23-18
29-27
15-31
24-18
19-24
21-19
20-20
18-18
19-17
24-27
17-18
26-17
15-16
19-19
29-22
162.4Avg total
77.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.286.2164.4-8.045%
Season at home (5)83.284.6167.8-1.460%
Season away (6)74.087.5161.5-13.533%
Last 10 (10)77.684.8162.4-7.250%
Last 5 (5)78.880.8159.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.4100.4177.9-23.014%
vs Similar (13)88.884.4173.2+4.454%
vs Weaker (3)75.373.7149.0+1.767%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 78
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 78
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
79avg 78
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
107avg 78
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 78
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 78
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
97-82
97
82
+15
103avg 78
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
100avg 78
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
20-29
22-20
22-16
22-10
28-17
27-18
25-15
22-24
27-23
22-12
20-22
23-13
18-28
16-22
21-15
28-21
16-12
32-23
25-22
24-25
22-30
25-17
23-22
23-24
26-16
24-15
18-17
18-11
20-25
23-11
22-16
26-26
170.3Avg total
90.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Season at home (5)88.276.4164.6+11.880%
Season away (5)93.083.0176.0+10.080%
Last 10 (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Last 5 (5)92.080.6172.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.077.7161.7+6.367%
vs Similar (8)83.890.2174.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.676.4168.1+15.284%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
Holbaek-StenhusSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A15/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/11
Basketligaen
81.1Avg total
39.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.785.7-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.844.886.6-3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.344.785.0-4.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.181.1-3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.150.291.3-9.129%-
vs Similar (13)41.641.783.3-0.154%-
vs Weaker (3)38.032.370.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A12/11
Basketligaen
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.685.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.881.8+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)45.943.889.6+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.041.777.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.187.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.838.985.8+7.963%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.5
51.9%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.911.8
62.4%
68.0%11.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.1
58.2%
55.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.1
30.6%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.318.3
72.3%
68.0%18.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLWLWLWWLL
Svendborg
WWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#4
-9.7
Net rating
+8.0
86.3
Offensive rating
97.2
96.0
Defensive rating
89.2
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.3%
3-point %
30.6%
44.9%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 97.2Defence96.0 · 89.2Shooting51.8% · 53.4%3-point %34.3% · 30.6%Ball care20.4% · 15.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
9
Svendborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCopenhagen89-74
06/11/26AVejen78-80
04/11/26AGladsaxe84-81
30/10/26HBakken Bears75-105
24/10/26AVaerlose68-64
15/10/26AHorsens83-97
10/10/26HBears Academy88-67
01/10/26HBMS Herlev80-77
26/09/26ASvendborg75-86
24/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved56-117
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ABMS Herlev91-78
08/11/26HVaerlose86-59
31/10/26ACopenhagen103-98 OT
23/10/26HBears Academy97-82
15/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved83-86
07/10/26AGladsaxe92-70
02/10/26HVejen102-74
26/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus86-75
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game78.283.274.0
Allowed / game86.284.687.5
Point differential-8.0-1.4-13.5
Avg total164.4167.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.688.293.0
Allowed / game79.776.483.0
Point differential+10.9+11.8+10.0
Avg total170.3164.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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